Polymarket Analytics
Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NBA )
Total Bets
999
Win Rate
48.8%
488W / 511L
Total P&L
$-10,886.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-10.90
ROI
-10.9%
Best Matchups
vs Kalshi
$903.00
20 bets (65.0%)
vs DraftKings
$839.00
18 bets (72.2%)
vs BookMaker, FanDuel
$316.00
3 bets (100.0%)
vs bet105, BookMaker, Pinnacle
$112.00
3 bets (66.7%)
vs LowVig, Pinnacle
$100.00
3 bets (66.7%)
Activity Heatmap
Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Less
More
Profit Heatmap
P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Loss
Profit
Performance by Sport
Click to filter by sport
Performance by Market
Click to filter by market (showing Basketball • NBA only)
Time-to-Game Performance
How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start
< 1 hour
$-591
52 bets
46.2% win
1-3 hours
$370
62 bets
56.5% win
3-6 hours
$-2,367
110 bets
44.5% win
6-12 hours
$-2,482
253 bets
51.0% win
12-24 hours
$-5,554
477 bets
47.4% win
> 24 hours
$-262
45 bets
55.6% win
Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)
Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start
0-15 min
$1,094
28 bets
60.7% win
15-30 min
$-314
5 bets
20.0% win
30-60 min
$-1,371
19 bets
31.6% win
1-2 hours
$644
27 bets
63.0% win
2-4 hours
$-1,674
72 bets
45.8% win
4-8 hours
$-875
147 bets
51.0% win
8-24 hours
$-8,128
656 bets
47.9% win
24+ hours
$-262
45 bets
55.6% win
Edge/Hold Performance
Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)
| Edge Bucket | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | Avg Edge | ROI | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1% to -0.5% | 228 | 126W / 102L | 55.3% | -0.78% | -2.26% | $-515.00 |
| -0.5% to -0.4% | 158 | 73W / 85L | 46.2% | -0.46% | -15.24% | $-2,408.00 |
| -0.4% to -0.3% | 33 | 14W / 19L | 42.4% | -0.36% | -41.97% | $-1,385.00 |
| -0.3% to -0.2% | 49 | 22W / 27L | 44.9% | -0.24% | -21.29% | $-1,043.00 |
| -0.2% to -0.1% | 20 | 9W / 11L | 45.0% | -0.17% | -13.50% | $-270.00 |
| -0.1% to 0% | 1 | 0W / 1L | 0.0% | -0.08% | -100.00% | $-100.00 |
| 0% to +0.1% | 22 | 13W / 9L | 59.1% | +0.01% | +4.09% | $90.00 |
| +0.1% to +0.2% | 66 | 34W / 32L | 51.5% | +0.16% | -19.89% | $-1,313.00 |
| +0.2% to +0.3% | 152 | 73W / 79L | 48.0% | +0.23% | -7.03% | $-1,069.00 |
| +0.3% to +0.4% | 41 | 17W / 24L | 41.5% | +0.35% | -13.83% | $-567.00 |
| +0.4% to +0.5% | 90 | 44W / 46L | 48.9% | +0.46% | -7.10% | $-639.00 |
| +0.5% to +1% | 139 | 63W / 76L | 45.3% | +0.69% | -11.99% | $-1,667.00 |
Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier
Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)
| Limit Tier | Avg Limit | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $500 | $207 | 119 | 52W / 67L | 43.7% | $-1,768.00 |
| $500 - $1k | $700 | 107 | 41W / 66L | 38.3% | $-2,434.00 |
| $1k - $2.5k | $1,549 | 195 | 92W / 103L | 47.2% | $-2,900.00 |
| $2.5k - $5k | $3,312 | 144 | 79W / 65L | 54.9% | $508.00 |
| $5k - $10k | $6,659 | 79 | 50W / 29L | 63.3% | $1,812.00 |
| $10k+ | $37,925 | 80 | 42W / 38L | 52.5% | $-2,098.00 |
Performance vs Opposing Books
How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook
| Opposing Book | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 20 | 13W / 7L | 65.0% | $903.00 |
| DraftKings | 18 | 13W / 5L | 72.2% | $839.00 |
| BookMaker, FanDuel | 3 | 3W / 0L | 100.0% | $316.00 |
| bet105, BookMaker, Pinnacle | 3 | 2W / 1L | 66.7% | $112.00 |
| Caesars | 5 | 3W / 2L | 60.0% | $100.00 |
| LowVig, Pinnacle | 3 | 2W / 1L | 66.7% | $100.00 |
| bet105, FanDuel, Pinnacle | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $0.00 |
| Fanatics | 5 | 3W / 2L | 60.0% | $-7.00 |
| Circa Sports, LowVig | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $-13.00 |
| Circa Sports, Pinnacle | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $-27.00 |
| BookMaker, Circa Sports | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $-27.00 |
