LowVig Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NBA / Total Points )

Clear Filters Back to Analytics
Total Bets
223
Win Rate
55.6%
124W / 99L
Total P&L
$1,940.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$8.70
ROI
8.7%

Best Matchups

vs Polymarket
$3,115.00
91 bets (68.1%)
vs FanDuel
$-192.00
35 bets (48.6%)
vs bet105, Pinnacle
$-224.00
6 bets (33.3%)
vs bet105
$-235.00
12 bets (41.7%)
vs Pinnacle
$-630.00
78 bets (47.4%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Performance by Sport

Click to filter by sport (showing Total Points markets)

Basketball • NBA
223 bets (55.6%)
$1,940.00
124W / 99L
Basketball • NCAAB
207 bets (55.1%)
$1,566.00
114W / 93L
Football • NFL
48 bets (52.1%)
$123.00
25W / 23L
Football • NCAAF
18 bets (50.0%)
$-201.00
9W / 9L

Performance by Market

Click to filter by market (showing Basketball • NBA only)

Total Points
178 bets (56.2%)
$1,739.00
100W / 78L
1st Half Moneyline
9 bets (55.6%)
$585.00
5W / 4L
1St Half Total Points
42 bets (57.1%)
$526.00
24W / 18L
1st Half Team Total
4 bets (100.0%)
$400.00
4W / 0L
1St Half Point Spread
12 bets (58.3%)
$175.00
7W / 5L
1st Quarter Total Points
3 bets (0.0%)
$-325.00
0W / 3L
Team Total
13 bets (38.5%)
$-365.00
5W / 8L
Moneyline
85 bets (32.9%)
$-1,447.00
28W / 57L
Point Spread
206 bets (43.2%)
$-3,210.00
89W / 117L

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$261
13 bets
61.5% win
1-3 hours
$76
17 bets
52.9% win
3-6 hours
$-31
43 bets
51.2% win
6-12 hours
$369
55 bets
54.5% win
12-24 hours
$1,480
91 bets
59.3% win
> 24 hours
$-215
4 bets
25.0% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$-229
6 bets
33.3% win
15-30 min
$400
4 bets
100.0% win
30-60 min
$90
3 bets
66.7% win
1-2 hours
$-108
7 bets
42.9% win
2-4 hours
$137
22 bets
54.5% win
4-8 hours
$-41
49 bets
51.0% win
8-24 hours
$1,906
128 bets
58.6% win
24+ hours
$-215
4 bets
25.0% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 88 46W / 42L 52.3% -0.81% +1.67% $147.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 27 13W / 14L 48.1% -0.48% -5.78% $-156.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 19 11W / 8L 57.9% -0.23% +13.79% $262.00
0% to +0.1% 3 2W / 1L 66.7% +0.00% +32.33% $97.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 63 41W / 22L 65.1% +0.23% +27.89% $1,757.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 18 9W / 9L 50.0% +0.48% -2.61% $-47.00
+0.5% to +1% 5 2W / 3L 40.0% +0.73% -24.00% $-120.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $200 17 9W / 8L 52.9% $53.00
$500 - $1k $782 17 12W / 5L 70.6% $659.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,528 32 18W / 14L 56.3% $310.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,141 17 12W / 5L 70.6% $669.00
$5k - $10k $6,990 10 3W / 7L 30.0% $-442.00
$10k+ $28,720 10 8W / 2L 80.0% $586.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How LowVig performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Polymarket 91 62W / 29L 68.1% $3,115.00
FanDuel 35 17W / 18L 48.6% $-192.00
bet105, Pinnacle 6 2W / 4L 33.3% $-224.00
bet105 12 5W / 7L 41.7% $-235.00
Pinnacle 78 37W / 41L 47.4% $-630.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for LowVig

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/12/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Over 238.5 -107 254 (135-119) 14h 27m WIN +$100.00
02/09/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Over 218 -107 229 (119-110) 20h 25m WIN +$100.00
02/09/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Orland...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
 bet105 Over 113.5 -108 105 (54-51) Live LOSS $-108.00
02/08/26
New York Knicks vs Boston...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Pinnacle Over 214.5 -102 200 (111-89) 9h 46m LOSS $-102.00
02/07/26
Denver Nuggets vs Chicago...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
 FanDuel Under 113.5 -103 124 (59-65) 10h 24m LOSS $-103.00
02/07/26
Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magi...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Under 237.5 -102 237 (117-120) 12h 37m WIN +$100.00
02/06/26
Memphis Grizzlies vs Port...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Over 232.5 -107 250 (115-135) 41m WIN +$100.00
02/06/26
Miami Heat vs Boston Celt...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Under 230.5 -107 194 (96-98) 12h 45m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Golden State Warriors vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Under 217.5 -107 198 (101-97) 19h 59m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Golden State Warriors vs...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
 FanDuel Over 103.5 -108 114 (59-55) 1h 13m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Philadelphia 76ers vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Over 235.5 -107 234 (115-119) 7m LOSS $-107.00
02/05/26
Golden State Warriors vs...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
 Pinnacle Over 103 -108 114 (59-55) 3h 34m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Charlotte Hornets vs Hous...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Quarter Total Points
 FanDuel Under 54.5 -115 208 (109-99) 3h 55m LOSS $-115.00
02/05/26
Utah Jazz vs Atlanta Hawk...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
 FanDuel Under 118.5 -103 121 (60-61) 7h 54m LOSS $-103.00
02/05/26
Washington Wizards vs Det...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Quarter Total Points
 FanDuel Under 59.5 -110 243 (126-117) 32m LOSS $-110.00
02/04/26
Boston Celtics vs Houston...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Over 210.5 -102 207 (114-93) 4h 41m LOSS $-102.00
02/04/26
Boston Celtics vs Houston...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Under 216.5 -107 207 (114-93) 12h 33m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
Boston Celtics vs Houston...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
 FanDuel Under 108.5 -108 91 (49-42) 4h 42m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
Denver Nuggets vs New Yor...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Over 226.5 -107 261 (127-134) 4h 21m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Phoenix Suns vs Portland...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Over 217.5 -107 255 (130-125) 12h 58m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Phoenix Suns vs Portland...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Over 218.5 -102 255 (130-125) 10h 50m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Chicago Bulls vs Milwauke...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Under 225.5 -107 246 (115-131) 16h 38m LOSS $-107.00
02/03/26
Boston Celtics vs Dallas...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 bet105 Over 223 -107 210 (110-100) 3h LOSS $-107.00
02/03/26
Atlanta Hawks vs Miami He...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Over 239.5 -107 242 (127-115) 14h 33m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
New York Knicks vs Washin...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Pinnacle Over 227.5 -102 233 (132-101) 16h 22m WIN +$100.00
02/02/26
Houston Rockets vs Indian...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Over 217.5 -107 232 (118-114) 24m WIN +$100.00
02/01/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Under 225.5 -102 232 (121-111) 1h 5m LOSS $-102.00
02/01/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Over 227.5 -102 232 (121-111) 19h 53m WIN +$100.00
02/01/26
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Po...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Under 229.5 -107 241 (130-111) 2h 12m LOSS $-107.00
02/01/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs P...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
 Polymarket Under 213.5 -107 210 (117-93) 13h 2m WIN +$100.00