Circa Sports Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook

Total Bets
1,635
Win Rate
50.9%
832W / 803L
Total P&L
$-608.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-0.37
ROI
-0.4%

Best Matchups

vs Pinnacle
$2,384.00
603 bets (53.1%)
vs Kalshi
$805.00
29 bets (62.1%)
vs FanDuel
$754.00
159 bets (56.6%)
vs BookMaker
$596.00
107 bets (47.7%)
vs BookMaker, Pinnacle
$152.00
4 bets (75.0%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$1,052
143 bets
52.4% win
1-3 hours
$386
179 bets
52.5% win
3-6 hours
$293
257 bets
52.1% win
6-12 hours
$-469
361 bets
49.9% win
12-24 hours
$8
492 bets
52.2% win
> 24 hours
$-1,878
203 bets
45.3% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$348
52 bets
51.9% win
15-30 min
$798
38 bets
60.5% win
30-60 min
$-94
53 bets
47.2% win
1-2 hours
$-280
87 bets
50.6% win
2-4 hours
$69
168 bets
51.2% win
4-8 hours
$2,111
307 bets
54.4% win
8-24 hours
$-1,682
727 bets
50.6% win
24+ hours
$-1,878
203 bets
45.3% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1.5% to -1% 3 2W / 1L 66.7% -1.15% -26.67% $-80.00
-1% to -0.5% 609 299W / 310L 49.1% -0.81% -2.98% $-1,815.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 219 117W / 102L 53.4% -0.46% +2.50% $547.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 45 22W / 23L 48.9% -0.36% -4.22% $-190.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 90 44W / 46L 48.9% -0.24% -9.29% $-836.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 41 24W / 17L 58.5% -0.17% +22.44% $920.00
-0.1% to 0% 3 1W / 2L 33.3% -0.08% +53.33% $160.00
0% to +0.1% 65 33W / 32L 50.8% +0.00% -2.60% $-169.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 37 23W / 14L 62.2% +0.16% +46.76% $1,730.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 178 81W / 97L 45.5% +0.23% -10.25% $-1,824.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 28 7W / 21L 25.0% +0.36% -85.00% $-2,380.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 69 44W / 25L 63.8% +0.45% +28.54% $1,969.00
+0.5% to +1% 248 135W / 113L 54.4% +0.71% +5.48% $1,360.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $229 14 6W / 8L 42.9% $-400.00
$500 - $1k $570 133 76W / 57L 57.1% $1,805.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,486 330 165W / 165L 50.0% $38.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,357 181 104W / 77L 57.5% $1,504.00
$5k - $10k $6,152 63 38W / 25L 60.3% $562.00
$10k+ $22,751 35 17W / 18L 48.6% $-138.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Pinnacle 603 320W / 283L 53.1% $2,384.00
Kalshi 29 18W / 11L 62.1% $805.00
FanDuel 159 90W / 69L 56.6% $754.00
BookMaker 107 51W / 56L 47.7% $596.00
BookMaker, Pinnacle 4 3W / 1L 75.0% $152.00
crypto.com 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $90.00
FanDuel, Pinnacle 3 1W / 2L 33.3% $-110.00
LowVig, Pinnacle 5 2W / 3L 40.0% $-115.00
Polymarket 554 280W / 274L 50.5% $-186.00
DraftKings 4 1W / 3L 25.0% $-230.00
Pinnacle, Polymarket 3 0W / 3L 0.0% $-320.00
FanDuel, LowVig 4 0W / 4L 0.0% $-400.00
bet105, Pinnacle 36 16W / 20L 44.4% $-860.00
bet105 63 27W / 36L 42.9% $-1,220.00
LowVig 54 18W / 36L 33.3% $-2,148.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/13/26
North Carolina A&T vs Ham...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Total Points
bet105 Over 64 -110 56 (26-30) 3h 1m LOSS $-110.00
02/13/26
Massachusetts vs Akron
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
BookMaker Under 163 -110 191 (92-99) 3h 45m LOSS $-110.00
02/13/26
Saint Louis vs Loyola Chi...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
BookMaker Under 157 -110 145 (86-59) 17h WIN +$100.00
02/13/26
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Under 148.5 -110 163 (71-92) 5h 19m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 232.5 -110 228 (104-124) 16h 31m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
Southeast Missouri State...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Under 138.5 -110 130 (56-74) 1h 43m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Under 145.5 -110 149 (83-66) 7h 13m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
BookMaker Over 144 -110 149 (83-66) 6h 56m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
LowVig Southern Utah +215 66-83 4h 37m LOSS $-100.00
02/12/26
Little Rock vs Western Il...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
bet105 Little Rock -6 -105 77-58 4h 36m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Portland State vs Norther...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Portland State -7.5 -110 77-68 10h 46m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Kansas City vs Oral Rober...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Total Points
bet105 Over 69.5 -110 57 (29-28) 1h 13m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
Portland State vs Norther...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Pinnacle Portland State -7.5 -110 77-68 10h 48m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Kansas City vs Oral Rober...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Over 146.5 -110 129 (60-69) 9h 58m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 215 -110 203 (110-93) 17h 18m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
Vermont vs Binghamton
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Vermont -11.5 -110 73-65 8h 5m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
NJIT vs New Hampshire
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket NJIT +2.5 -110 76-70 6h 52m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Bryant vs UMass Lowell
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Bryant +5.5 -110 69-88 4h 5m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
NJIT vs New Hampshire
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 141.5 -110 146 (76-70) 8h 17m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
bet105 Over 219 -110 239 (126-113) 15h 38m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket San Antonio Spurs -6... -110 126-113 14h 43m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Memphis Grizzlies vs Denv...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 236 -110 238 (116-122) 12h 48m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Phoenix Suns +230 109-136 19h 37m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Under 213.5 -110 245 (136-109) 13m LOSS $-110.00
02/11/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs H...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Houston Rockets -8 -110 102-105 14h 19m LOSS $-110.00
02/11/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
BookMaker Portland Trail Blaze... +190 51-61 40m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs H...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Houston Rockets -8 -110 102-105 14h 24m LOSS $-110.00
02/11/26
Detroit Pistons vs Toront...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Toronto Raptors +115 95-113 18h 14m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
South Florida vs Wichita...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Pinnacle Under 161 -110 124 (66-58) 10h 47m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Chicago Bulls vs Boston C...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Chicago Bulls +15 -110 105-124 17h 51m LOSS $-110.00