Circa Sports Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Moneyline )

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Total Bets
707
Win Rate
46.8%
331W / 376L
Total P&L
$-3,911.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-5.53
ROI
-5.5%

Best Matchups

vs BookMaker
$1,206.00
82 bets (50.0%)
vs Kalshi
$1,155.00
18 bets (77.8%)
vs Pinnacle
$764.00
112 bets (49.1%)
vs BookMaker, Pinnacle
$52.00
3 bets (66.7%)
vs bet105
$-100.00
7 bets (42.9%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Performance by Sport

Click to filter by sport (showing Moneyline markets)

Basketball • NBA
157 bets (49.0%)
$2,435.00
77W / 80L
Football • NFL
102 bets (50.0%)
$67.00
51W / 51L
Football • NCAAF
73 bets (34.2%)
$-1,225.00
25W / 48L
Basketball • NCAAB
207 bets (47.3%)
$-1,696.00
98W / 109L
Hockey • NHL
168 bets (47.6%)
$-3,492.00
80W / 88L

Performance by Market

Click to filter by market

1st Half Total Points
138 bets (58.7%)
$1,890.00
81W / 57L
Point Spread
247 bets (55.5%)
$1,627.00
137W / 110L
Total Points
420 bets (53.8%)
$1,020.00
226W / 194L
1St Quarter Moneyline
2 bets (100.0%)
$200.00
2W / 0L
Team Total
20 bets (55.0%)
$200.00
11W / 9L
1st Quarter Total Points
7 bets (57.1%)
$113.00
4W / 3L
Total Goals
46 bets (47.8%)
$-332.00
22W / 24L
1st Period Total Goals
5 bets (0.0%)
$-500.00
0W / 5L
1St Half Point Spread
44 bets (43.2%)
$-815.00
19W / 25L
1St Half Moneyline
145 bets (45.5%)
$-1,455.00
66W / 79L
Moneyline
559 bets (46.9%)
$-2,756.00
262W / 297L