| bet105, Pinnacle | 32 | 18W / 14L | 56.3% | $-93.00 |
| bet105, FanDuel | 3 | 1W / 2L | 33.3% | $-100.00 |
| bet105 | 60 | 30W / 30L | 50.0% | $-152.00 |
| Circa Sports, FanDuel | 8 | 4W / 4L | 50.0% | $-710.00 |
| Pinnacle | 89 | 46W / 43L | 51.7% | $-1,013.00 |
| LowVig | 175 | 86W / 89L | 49.1% | $-1,348.00 |
| BookMaker | 72 | 31W / 41L | 43.1% | $-1,808.00 |
| FanDuel | 308 | 145W / 163L | 47.1% | $-3,668.00 |
| Circa Sports | 176 | 76W / 100L | 43.2% | $-4,859.00 |
Recent Results
Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket
| Date | Event | Vs | Selection | Odds | Score | Time Before | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/26 |
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Caesars | Dallas Mavericks Liq... | +233 | 104-124 | 25h 13m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Over 237.5 Liq $4.3k... | +100 | 228 (104-124) | 48m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Under 232.5 Liq $873... | +113 | 228 (104-124) | 16h 31m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
LowVig | Under 238.5 Liq $19... | +108 | 254 (135-119) | 14h 27m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | Portland Trail Blaze... | -245 | 135-119 | 22h 37m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
LowVig | Portland Trail Blaze... | -245 | 135-119 | 19h 53m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 215.5 Liq $14... | +113 | 203 (110-93) | 17h 18m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Under 215.5 Liq $14... | +113 | 203 (110-93) | 17h 18m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | San Antonio Spurs Li... | -223 | 126-113 | 11h 23m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | San Antonio Spurs Li... | -203 | 126-113 | 45m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | San Antonio Spurs Li... | -213 | 126-113 | Live | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 219.5 Liq $942... | +113 | 239 (126-113) | 15h 21m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | San Antonio Spurs Li... | -194 | 126-113 | 21h 7m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Over 216.5 Liq $20 $... | +144 | 245 (136-109) | 8m | WIN | +$144.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Over 231.5 Liq $1.2k... | +104 | 214 (93-121) | 17h 11m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -213 | 136-109 | 22h 7m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -223 | 136-109 | 19h 37m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -233 | 136-109 | 21h 4m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Over 213.5 Liq $1.1k... | +113 | 245 (136-109) | 13m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Denv...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Under 236.5 Liq $4.5... | +113 | 238 (116-122) | 12h 48m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Over 213.5 Liq $13.6... | +113 | 245 (136-109) | 11m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -203 | 136-109 | 41h 55m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Pinnacle | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -233 | 136-109 | 21h 14m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Over 230.5 Liq $130... | -104 | 214 (93-121) | 11h 41m | LOSS | $-104.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Fanatics | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -245 | 136-109 | 1h 12m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -233 | 136-109 | 19h 49m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Caesars | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -203 | 136-109 | 38h | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Fanatics | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -213 | 136-109 | 21h 44m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Sacramento Kings Liq... | +203 | 44-71 | 13h 31m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Over 230.5 Liq $300... | -104 | 214 (93-121) | 16h 27m | LOSS | $-104.00 |