LowVig Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Total Points )

Total Bets
496
Win Rate
54.8%
272W / 224L
Total P&L
$3,428.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$6.91
ROI
6.9%

Best Matchups

vs Polymarket
$2,955.00
151 bets (60.9%)
vs Kalshi
$535.00
20 bets (65.0%)
vs Circa Sports
$410.00
6 bets (83.3%)
vs bet105
$241.00
25 bets (56.0%)
vs Pinnacle
$-47.00
211 bets (51.2%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$160
49 bets
53.1% win
1-3 hours
$-177
55 bets
50.9% win
3-6 hours
$-340
79 bets
49.4% win
6-12 hours
$122
108 bets
51.9% win
12-24 hours
$3,582
149 bets
63.1% win
> 24 hours
$81
56 bets
51.8% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$-170
23 bets
47.8% win
15-30 min
$476
11 bets
72.7% win
30-60 min
$-146
15 bets
46.7% win
1-2 hours
$-435
28 bets
46.4% win
2-4 hours
$287
46 bets
54.3% win
4-8 hours
$-189
103 bets
50.5% win
8-24 hours
$3,524
214 bets
59.3% win
24+ hours
$81
56 bets
51.8% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 185 101W / 84L 54.6% -0.83% +6.54% $1,209.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 59 28W / 31L 47.5% -0.48% -7.22% $-426.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% -0.38% -265.00% $-265.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 40 23W / 17L 57.5% -0.23% +12.93% $517.00
0% to +0.1% 19 9W / 10L 47.4% +0.00% -9.05% $-172.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 136 83W / 53L 61.0% +0.23% +20.08% $2,731.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 40 23W / 17L 57.5% +0.47% +12.85% $514.00
+0.5% to +1% 16 5W / 11L 31.3% +0.69% -42.50% $-680.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $221 63 35W / 28L 55.6% $531.00
$500 - $1k $729 40 23W / 17L 57.5% $496.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,516 50 29W / 21L 58.0% $652.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,168 25 15W / 10L 60.0% $441.00
$5k - $10k $7,209 11 3W / 8L 27.3% $-550.00
$10k+ $26,517 12 9W / 3L 75.0% $578.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How LowVig performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Polymarket 151 92W / 59L 60.9% $2,955.00
Kalshi 20 13W / 7L 65.0% $535.00
Circa Sports 6 5W / 1L 83.3% $410.00
bet105 25 14W / 11L 56.0% $241.00
Pinnacle 211 108W / 103L 51.2% $-47.00
BookMaker 13 6W / 7L 46.2% $-120.00
bet105, Pinnacle 13 6W / 7L 46.2% $-143.00
FanDuel 55 28W / 27L 50.9% $-195.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for LowVig

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/13/26
Saint Louis vs Loyola Chi...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Total Points
bet105 Under 74 -103 68 (39-29) 8h 7m WIN +$100.00
02/13/26
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
DraftKings Under 147.5 -108 163 (71-92) 20h 30m LOSS $-108.00
02/12/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 238.5 -107 254 (135-119) 14h 27m WIN +$100.00
02/09/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 218 -107 229 (119-110) 20h 25m WIN +$100.00
02/09/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Orland...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
bet105 Over 113.5 -108 105 (54-51) Live LOSS $-108.00
02/08/26
New York Knicks vs Boston...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 214.5 -102 200 (111-89) 9h 46m LOSS $-102.00
02/07/26
Denver Nuggets vs Chicago...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
FanDuel Under 113.5 -103 124 (59-65) 10h 24m LOSS $-103.00
02/07/26
Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magi...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Under 237.5 -102 237 (117-120) 12h 37m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Baylor vs Iowa State
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Under 151.5 -103 141 (69-72) 4h 4m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Drexel vs Elon
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
bet105 Over 138 -108 159 (82-77) 13h 59m WIN +$100.00
02/06/26
Memphis Grizzlies vs Port...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 232.5 -107 250 (115-135) 41m WIN +$100.00
02/06/26
Miami Heat vs Boston Celt...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Under 230.5 -107 194 (96-98) 12h 45m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Philadelphia 76ers vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 235.5 -107 234 (115-119) 7m LOSS $-107.00
02/05/26
Golden State Warriors vs...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
FanDuel Over 103.5 -108 114 (59-55) 1h 13m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Golden State Warriors vs...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
Pinnacle Over 103 -108 114 (59-55) 3h 34m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Golden State Warriors vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Under 217.5 -107 198 (101-97) 19h 59m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Eastern Illinois vs Tenne...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Under 146 -103 169 (72-97) 5h 20m LOSS $-103.00
02/05/26
Charlotte Hornets vs Hous...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Quarter Total Points
FanDuel Under 54.5 -115 208 (109-99) 3h 55m LOSS $-115.00
02/05/26
Utah Jazz vs Atlanta Hawk...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
FanDuel Under 118.5 -103 121 (60-61) 7h 54m LOSS $-103.00
02/05/26
Washington Wizards vs Det...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Quarter Total Points
FanDuel Under 59.5 -110 243 (126-117) 32m LOSS $-110.00
02/04/26
Iowa vs Washington
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Kalshi Under 142.5 -108 158 (84-74) 7h 42m LOSS $-108.00
02/04/26
Loyola Marymount vs San F...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Total Points
bet105 Over 68 -103 69 (37-32) 3h 58m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
Boston Celtics vs Houston...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 210.5 -102 207 (114-93) 4h 41m LOSS $-102.00
02/04/26
Boston Celtics vs Houston...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
FanDuel Under 108.5 -108 91 (49-42) 4h 42m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
Boston Celtics vs Houston...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Under 216.5 -107 207 (114-93) 12h 33m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
Denver Nuggets vs New Yor...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 226.5 -107 261 (127-134) 4h 21m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
Seton Hall vs Villanova
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
bet105 Under 135 -108 132 (60-72) 17h 32m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
South Alabama vs Appalach...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 129.5 -108 122 (57-65) 20h 33m LOSS $-108.00
02/03/26
Phoenix Suns vs Portland...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 217.5 -107 255 (130-125) 12h 58m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Phoenix Suns vs Portland...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 218.5 -102 255 (130-125) 10h 50m WIN +$100.00