Polymarket Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Total Points )

Total Bets
736
Win Rate
42.3%
311W / 425L
Total P&L
$-9,148.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-12.43
ROI
-12.4%

Best Matchups

vs DraftKings
$600.00
10 bets (70.0%)
vs Circa Sports, FanDuel
$224.00
4 bets (75.0%)
vs Kalshi
$93.00
10 bets (50.0%)
vs bet105, Pinnacle
$58.00
12 bets (50.0%)
vs BookMaker
$-404.00
25 bets (40.0%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-684
69 bets
43.5% win
1-3 hours
$309
89 bets
49.4% win
3-6 hours
$462
108 bets
50.0% win
6-12 hours
$-2,109
177 bets
42.9% win
12-24 hours
$-7,567
264 bets
34.5% win
> 24 hours
$441
29 bets
55.2% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$267
35 bets
51.4% win
15-30 min
$-362
14 bets
35.7% win
30-60 min
$-589
20 bets
35.0% win
1-2 hours
$189
50 bets
50.0% win
2-4 hours
$527
73 bets
50.7% win
4-8 hours
$-416
153 bets
47.1% win
8-24 hours
$-9,205
362 bets
36.2% win
24+ hours
$441
29 bets
55.2% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 137 60W / 77L 43.8% -0.80% -11.00% $-1,507.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 178 84W / 94L 47.2% -0.46% -2.72% $-484.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -0.40% +122.00% $122.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 42 14W / 28L 33.3% -0.23% -31.90% $-1,340.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 4 3W / 1L 75.0% -0.18% +54.00% $216.00
0% to +0.1% 19 12W / 7L 63.2% +0.00% +29.89% $568.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 13 5W / 8L 38.5% +0.18% -10.08% $-131.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 121 41W / 80L 33.9% +0.23% -29.88% $-3,615.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 3 1W / 2L 33.3% +0.33% -33.33% $-100.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 69 30W / 39L 43.5% +0.46% -9.94% $-686.00
+0.5% to +1% 149 60W / 89L 40.3% +0.68% -14.70% $-2,191.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $220 140 55W / 85L 39.3% $-2,491.00
$500 - $1k $685 116 43W / 73L 37.1% $-2,707.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,449 143 57W / 86L 39.9% $-2,360.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,378 78 44W / 34L 56.4% $1,225.00
$5k - $10k $6,694 32 19W / 13L 59.4% $711.00
$10k+ $27,022 32 13W / 19L 40.6% $-474.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
DraftKings 10 7W / 3L 70.0% $600.00
Caesars 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $226.00
Circa Sports, FanDuel 4 3W / 1L 75.0% $224.00
BookMaker, FanDuel 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $216.00
Kalshi 10 5W / 5L 50.0% $93.00
bet105, Pinnacle 12 6W / 6L 50.0% $58.00
FanDuel, Pinnacle 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $8.00
BookMaker 25 10W / 15L 40.0% $-404.00
Bet105 47 18W / 29L 38.3% $-1,129.00
Pinnacle 54 21W / 33L 38.9% $-1,148.00
Circa Sports 122 48W / 74L 39.3% $-2,056.00
FanDuel 287 127W / 160L 44.3% $-2,430.00
LowVig 151 59W / 92L 39.1% $-3,000.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/13/26
Massachusetts vs Akron
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
FanDuel Under 161.5 Liq $11... +113 191 (92-99) 4h 37m LOSS $-100.00
02/13/26
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Circa Sports Over 148.5 Liq $192... +113 163 (71-92) 5h 19m WIN +$113.00
02/12/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Over 237.5 Liq $4.3k... +100 228 (104-124) 48m LOSS $-100.00
02/12/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Circa Sports Under 232.5 Liq $873... +113 228 (104-124) 16h 31m WIN +$113.00
02/12/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
LowVig Under 238.5 Liq $19... +108 254 (135-119) 14h 27m LOSS $-100.00
02/12/26
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Caesars Over 146.5 Liq $87 $... +113 149 (83-66) 6h 17m WIN +$113.00
02/12/26
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Circa Sports Over 145.5 Liq $594... +113 149 (83-66) 7h 13m WIN +$113.00
02/12/26
Southeast Missouri State...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Circa Sports Over 138.5 Liq $1.6k... +113 130 (56-74) 1h 43m LOSS $-100.00
02/12/26
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
DraftKings Over 146.5 Liq $435... +117 149 (83-66) 6h 30m WIN +$117.00
02/12/26
Kansas City vs Oral Rober...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Circa Sports Under 146.5 Liq $391... +113 129 (60-69) 9h 58m WIN +$113.00
02/12/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Circa Sports Under 215.5 Liq $14... +113 203 (110-93) 17h 18m WIN +$113.00
02/12/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Under 215.5 Liq $14... +113 203 (110-93) 17h 18m WIN +$113.00
02/12/26
Purdue Fort Wayne vs Gree...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Caesars Under 142.5 Liq $73... +113 124 (63-61) 7h 34m WIN +$113.00
02/12/26
Northern Kentucky vs IUPU...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
FanDuel Under 162.5 Liq $164... +113 165 (84-81) 8h 52m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Under 219.5 Liq $942... +113 239 (126-113) 15h 21m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
DraftKings Over 216.5 Liq $20 $... +144 245 (136-109) 8m WIN +$144.00
02/11/26
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Over 230.5 Liq $300... -104 214 (93-121) 16h 27m LOSS $-104.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Circa Sports Over 213.5 Liq $1.1k... +113 245 (136-109) 13m WIN +$113.00
02/11/26
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Over 230.5 Liq $130... -104 214 (93-121) 11h 41m LOSS $-104.00
02/11/26
Memphis Grizzlies vs Denv...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Circa Sports Under 236.5 Liq $4.5... +113 238 (116-122) 12h 48m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
DraftKings Over 213.5 Liq $13.6... +113 245 (136-109) 11m WIN +$113.00
02/11/26
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Over 231.5 Liq $1.2k... +104 214 (93-121) 17h 11m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Over 232.5 Liq $218... +117 214 (93-121) 11h 56m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Over 232.5 Liq $36 $... +113 214 (93-121) 17h 13m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Indiana Pacers vs Brookly...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Under 214.5 Liq $436... +108 225 (115-110) 12h 45m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Chicago Bulls vs Boston C...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
DraftKings Over 226.5 Liq $1.4k... +108 229 (105-124) 21h 17m WIN +$108.00
02/11/26
Indiana Pacers vs Brookly...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Under 215.5 Liq $4.1... +100 225 (115-110) 12h 49m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Circa Sports Under 154.5 Liq $401... +113 160 (81-79) 1h 44m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Chicago Bulls vs Boston C...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Under 224.5 Liq $1.0... +113 229 (105-124) 17h 13m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Washington Wizards vs Cle...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Under 237.5 Liq $341... +113 251 (113-138) 13h 15m LOSS $-100.00