LowVig Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook

Total Bets
1,654
Win Rate
50.2%
831W / 823L
Total P&L
$-3,209.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-1.94
ROI
-1.9%

Best Matchups

vs Circa Sports
$2,165.00
56 bets (67.9%)
vs Kalshi
$829.00
29 bets (65.5%)
vs bet105
$391.00
59 bets (54.2%)
vs Circa Sports, Polymarket
$309.00
3 bets (100.0%)
vs BookMaker, Pinnacle
$105.00
3 bets (66.7%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$418
138 bets
52.2% win
1-3 hours
$-733
153 bets
49.0% win
3-6 hours
$11
217 bets
53.0% win
6-12 hours
$-2,417
408 bets
47.1% win
12-24 hours
$1,295
493 bets
52.3% win
> 24 hours
$-1,783
245 bets
48.6% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$-309
62 bets
48.4% win
15-30 min
$1,020
22 bets
72.7% win
30-60 min
$-293
54 bets
48.1% win
1-2 hours
$254
77 bets
53.2% win
2-4 hours
$-679
147 bets
49.7% win
4-8 hours
$-793
293 bets
51.2% win
8-24 hours
$-626
754 bets
49.9% win
24+ hours
$-1,783
245 bets
48.6% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1.5% to -1% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -1.16% +100.00% $100.00
-1% to -0.5% 644 316W / 328L 49.1% -0.83% -4.41% $-2,840.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 234 119W / 115L 50.9% -0.48% -0.96% $-224.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 31 13W / 18L 41.9% -0.36% -34.65% $-1,074.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 151 76W / 75L 50.3% -0.24% -0.91% $-137.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 14 10W / 4L 71.4% -0.18% +32.00% $448.00
-0.1% to 0% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% -0.08% +0.00% $0.00
0% to +0.1% 77 34W / 43L 44.2% +0.00% -16.57% $-1,276.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 34 13W / 21L 38.2% +0.15% -6.32% $-215.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 261 139W / 122L 53.3% +0.24% +5.44% $1,420.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 21 11W / 10L 52.4% +0.35% -14.95% $-314.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 115 59W / 56L 51.3% +0.47% +0.35% $40.00
+0.5% to +1% 69 39W / 30L 56.5% +0.71% +12.51% $863.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $222 168 93W / 75L 55.4% $1,296.00
$500 - $1k $663 98 45W / 53L 45.9% $-999.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,501 137 77W / 60L 56.2% $1,617.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,415 86 38W / 48L 44.2% $-1,318.00
$5k - $10k $6,776 45 19W / 26L 42.2% $-754.00
$10k+ $43,164 69 33W / 36L 47.8% $133.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How LowVig performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Circa Sports 56 38W / 18L 67.9% $2,165.00
Kalshi 29 19W / 10L 65.5% $829.00
bet105 59 32W / 27L 54.2% $391.00
Circa Sports, Polymarket 3 3W / 0L 100.0% $309.00
BookMaker, Pinnacle 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $105.00
FanDuel, Pinnacle 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $0.00
bet105, Polymarket 2 0W / 2L 0.0% $-202.00
bet105, Pinnacle, Polymarket 2 0W / 2L 0.0% $-206.00
Pinnacle, Polymarket 4 1W / 3L 25.0% $-213.00
DraftKings 3 0W / 3L 0.0% $-333.00
BookMaker 94 44W / 50L 46.8% $-433.00
bet105, Pinnacle 49 22W / 27L 44.9% $-614.00
Pinnacle 538 265W / 273L 49.3% $-1,334.00
FanDuel 289 153W / 136L 52.9% $-1,409.00
Polymarket 516 249W / 267L 48.3% $-2,196.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for LowVig

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/13/26
Ohio vs Miami Ohio
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Miami Ohio -10.5 -101 90-74 14h 26m WIN +$100.00
02/13/26
Massachusetts vs Akron
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Akron -13.5 +101 99-92 18h 26m LOSS $-100.00
02/13/26
Saint Louis vs Loyola Chi...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Loyola Chicago +18.5 -101 59-86 5h 7m LOSS $-101.00
02/13/26
Saint Louis vs Loyola Chi...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Saint Louis -18.5 -106 86-59 19h 18m WIN +$100.00
02/13/26
Saint Louis vs Loyola Chi...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Total Points
bet105 Under 74 -103 68 (39-29) 8h 7m WIN +$100.00
02/13/26
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
BookMaker Wisconsin +2 -106 92-71 25h 40m WIN +$100.00
02/13/26
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
DraftKings Under 147.5 -108 163 (71-92) 20h 30m LOSS $-108.00
02/13/26
Manhattan vs Niagara
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Manhattan -1.5 -111 76-69 13m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Team Total
DraftKings Los Angeles Lakers U... -115 124 7h 21m LOSS $-115.00
02/12/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Los Angeles Lakers -... -106 124-104 13h 27m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Utah Jazz +248 119-135 19h 53m LOSS $-100.00
02/12/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 238.5 -107 254 (135-119) 14h 27m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Circa Sports California Baptist -210 83-66 4h 37m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Portland State vs Norther...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Portland State -7.5 -106 77-68 11h 19m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Team Total
DraftKings Milwaukee Bucks Unde... -110 110 5h 5m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
Central Connecticut vs Ne...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Circa Sports New Haven +149 70-76 1h 3m LOSS $-100.00
02/12/26
Middle Tennessee vs Kenne...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
BookMaker Kennesaw State -3 -101 87-90 24h 53m LOSS $-101.00
02/11/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Minnesota Timberwolv... +101 133-109 2m WIN +$101.00
02/11/26
Chicago Bulls vs Boston C...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Chicago Bulls +14.5 -106 105-124 18h 8m LOSS $-106.00
02/10/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Team Total
FanDuel San Antonio Spurs Ov... -115 84-55 11m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
Iowa State vs TCU
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
FanDuel TCU +7 +106 62-55 16h 34m WIN +$106.00
02/09/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 218 -107 229 (119-110) 20h 25m WIN +$100.00
02/09/26
Memphis Grizzlies vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Golden State Warrior... -111 114-113 25h 47m LOSS $-111.00
02/09/26
Arizona vs Kansas
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Fanatics Kansas +132 82-78 30h 11m WIN +$132.00
02/09/26
Arizona vs Kansas
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
bet105 Kansas +2.5 +109 82-78 17h 7m WIN +$109.00
02/09/26
Arizona vs Kansas
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Kansas +140 82-78 16h 15m WIN +$140.00
02/09/26
Belmont vs Bradley
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Belmont -135 84-95 12h 35m LOSS $-135.00
02/09/26
Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Chicago Bulls -3.5 -106 115-123 21h 44m LOSS $-106.00
02/09/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Orland...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
bet105 Over 113.5 -108 105 (54-51) Live LOSS $-108.00
02/09/26
Detroit Pistons vs Charlo...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Detroit Pistons -3 +104 110-104 18h 15m WIN +$104.00