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$1,719
65 bets
58.5% win
1-3 hours
$-1,244
73 bets
42.5% win
3-6 hours
$-142
101 bets
50.5% win
6-12 hours
$-929
141 bets
43.3% win
12-24 hours
$-1,122
200 bets
49.5% win
> 24 hours
$-2,193
127 bets
40.2% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$525
21 bets
57.1% win
15-30 min
$770
17 bets
70.6% win
30-60 min
$424
27 bets
51.9% win
1-2 hours
$-1,005
36 bets
38.9% win
2-4 hours
$-286
63 bets
47.6% win
4-8 hours
$56
131 bets
48.9% win
8-24 hours
$-2,202
285 bets
47.0% win
24+ hours
$-2,193
127 bets
40.2% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1.5% to -1% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -1.19% +100.00% $100.00
-1% to -0.5% 274 130W / 144L 47.4% -0.78% -2.00% $-548.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 62 24W / 38L 38.7% -0.45% -28.11% $-1,743.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 42 20W / 22L 47.6% -0.36% -6.90% $-290.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 32 14W / 18L 43.8% -0.25% -25.03% $-801.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 40 23W / 17L 57.5% -0.17% +20.50% $820.00
-0.1% to 0% 3 1W / 2L 33.3% -0.08% +53.33% $160.00
0% to +0.1% 36 16W / 20L 44.4% +0.00% -15.81% $-569.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 33 20W / 13L 60.6% +0.16% +44.70% $1,475.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 76 32W / 44L 42.1% +0.23% -12.84% $-976.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 27 7W / 20L 25.9% +0.36% -84.44% $-2,280.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 25 13W / 12L 52.0% +0.44% +11.56% $289.00
+0.5% to +1% 56 30W / 26L 53.6% +0.70% +8.07% $452.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $268 7 3W / 4L 42.9% $-270.00
$500 - $1k $585 17 12W / 5L 70.6% $1,120.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,594 111 49W / 62L 44.1% $-295.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,376 110 66W / 44L 60.0% $1,406.00
$5k - $10k $6,302 51 31W / 20L 60.8% $582.00
$10k+ $26,320 25 15W / 10L 60.0% $495.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
BookMaker 82 41W / 41L 50.0% $1,206.00
Kalshi 18 14W / 4L 77.8% $1,155.00
Pinnacle 112 55W / 57L 49.1% $764.00
BookMaker, Pinnacle 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $52.00
LowVig, Pinnacle 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-10.00
bet105 7 3W / 4L 42.9% $-100.00
FanDuel, LowVig 3 0W / 3L 0.0% $-300.00
bet105, Pinnacle 9 4W / 5L 44.4% $-420.00
LowVig 27 7W / 20L 25.9% $-1,563.00
FanDuel 91 41W / 50L 45.1% $-2,014.00
Polymarket 348 160W / 188L 46.0% $-2,781.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/12/26
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 LowVig Southern Utah +215 66-83 4h 37m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Phoenix Suns +230 109-136 19h 37m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
 BookMaker Portland Trail Blaze... +190 51-61 40m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Polymarket Marshall -145 81-79 3h 24m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Detroit Pistons vs Toront...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Toronto Raptors +115 95-113 18h 14m LOSS $-100.00
02/10/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Los Angeles Lakers +275 108-136 12h 54m LOSS $-100.00
02/10/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoen...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 BookMaker Phoenix Suns -280 120-111 13h 43m WIN +$100.00
02/09/26
Philadelphia 76ers vs Por...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Portland Trail Blaze... +135 135-118 4h 38m WIN +$135.00
02/09/26
Cleveland Cavaliers vs De...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Cleveland Cavaliers +130 119-117 Live WIN +$130.00
02/09/26
Illinois State vs Evansvi...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Moneyline
 FanDuel Illinois State -280 32-45 3h 32m LOSS $-280.00
02/09/26
Alcorn State vs Mississip...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Polymarket Alcorn State -235 74-66 17m WIN +$100.00
02/09/26
Valparaiso vs Drake
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Polymarket Drake -145 76-81 7h 35m LOSS $-145.00
02/09/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Orland...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
 FanDuel Milwaukee Bucks +270 54-51 2h 41m WIN +$270.00
02/07/26
Arizona State vs Colorado
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Polymarket Colorado -155 78-70 30m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Florida vs Texas A&M
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Moneyline
 Pinnacle Texas A&M +175 19-30 1h 31m LOSS $-100.00
02/07/26
Clemson vs California
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Moneyline
 bet105 California +145 20-39 2m LOSS $-100.00
02/07/26
Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magi...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 FanDuel Utah Jazz +320 117-120 19h 32m LOSS $-100.00
02/07/26
Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magi...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
 LowVig Orlando Magic -185 54-65 15m LOSS $-185.00
02/07/26
Houston Rockets vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Oklahoma City Thunde... -130 106-112 8h 39m LOSS $-130.00
02/07/26
Washington Wizards vs Bro...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Brooklyn Nets -180 127-113 7h 35m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Northern Illinois vs Geor...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Polymarket Georgia State -215 74-75 3h 30m LOSS $-215.00
02/07/26
Drexel vs Elon
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Kalshi Elon -170 77-82 9m LOSS $-170.00
02/06/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs S...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
 FanDuel Sacramento Kings +155 49-48 4h 38m WIN +$155.00
02/06/26
Indiana Pacers vs Milwauk...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Milwaukee Bucks +105 105-99 18h 54m WIN +$105.00
02/06/26
Drake vs Illinois State
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Moneyline
 BookMaker Drake +290 32-47 1m LOSS $-100.00
02/06/26
Bradley vs Northern Iowa
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Polymarket Northern Iowa -155 61-49 5h 37m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Omaha vs North Dakota
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Polymarket North Dakota -120 76-73 1h 1m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Bu...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
 Polymarket Buffalo Sabres -124 2-5 19h 54m LOSS $-124.00
02/05/26
Nashville Predators vs Wa...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
 Polymarket Washington Capitals -168 4-2 16h 15m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Bu...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
 Polymarket Buffalo Sabres -124 2-5 16h 3m LOSS $-124.00