Circa Sports Analytics
Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Football • NFL / Moneyline )
Total Bets
102
Win Rate
50%
51W / 51L
Total P&L
$67.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$0.66
ROI
0.7%
Best Matchups
vs BookMaker
$555.00
19 bets (63.2%)
vs Pinnacle
$350.00
12 bets (58.3%)
vs Polymarket
$100.00
41 bets (46.3%)
vs FanDuel
$-618.00
22 bets (45.5%)
Activity Heatmap
Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Less
More
Profit Heatmap
P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Loss
Profit
Performance by Sport
Click to filter by sport (showing Moneyline markets)
Performance by Market
Click to filter by market (showing Football • NFL only)
Point Spread
31 bets (71.0%)
$1,130.00
22W / 9L
1st Half Moneyline
38 bets (47.4%)
$135.00
18W / 20L
1st Half Point Spread
11 bets (54.5%)
$35.00
6W / 5L
Moneyline
64 bets (51.6%)
$-68.00
33W / 31L
Team Total
13 bets (46.2%)
$-145.00
6W / 7L
Total Points
21 bets (52.4%)
$-240.00
11W / 10L
1st Half Total Points
12 bets (41.7%)
$-245.00
5W / 7L
Time-to-Game Performance
How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start
< 1 hour
$315
2 bets
100.0% win
1-3 hours
$125
1 bets
100.0% win
3-6 hours
$-5
6 bets
50.0% win
6-12 hours
$-170
6 bets
33.3% win
12-24 hours
$-715
17 bets
29.4% win
> 24 hours
$517
70 bets
54.3% win
Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)
Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start
15-30 min
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
30-60 min
$215
1 bets
100.0% win
2-4 hours
$150
3 bets
66.7% win
4-8 hours
$-30
4 bets
50.0% win
8-24 hours
$-885
23 bets
30.4% win
24+ hours
$517
70 bets
54.3% win
Edge/Hold Performance
Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)
| Edge Bucket | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | Avg Edge | ROI | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1% to -0.5% | 57 | 30W / 27L | 52.6% | -0.80% | +17.49% | $997.00 |
| -0.5% to -0.4% | 9 | 4W / 5L | 44.4% | -0.45% | +1.67% | $15.00 |
| -0.4% to -0.3% | 5 | 1W / 4L | 20.0% | -0.35% | -124.00% | $-620.00 |
| -0.3% to -0.2% | 10 | 5W / 5L | 50.0% | -0.25% | -9.00% | $-90.00 |
| -0.2% to -0.1% | 14 | 7W / 7L | 50.0% | -0.17% | -16.07% | $-225.00 |
| 0% to +0.1% | 3 | 2W / 1L | 66.7% | +0.00% | +33.33% | $100.00 |
| +0.1% to +0.2% | 3 | 2W / 1L | 66.7% | +0.18% | +33.33% | $100.00 |
| +0.2% to +0.3% | 1 | 0W / 1L | 0.0% | +0.21% | -210.00% | $-210.00 |
Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier
Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)
| Limit Tier | Avg Limit | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2.5k - $5k | $4,500 | 1 | 0W / 1L | 0.0% | $-110.00 |
| $5k - $10k | $6,000 | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $-10.00 |
| $10k+ | $39,700 | 10 | 5W / 5L | 50.0% | $0.00 |
Performance vs Opposing Books
How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook
| Opposing Book | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BookMaker | 19 | 12W / 7L | 63.2% | $555.00 |
| Pinnacle | 12 | 7W / 5L | 58.3% | $350.00 |
| Polymarket | 41 | 19W / 22L | 46.3% | $100.00 |
| bet105, Pinnacle | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $-10.00 |
| BookMaker, Pinnacle | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $-110.00 |
| LowVig | 2 | 0W / 2L | 0.0% | $-200.00 |
| FanDuel | 22 | 10W / 12L | 45.5% | $-618.00 |
Recent Results
Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports
| Date | Event | Vs | Selection | Odds | Score | Time Before | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/25/26 |
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Seattle Seahawks | -132 | 31-27 | 23h 43m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Seattle Seahawks | -132 | 31-27 | 15h 56m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Seattle Seahawks | -126 | 31-27 | 26h 35m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Denver Broncos | +215 | 7-10 | 93h 17m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Denver Broncos | +220 | 7-10 | 94h 31m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Denver Broncos | +210 | 7-10 | 65h 39m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Denver Broncos | +195 | 7-10 | 47h 1m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/18/26 |
Los Angeles Rams vs Chica...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Chicago Bears | +180 | 17-20 | 3h 18m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/12/26 |
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
|
bet105, Pinnacle | Houston Texans | -130 | 7-6 | 19h 35m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/12/26 |
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Pittsburgh Steelers | +150 | 6-30 | 129h 23m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/11/26 |
Los Angeles Chargers vs N...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | New England Patriots | -180 | 16-3 | 68h 1m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/11/26 |
Los Angeles Chargers vs N...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | New England Patriots | -180 | 16-3 | 69h 24m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/11/26 |
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonv...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
|
bet105, Pinnacle | Jacksonville Jaguars | -110 | 7-10 | 36h 5m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 01/11/26 |
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonv...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Jacksonville Jaguars | -110 | 7-10 | 31h 12m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 01/10/26 |
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Carolina Panthers | +475 | 31-34 | 93h 25m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/04/26 |
Baltimore Ravens vs Pitts...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Pittsburgh Steelers | +190 | 26-24 | 48h 35m | WIN | +$190.00 |
| 01/04/26 |
Detroit Lions vs Chicago...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Chicago Bears | -145 | 16-19 | 134h 37m | LOSS | $-145.00 |
| 01/04/26 |
Detroit Lions vs Chicago...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Chicago Bears | -145 | 16-19 | 140h 31m | LOSS | $-145.00 |
| 01/04/26 |
Miami Dolphins vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - 1St Half Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Miami Dolphins | +350 | 10-17 | 10h 15m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/04/26 |
Detroit Lions vs Chicago...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Chicago Bears | -145 | 16-19 | 133h 48m | LOSS | $-145.00 |
| 01/04/26 |
New York Jets vs Buffalo...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Buffalo Bills | -300 | 35-8 | 66h 48m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/04/26 |
Detroit Lions vs Chicago...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Chicago Bears | -145 | 16-19 | 136h 30m | LOSS | $-145.00 |
| 01/04/26 |
New York Jets vs Buffalo...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Buffalo Bills | -300 | 35-8 | 57h 45m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/04/26 |
Detroit Lions vs Chicago...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Chicago Bears | -145 | 16-19 | 137h 26m | LOSS | $-145.00 |
| 01/04/26 |
Los Angeles Chargers vs D...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Los Angeles Chargers | +415 | 3-19 | 19h 3m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/04/26 |
Detroit Lions vs Chicago...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Chicago Bears | -145 | 16-19 | 138h 13m | LOSS | $-145.00 |
| 01/04/26 |
Detroit Lions vs Chicago...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
|
BookMaker | Chicago Bears | -135 | 16-19 | 54h 59m | LOSS | $-135.00 |
| 01/04/26 |
New York Jets vs Buffalo...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
|
Polymarket | New York Jets | +310 | 8-35 | 4h 52m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/04/26 |
Arizona Cardinals vs Los...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
|
BookMaker | Los Angeles Rams | -290 | 37-20 | 31h 45m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/04/26 |
Kansas City Chiefs vs Las...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
|
BookMaker | Las Vegas Raiders | +180 | 14-12 | 46h 20m | WIN | +$180.00 |