LowVig Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Football • NCAAF / Point Spread )

Total Bets
54
Win Rate
46.3%
25W / 29L
Total P&L
$-813.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-15.06
ROI
-15.1%

Best Matchups

vs Circa Sports
$117.00
7 bets (57.1%)
vs Pinnacle
$-15.00
18 bets (50.0%)
vs Polymarket
$-38.00
14 bets (50.0%)
vs BookMaker
$-194.00
8 bets (37.5%)
vs FanDuel
$-683.00
7 bets (28.6%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-183
5 bets
40.0% win
1-3 hours
$309
7 bets
71.4% win
3-6 hours
$-462
3 bets
0.0% win
6-12 hours
$-39
5 bets
60.0% win
12-24 hours
$2
12 bets
50.0% win
> 24 hours
$-440
22 bets
40.9% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
30-60 min
$-283
4 bets
25.0% win
1-2 hours
$304
3 bets
100.0% win
2-4 hours
$5
4 bets
50.0% win
4-8 hours
$-607
5 bets
20.0% win
8-24 hours
$108
15 bets
53.3% win
24+ hours
$-440
22 bets
40.9% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 24 11W / 13L 45.8% -0.86% -11.38% $-273.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 14 3W / 11L 21.4% -0.48% -70.57% $-988.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% -0.36% -77.50% $-155.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 4 3W / 1L 75.0% -0.24% +50.00% $200.00
0% to +0.1% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% +0.00% -0.50% $-1.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 4 4W / 0L 100.0% +0.25% +101.00% $404.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 2 2W / 0L 100.0% +0.48% +100.00% $200.00
+0.5% to +1% 2 0W / 2L 0.0% +0.50% -100.00% $-200.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How LowVig performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Circa Sports 7 4W / 3L 57.1% $117.00
Pinnacle 18 9W / 9L 50.0% $-15.00
Polymarket 14 7W / 7L 50.0% $-38.00
BookMaker 8 3W / 5L 37.5% $-194.00
FanDuel 7 2W / 5L 28.6% $-683.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for LowVig

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
01/02/26
Wake Forest vs Mississipp...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket Mississippi State -2... -106 29-43 2h 10m LOSS $-106.00
01/02/26
Wake Forest vs Mississipp...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
BookMaker Wake Forest +3 +102 43-29 48h 9m WIN +$102.00
01/02/26
Navy vs Cincinnati
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket Cincinnati +7.5 -106 13-35 54h 28m LOSS $-106.00
01/02/26
Rice vs Texas State
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket Rice +17.5 -106 10-41 4h 58m LOSS $-106.00
01/02/26
Rice vs Texas State
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket Texas State -18.5 -106 41-10 1h 47m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Ole Miss vs Georgia
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Pinnacle Georgia -6.5 -106 34-39 284h 44m LOSS $-106.00
01/01/26
Ole Miss vs Georgia
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket Ole Miss +6.5 -103 39-34 19h 23m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket Alabama +7.5 -110 3-38 25h 37m LOSS $-110.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket Alabama +7.5 -110 3-38 28h 43m LOSS $-110.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
BookMaker Alabama +6.5 +109 3-38 292h 59m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Point Spread
Circa Sports Alabama +3.5 +102 0-17 130h 24m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Point Spread
BookMaker Texas Tech +0.5 +100 0-6 11h 9m LOSS $-100.00
12/31/25
Miami Florida vs Ohio Sta...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Pinnacle Miami Florida +10 -101 24-14 267h 11m WIN +$100.00
12/31/25
Miami Florida vs Ohio Sta...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Circa Sports Miami Florida +17.5 -300 24-14 53m WIN +$100.00
12/31/25
Iowa vs Vanderbilt
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Point Spread
BookMaker Iowa +2.5 +102 14-3 1h 39m WIN +$102.00
12/31/25
Iowa vs Vanderbilt
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket Iowa +5.5 -106 34-27 12h 21m WIN +$100.00
12/31/25
Iowa vs Vanderbilt
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket Iowa +5.5 -106 34-27 10h 42m WIN +$100.00
12/30/25
USC vs TCU
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Point Spread
Circa Sports TCU +2.5 -103 14-13 2m WIN +$100.00
12/30/25
USC vs TCU
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket TCU +6.5 -109 30-27 14h 53m WIN +$100.00
12/30/25
Tennessee vs Illinois
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket Tennessee -3.5 +106 28-30 13h 56m LOSS $-100.00
12/30/25
Tennessee vs Illinois
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket Tennessee -3.5 +106 28-30 15h LOSS $-100.00
12/30/25
Tennessee vs Illinois
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket Illinois +3.5 -108 30-28 18h 31m WIN +$100.00
12/30/25
Coastal Carolina vs Louis...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket Coastal Carolina +10... -101 14-23 6h 27m WIN +$100.00
12/29/25
Georgia Southern vs Appal...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
BookMaker Appalachian State +7... -101 10-29 259h 58m LOSS $-101.00
12/29/25
Georgia Southern vs Appal...
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Point Spread
Pinnacle Appalachian State +5... +102 7-13 13h 46m LOSS $-100.00
12/29/25
Georgia Southern vs Appal...
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Point Spread
Pinnacle Appalachian State +5... -103 7-13 14h 50m LOSS $-103.00
12/29/25
Georgia Southern vs Appal...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Bookmaker Appalachian State +7... -101 10-29 242h 51m LOSS $-101.00
12/29/25
Georgia Southern vs Appal...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Pinnacle Appalachian State +7... -101 10-29 242h 51m LOSS $-101.00
12/29/25
Georgia Southern vs Appal...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
FanDuel Appalachian State +8... -106 10-29 50h 50m LOSS $-106.00
12/29/25
Georgia Southern vs Appal...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Circa Sports Georgia Southern -8 +106 29-10 20h 2m WIN +$106.00