Polymarket Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook

Total Bets
2,188
Win Rate
51.5%
1127W / 1061L
Total P&L
$-224.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-0.10
ROI
-0.1%

Best Matchups

vs LowVig
$2,466.00
381 bets (53.0%)
vs DraftKings
$1,629.00
26 bets (73.1%)
vs Kalshi
$1,382.00
37 bets (64.9%)
vs LowVig, Pinnacle
$418.00
8 bets (75.0%)
vs BookMaker, Pinnacle
$400.00
4 bets (100.0%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-1,236
137 bets
46.7% win
1-3 hours
$1,131
189 bets
53.4% win
3-6 hours
$-294
259 bets
51.0% win
6-12 hours
$-365
526 bets
52.1% win
12-24 hours
$-4,745
811 bets
48.2% win
> 24 hours
$5,285
266 bets
62.0% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$1,409
64 bets
56.3% win
15-30 min
$-1,132
27 bets
33.3% win
30-60 min
$-1,513
46 bets
41.3% win
1-2 hours
$972
93 bets
54.8% win
2-4 hours
$75
180 bets
53.3% win
4-8 hours
$-84
363 bets
50.4% win
8-24 hours
$-5,236
1149 bets
49.4% win
24+ hours
$5,285
266 bets
62.0% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 495 278W / 217L 56.2% -0.77% +5.33% $2,638.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 401 202W / 199L 50.4% -0.46% +0.16% $64.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 102 53W / 49L 52.0% -0.36% -4.56% $-465.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 161 78W / 83L 48.4% -0.24% -3.56% $-573.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 57 32W / 25L 56.1% -0.17% +11.91% $679.00
-0.1% to 0% 3 0W / 3L 0.0% -0.07% -244.33% $-733.00
0% to +0.1% 71 41W / 30L 57.7% +0.00% +15.54% $1,103.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 107 51W / 56L 47.7% +0.16% -23.16% $-2,478.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 288 153W / 135L 53.1% +0.23% +4.33% $1,248.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 88 43W / 45L 48.9% +0.34% +7.09% $624.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 163 77W / 86L 47.2% +0.46% -6.10% $-994.00
+0.5% to +1% 252 119W / 133L 47.2% +0.70% -5.31% $-1,337.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $205 326 165W / 161L 50.6% $745.00
$500 - $1k $698 169 74W / 95L 43.8% $-2,414.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,547 337 164W / 173L 48.7% $-2,636.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,342 326 177W / 149L 54.3% $2,216.00
$5k - $10k $6,553 171 98W / 73L 57.3% $2,551.00
$10k+ $38,385 176 88W / 88L 50.0% $-2,502.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
LowVig 381 202W / 179L 53.0% $2,466.00
DraftKings 26 19W / 7L 73.1% $1,629.00
Kalshi 37 24W / 13L 64.9% $1,382.00
LowVig, Pinnacle 8 6W / 2L 75.0% $418.00
BookMaker, Pinnacle 4 4W / 0L 100.0% $400.00
Caesars 7 5W / 2L 71.4% $326.00
Fanatics 11 7W / 4L 63.6% $320.00
BookMaker, FanDuel 3 3W / 0L 100.0% $316.00
bet105, LowVig 3 3W / 0L 100.0% $300.00
bet105, Pinnacle 39 23W / 16L 59.0% $249.00
bet105, BookMaker, Pinnacle 4 3W / 1L 75.0% $212.00
Circa Sports, LowVig 21 9W / 12L 42.9% $94.00
Circa Sports, Pinnacle 7 4W / 3L 57.1% $90.00
Circa Sports, FanDuel, LowVig 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $23.00
BookMaker, Circa Sports, LowVig 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $0.00
bet105, FanDuel, Pinnacle 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $0.00
BookMaker 154 80W / 74L 51.9% $-4.00
BookMaker, LowVig 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-22.00
FanDuel, Pinnacle 3 1W / 2L 33.3% $-92.00
bet105 92 46W / 46L 50.0% $-97.00
bet105, FanDuel 3 1W / 2L 33.3% $-100.00
BookMaker, Circa Sports 7 3W / 4L 42.9% $-114.00
crypto.com 3 1W / 2L 33.3% $-191.00
bet105, LowVig, Pinnacle 2 0W / 2L 0.0% $-244.00
Circa Sports 492 245W / 247L 49.8% $-623.00
Pinnacle 221 111W / 110L 50.2% $-1,683.00
Circa Sports, FanDuel 28 11W / 17L 39.3% $-1,735.00
FanDuel 613 304W / 309L 49.6% $-3,969.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/13/26
