Polymarket Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Total Goals )

Total Bets
144
Win Rate
57.6%
83W / 61L
Total P&L
$2,383.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$16.55
ROI
16.5%

Best Matchups

vs LowVig
$1,150.00
27 bets (70.4%)
vs FanDuel
$862.00
21 bets (71.4%)
vs BookMaker
$520.00
13 bets (69.2%)
vs bet105
$113.00
5 bets (60.0%)
vs Circa Sports
$-53.00
21 bets (47.6%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$508
9 bets
77.8% win
1-3 hours
$676
16 bets
68.8% win
3-6 hours
$-49
24 bets
50.0% win
6-12 hours
$501
44 bets
54.5% win
12-24 hours
$530
47 bets
55.3% win
> 24 hours
$217
4 bets
75.0% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$200
2 bets
100.0% win
15-30 min
$108
3 bets
66.7% win
30-60 min
$200
4 bets
75.0% win
1-2 hours
$654
8 bets
87.5% win
2-4 hours
$317
15 bets
60.0% win
4-8 hours
$-257
35 bets
45.7% win
8-24 hours
$944
73 bets
56.2% win
24+ hours
$217
4 bets
75.0% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 51 26W / 25L 51.0% -0.81% +0.22% $11.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 31 21W / 10L 67.7% -0.46% +38.58% $1,196.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 3 1W / 2L 33.3% -0.37% -33.33% $-100.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 15 9W / 6L 60.0% -0.23% +23.60% $354.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -0.18% +133.00% $133.00
0% to +0.1% 8 5W / 3L 62.5% +0.00% +25.63% $205.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% +0.19% +0.00% $0.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 14 9W / 5L 64.3% +0.24% +30.21% $423.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% +0.36% +0.00% $0.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 10 4W / 6L 40.0% +0.44% -16.00% $-160.00
+0.5% to +1% 7 5W / 2L 71.4% +0.76% +45.86% $321.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $213 24 17W / 7L 70.8% $999.00
$500 - $1k $757 4 3W / 1L 75.0% $200.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,628 32 14W / 18L 43.8% $-412.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,637 30 15W / 15L 50.0% $40.00
$5k - $10k $7,713 8 5W / 3L 62.5% $204.00
$10k+ $19,717 6 3W / 3L 50.0% $-27.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
LowVig 27 19W / 8L 70.4% $1,150.00
FanDuel 21 15W / 6L 71.4% $862.00
BookMaker 13 9W / 4L 69.2% $520.00
Circa Sports, FanDuel, LowVig 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $226.00
bet105 5 3W / 2L 60.0% $113.00
Kalshi 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $0.00
LowVig, Pinnacle 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-4.00
Circa Sports 21 10W / 11L 47.6% $-53.00
Pinnacle 42 20W / 22L 47.6% $-127.00
BookMaker, Circa Sports 2 0W / 2L 0.0% $-204.00
Circa Sports, FanDuel 3 0W / 3L 0.0% $-308.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/05/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Bu...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
LowVig Over 6.5 Liq $171 $1... -108 7 (5-2) 10h 42m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Seattle Kraken vs Anaheim...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Under 6.5 Liq $6.0k... -104 6 (2-4) 1h 41m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ed...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
LowVig Over 6.5 Liq $181 $1... -117 7 (5-2) 21h 56m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ed...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Over 6.5 Liq $1.2k $... -127 7 (5-2) 13h 51m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ed...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Over 6.5 Liq $1.3k $... -127 7 (5-2) 16h 35m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Ne...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Over 5.5 Liq $1.1k $... -122 9 (4-5) 14h 16m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Columbus Blue Jackets vs...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
FanDuel Over 5.5 Liq $474 $1... -122 3 (3-0) 3h 1m LOSS $-122.00
02/02/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ca...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Over 6.5 Liq $3.2k $... +117 6 (4-2) 5h 34m LOSS $-100.00
02/02/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ca...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Over 6.5 Liq $144k $... +113 6 (4-2) 8h 2m LOSS $-100.00
02/02/26
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Circa Sports Over 6.5 Liq $15.5k... +108 8 (2-6) 22m WIN +$108.00
02/02/26
St. Louis Blues vs Nashvi...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
FanDuel Under 6.5 Liq $1.7k... -133 11 (5-6) 10h 43m LOSS $-133.00
02/02/26
Montreal Canadiens vs Min...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Over 6.5 Liq $8.1k $... +104 7 (3-4) 9h 57m WIN +$104.00
02/02/26
Montreal Canadiens vs Min...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Over 6.5 Liq $3.9k $... +104 7 (3-4) 13h 47m WIN +$104.00
02/02/26
New York Islanders vs Was...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
FanDuel Over 5.5 Liq $168 $1... -150 5 (1-4) 5h 2m LOSS $-150.00
02/02/26
New York Islanders vs Was...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Over 6.5 Liq $114k $... +104 5 (1-4) 5h 25m LOSS $-100.00
02/02/26
Ottawa Senators vs Pittsb...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
LowVig Over 6.5 Liq $133 $1... +104 5 (3-2) 8h 22m LOSS $-100.00
02/01/26
Vegas Golden Knights vs A...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
BookMaker Over 6.5 Liq $8.7k $... -104 7 (3-4) 9m WIN +$100.00
01/31/26
Minnesota Wild vs Edmonto...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Circa Sports Under 6.5 Liq $28.9k... +122 10 (7-3) 1h 49m LOSS $-100.00
01/31/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Va...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Bookmaker Under 6.5 +108 5 (3-2) 14h 56m WIN +$108.00
01/31/26
Montreal Canadiens vs Buf...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
BookMaker Over 6.5 Liq $226 $1... -104 6 (4-2) 2h 58m LOSS $-104.00
01/29/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Se...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
LowVig Over 6.5 Liq $1.2k $... +100 7 (2-5) 22h 45m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Anaheim Ducks vs Vancouve...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Over 6.5 Liq $152 $1... -113 2 (0-2) 14h 39m LOSS $-113.00
01/29/26
San Jose Sharks vs Edmont...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Circa Sports Under 6.5 Liq $6.5k... +122 7 (3-4) 13h 12m LOSS $-100.00
01/29/26
Washington Capitals vs De...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
BookMaker Over 6.5 Liq $168 $1... +100 7 (4-3) 3h 56m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Washington Capitals vs De...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
BookMaker Over 6.5 Liq $156 $1... +100 7 (4-3) 4h 20m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Washington Capitals vs De...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
BookMaker Over 6.5 Liq $106 $1... +100 7 (4-3) 3h 47m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Ba...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Over 5.5 Liq $13.2k... +100 5 (1-4) 2h 7m LOSS $-100.00
01/28/26
Colorado Avalanche vs Ott...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
LowVig Over 6.5 Liq $103 $1... -117 7 (2-5) 26h 40m WIN +$100.00
01/28/26
Colorado Avalanche vs Ott...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
LowVig Over 6.5 Liq $202 $1... -117 7 (2-5) 13h 18m WIN +$100.00
01/28/26
Philadelphia Flyers vs Co...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
LowVig Under 6.5 Liq $228 $... -108 8 (3-5) 19h 15m LOSS $-108.00