LowVig Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NBA / Point Spread )

Total Bets
219
Win Rate
43.8%
96W / 123L
Total P&L
$-3,135.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-14.32
ROI
-14.3%

Best Matchups

vs bet105
$203.00
10 bets (60.0%)
vs FanDuel
$-3.00
4 bets (50.0%)
vs bet105, Pinnacle
$-232.00
18 bets (44.4%)
vs Pinnacle, Polymarket
$-313.00
3 bets (0.0%)
vs Polymarket
$-974.00
76 bets (44.7%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-212
8 bets
37.5% win
1-3 hours
$-320
13 bets
38.5% win
3-6 hours
$64
15 bets
53.3% win
6-12 hours
$-1,644
53 bets
35.8% win
12-24 hours
$-1,512
123 bets
44.7% win
> 24 hours
$489
7 bets
85.7% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$-105
5 bets
40.0% win
15-30 min
$102
1 bets
100.0% win
30-60 min
$-209
2 bets
0.0% win
1-2 hours
$99
3 bets
66.7% win
2-4 hours
$-119
13 bets
46.2% win
4-8 hours
$-892
32 bets
37.5% win
8-24 hours
$-2,500
156 bets
42.9% win
24+ hours
$489
7 bets
85.7% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 80 41W / 39L 51.3% -0.88% +0.74% $59.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 51 27W / 24L 52.9% -0.48% +3.75% $191.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 24 7W / 17L 29.2% -0.25% -42.33% $-1,016.00
0% to +0.1% 10 2W / 8L 20.0% +0.00% -62.70% $-627.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 23 6W / 17L 26.1% +0.24% -49.57% $-1,140.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 25 8W / 17L 32.0% +0.47% -40.08% $-1,002.00
+0.5% to +1% 6 5W / 1L 83.3% +0.72% +66.67% $400.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $208 21 10W / 11L 47.6% $-168.00
$500 - $1k $733 7 3W / 4L 42.9% $-121.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,640 20 10W / 10L 50.0% $-19.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,562 34 13W / 21L 38.2% $-867.00
$5k - $10k $6,210 10 3W / 7L 30.0% $-429.00
$10k+ $19,950 12 5W / 7L 41.7% $-222.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How LowVig performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
bet105 10 6W / 4L 60.0% $203.00
FanDuel 4 2W / 2L 50.0% $-3.00
bet105, Pinnacle, Polymarket 2 0W / 2L 0.0% $-206.00
bet105, Pinnacle 18 8W / 10L 44.4% $-232.00
Pinnacle, Polymarket 3 0W / 3L 0.0% $-313.00
Polymarket 76 34W / 42L 44.7% $-974.00
Pinnacle 105 46W / 59L 43.8% $-1,509.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for LowVig

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/12/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Los Angeles Lakers -... -106 124-104 13h 27m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Minnesota Timberwolv... +101 133-109 2m WIN +$101.00
02/11/26
Chicago Bulls vs Boston C...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Chicago Bulls +14.5 -106 105-124 18h 8m LOSS $-106.00
02/09/26
Memphis Grizzlies vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Golden State Warrior... -111 114-113 25h 47m LOSS $-111.00
02/09/26
Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Chicago Bulls -3.5 -106 115-123 21h 44m LOSS $-106.00
02/09/26
Detroit Pistons vs Charlo...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Detroit Pistons -3 +104 110-104 18h 15m WIN +$104.00
02/08/26
Indiana Pacers vs Toronto...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Toronto Raptors -8.5 -106 122-104 13h 2m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Golden State Warriors vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Pinnacle Los Angeles Lakers -... -101 105-99 23h 9m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Denver Nuggets vs Chicago...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Pinnacle Chicago Bulls +6 -106 120-136 22h 25m LOSS $-106.00
02/07/26
Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magi...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Pinnacle Orlando Magic -8 -101 120-117 16h 3m LOSS $-101.00
02/07/26
Houston Rockets vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Oklahoma City Thunde... -106 106-112 8h 7m LOSS $-106.00
02/06/26
New York Knicks vs Detroi...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105, Pinnacle New York Knicks -1 -106 80-118 13h 30m LOSS $-106.00
02/06/26
New York Knicks vs Detroi...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
FanDuel Detroit Pistons +2 -106 118-80 20h 52m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Golden State Warriors vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105, Pinnacle Golden State Warrior... -106 101-97 24h 9m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Philadelphia 76ers vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Los Angeles Lakers -... -111 119-115 17h 44m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Dall...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Pinnacle Dallas Mavericks +8.... -106 123-135 5h 50m LOSS $-106.00
02/05/26
Washington Wizards vs Det...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Washington Wizards +... -103 126-117 17h 50m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Lo...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Los Angeles Clippers... -106 91-124 8h 4m LOSS $-106.00
02/04/26
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Lo...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Los Angeles Clippers... +101 91-124 Live LOSS $-100.00
02/04/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket San Antonio Spurs +2... -101 116-106 19h 8m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
New Orleans Pelicans vs M...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Milwaukee Bucks +5 -101 141-137 16h 59m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
Minnesota Timberwolves vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105, Pinnacle Toronto Raptors +1.5 -101 126-128 15h 39m LOSS $-101.00
02/04/26
Denver Nuggets vs New Yor...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket New York Knicks -5.5 -101 134-127 15h 9m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Atlanta Hawks vs Miami He...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Point Spread
bet105, Pinnacle Miami Heat -1.5 -108 50-67 8h 47m LOSS $-108.00
02/03/26
Los Angeles Lakers vs Bro...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Pinnacle Los Angeles Lakers -... -106 125-109 20h 41m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Utah Jazz vs Indiana Pace...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Indiana Pacers -3.5 -101 122-131 14h 12m LOSS $-101.00
02/03/26
New York Knicks vs Washin...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Washington Wizards +... -106 101-132 14h 12m LOSS $-106.00
02/02/26
Minnesota Timberwolves vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Memphis Grizzlies +6... -111 137-128 4h 17m WIN +$100.00
02/01/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Pinnacle Denver Nuggets +5 -101 111-121 22h 54m LOSS $-101.00
02/01/26
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Po...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Cleveland Cavaliers... -106 130-111 17h 14m WIN +$100.00