North Carolina A&T vs Ham...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Fanatics North Carolina A&T L... +133 71-70 13h 27m WIN +$133.00
02/13/26
North Carolina A&T vs Ham...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
BookMaker North Carolina A&T L... +150 71-70 3h 18m WIN +$150.00
02/13/26
North Carolina A&T vs Ham...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
BookMaker North Carolina A&T L... +156 71-70 2h 4m WIN +$156.00
02/13/26
Massachusetts vs Akron
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
FanDuel Under 161.5 Liq $11... +113 191 (92-99) 4h 37m LOSS $-100.00
02/13/26
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
BookMaker Wisconsin Liq $14 $1... +122 92-71 11h 20m WIN +$122.00
02/13/26
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Circa Sports Over 148.5 Liq $192... +113 163 (71-92) 5h 19m WIN +$113.00
02/13/26
Manhattan vs Niagara
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
DraftKings Niagara Liq $386 $10 -117 69-76 15h 18m LOSS $-117.00
02/12/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Caesars Dallas Mavericks Liq... +233 104-124 25h 13m LOSS $-100.00
02/12/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Over 237.5 Liq $4.3k... +100 228 (104-124) 48m LOSS $-100.00
02/12/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Circa Sports Under 232.5 Liq $873... +113 228 (104-124) 16h 31m WIN +$113.00
02/12/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
LowVig Under 238.5 Liq $19... +108 254 (135-119) 14h 27m LOSS $-100.00
02/12/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
LowVig Portland Trail Blaze... -245 135-119 19h 53m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
DraftKings Portland Trail Blaze... -245 135-119 22h 37m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Caesars Over 146.5 Liq $87 $... +113 149 (83-66) 6h 17m WIN +$113.00
02/12/26
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
DraftKings Over 146.5 Liq $435... +117 149 (83-66) 6h 30m WIN +$117.00
02/12/26
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Circa Sports Over 145.5 Liq $594... +113 149 (83-66) 7h 13m WIN +$113.00
02/12/26
Southeast Missouri State...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Circa Sports Over 138.5 Liq $1.6k... +113 130 (56-74) 1h 43m LOSS $-100.00
02/12/26
Kansas City vs Oral Rober...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Circa Sports Under 146.5 Liq $391... +113 129 (60-69) 9h 58m WIN +$113.00
02/12/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Circa Sports Under 215.5 Liq $14... +113 203 (110-93) 17h 18m WIN +$113.00
02/12/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Under 215.5 Liq $14... +113 203 (110-93) 17h 18m WIN +$113.00
02/12/26
Purdue Fort Wayne vs Gree...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Caesars Under 142.5 Liq $73... +113 124 (63-61) 7h 34m WIN +$113.00
02/12/26
Northern Kentucky vs IUPU...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
FanDuel Under 162.5 Liq $164... +113 165 (84-81) 8h 52m LOSS $-100.00
02/12/26
Bryant vs UMass Lowell
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
FanDuel UMass Lowell Liq $13... -213 88-69 16h 38m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Under 219.5 Liq $942... +113 239 (126-113) 15h 21m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
DraftKings San Antonio Spurs Li... -203 126-113 45m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
DraftKings San Antonio Spurs Li... -194 126-113 21h 7m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
FanDuel San Antonio Spurs Li... -223 126-113 11h 23m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
FanDuel San Antonio Spurs Li... -213 126-113 Live WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Pinnacle Oklahoma City Thunde... -233 136-109 21h 14m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
DraftKings Oklahoma City Thunde... -233 136-109 19h 49m WIN +$100.00