Circa Sports, LowVig Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook

Total Bets
35
Win Rate
51.4%
18W / 17L
Total P&L
$-1,395.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-39.86
ROI
-39.9%

Best Matchups

vs Polymarket
$-22.00
20 bets (60.0%)
vs BookMaker
$-75.00
4 bets (50.0%)
vs FanDuel
$-1,213.00
9 bets (33.3%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
1-3 hours
$-15
3 bets
66.7% win
3-6 hours
$-430
6 bets
33.3% win
6-12 hours
$407
11 bets
72.7% win
12-24 hours
$-44
4 bets
50.0% win
> 24 hours
$-1,413
10 bets
30.0% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

30-60 min
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
2-4 hours
$-15
5 bets
60.0% win
4-8 hours
$-78
10 bets
60.0% win
8-24 hours
$11
9 bets
55.6% win
24+ hours
$-1,413
10 bets
30.0% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 24 12W / 12L 50.0% -0.75% -55.25% $-1,326.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 8 5W / 3L 62.5% -0.43% +12.50% $100.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% -0.37% -135.00% $-135.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -0.26% +100.00% $100.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% -0.18% -134.00% $-134.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $143 4 3W / 1L 75.0% $60.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,733 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $95.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,567 6 2W / 4L 33.3% $-409.00
$5k - $10k $6,450 4 3W / 1L 75.0% $200.00
$10k+ $50,300 3 1W / 2L 33.3% $-183.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports, LowVig performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Polymarket 20 12W / 8L 60.0% $-22.00
BookMaker 4 2W / 2L 50.0% $-75.00
FanDuel 9 3W / 6L 33.3% $-1,213.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports, LowVig

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/04/26
Georgia Tech vs Californi...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket California Liq $10.5... -350 90-85 6h 15m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa B...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Buffalo Sabres Liq $... +166 3-4 3h 14m LOSS $-100.00
01/31/26
Georgetown vs Butler
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Butler Liq $2.4k -240 64-77 2h 40m LOSS $-240.00
01/29/26
Anaheim Ducks vs Vancouve...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Anaheim Ducks Liq $4... -134 0-2 22h 46m LOSS $-134.00
01/29/26
Utah Valley vs Tarleton S...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
FanDuel Utah Valley Liq $1.9... -185 83-55 9h 40m WIN +$100.00
01/28/26
New York Knicks vs Toront...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket New York Knicks Liq... +110 119-92 12h 27m WIN +$110.00
01/27/26
Purdue vs Indiana
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Purdue Liq $3.8k -190 67-72 5h 43m LOSS $-190.00
01/27/26
George Washington vs Sain...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Saint Louis Liq $4.5... -450 79-76 7h 18m WIN +$100.00
01/27/26
Utah Mammoth vs Florida P...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Florida Panthers Liq... -148 3-4 7h 45m LOSS $-148.00
01/25/26
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Team Total
FanDuel Denver Broncos Over... -115 7 48h 19m LOSS $-115.00
01/24/26
Utah Mammoth vs Nashville...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Utah Mammoth Liq $3.... -115 5-2 4h 50m WIN +$100.00
01/21/26
Northern Iowa vs Illinois...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Illinois State Liq $... -325 59-54 9h 55m WIN +$100.00
01/21/26
Philadelphia Flyers vs Ut...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Utah Mammoth Liq $17... -173 5-4 54m WIN +$100.00
01/21/26
Indiana Pacers vs Boston...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Indiana Pacers Liq $... +390 104-119 5h 27m LOSS $-100.00
01/19/26
San Jose Sharks vs Florid...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Florida Panthers Liq... -185 1-4 19h 7m LOSS $-185.00
01/17/26
Carolina Hurricanes vs Ne...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Carolina Hurricanes... -116 4-1 2h 20m WIN +$100.00
01/12/26
Seattle Kraken vs New Yor...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket New York Rangers Liq... -135 2-4 8h 26m LOSS $-135.00
01/12/26
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ph...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Tampa Bay Lightning... -143 5-1 6h 16m WIN +$100.00
01/12/26
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ph...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Tampa Bay Lightning... -155 5-1 9h 13m WIN +$100.00
01/11/26
Los Angeles Chargers vs N...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Polymarket New England Patriots... -180 16-3 54h 22m WIN +$100.00
01/07/26
Creighton vs Villanova
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
FanDuel Villanova Liq $2.4k -240 72-76 4h 6m LOSS $-240.00
01/06/26
Texas Tech vs Houston
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Houston Liq $5.0k -250 69-65 6h 18m WIN +$100.00
01/06/26
Texas Tech vs Houston
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Houston Liq $5.0k -250 69-65 7h 53m WIN +$100.00
12/29/25
Los Angeles Rams vs Atlan...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
FanDuel Los Angeles Rams Liq... -435 24-27 184h 14m LOSS $-435.00
12/29/25
Los Angeles Rams vs Atlan...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
FanDuel Los Angeles Rams Liq... -435 24-27 183h 55m LOSS $-435.00
12/28/25
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs M...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
FanDuel Tampa Bay Buccaneers... -210 17-20 153h 3m LOSS $-210.00
12/28/25
New Orleans Saints vs Ten...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
BookMaker New Orleans Saints L... -130 10-20 89h 20m LOSS $-130.00
12/28/25
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs M...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
BookMaker, Pinnacle Tampa Bay Buccaneers... -210 17-20 153h 28m LOSS $-210.00
12/28/25
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs M...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
BookMaker Tampa Bay Buccaneers... -210 17-20 155h 15m LOSS $-210.00
12/27/25
Baltimore Ravens vs Green...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
FanDuel Baltimore Ravens Liq... +132 41-24 102h 24m WIN +$132.00