Circa Sports Analytics
Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NCAAB / Moneyline )
Total Bets
207
Win Rate
47.3%
98W / 109L
Total P&L
$-1,696.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-8.19
ROI
-8.2%
Best Matchups
vs Kalshi
$1,055.00
15 bets (80.0%)
vs BookMaker
$100.00
41 bets (39.0%)
vs Pinnacle
$-145.00
39 bets (41.0%)
vs bet105
$-200.00
6 bets (33.3%)
vs bet105, Pinnacle
$-230.00
6 bets (50.0%)
Activity Heatmap
Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Profit Heatmap
P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Loss
Profit
Performance by Sport
Click to filter by sport (showing Moneyline markets)
Performance by Market
Click to filter by market (showing Basketball • NCAAB only)
1st Half Total Points
85 bets (58.8%)
$1,150.00
50W / 35L
Point Spread
83 bets (55.4%)
$545.00
46W / 37L
Moneyline
134 bets (50.7%)
$509.00
68W / 66L
Total Points
188 bets (51.1%)
$-520.00
96W / 92L
1St Half Point Spread
17 bets (35.3%)
$-595.00
6W / 11L
1St Half Moneyline
73 bets (41.1%)
$-2,205.00
30W / 43L
Time-to-Game Performance
How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start
< 1 hour
$732
41 bets
53.7% win
1-3 hours
$-2,390
47 bets
31.9% win
3-6 hours
$-835
59 bets
49.2% win
6-12 hours
$642
57 bets
52.6% win
12-24 hours
$155
3 bets
66.7% win
Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)
Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start
0-15 min
$10
14 bets
42.9% win
15-30 min
$240
10 bets
60.0% win
30-60 min
$482
17 bets
58.8% win
1-2 hours
$-1,805
26 bets
26.9% win
2-4 hours
$-850
36 bets
41.7% win
4-8 hours
$-568
77 bets
49.4% win
8-24 hours
$795
27 bets
59.3% win
Edge/Hold Performance
Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)
| Edge Bucket | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | Avg Edge | ROI | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5% to -1% | 1 | 1W / 0L | 100.0% | -1.19% | +100.00% | $100.00 |
| -1% to -0.5% | 76 | 34W / 42L | 44.7% | -0.77% | -6.42% | $-488.00 |
| -0.5% to -0.4% | 14 | 5W / 9L | 35.7% | -0.45% | -77.71% | $-1,088.00 |
| -0.4% to -0.3% | 15 | 7W / 8L | 46.7% | -0.36% | -7.33% | $-110.00 |
| -0.3% to -0.2% | 5 | 3W / 2L | 60.0% | -0.26% | +4.00% | $20.00 |
| -0.2% to -0.1% | 6 | 6W / 0L | 100.0% | -0.18% | +180.83% | $1,085.00 |
| -0.1% to 0% | 1 | 0W / 1L | 0.0% | -0.07% | -100.00% | $-100.00 |
| 0% to +0.1% | 8 | 2W / 6L | 25.0% | +0.00% | -58.75% | $-470.00 |
| +0.1% to +0.2% | 10 | 5W / 5L | 50.0% | +0.15% | -0.50% | $-5.00 |
| +0.2% to +0.3% | 25 | 15W / 10L | 60.0% | +0.24% | +20.20% | $505.00 |
| +0.3% to +0.4% | 9 | 3W / 6L | 33.3% | +0.36% | -70.56% | $-635.00 |
| +0.4% to +0.5% | 10 | 5W / 5L | 50.0% | +0.44% | -11.50% | $-115.00 |
| +0.5% to +1% | 27 | 12W / 15L | 44.4% | +0.70% | -14.63% | $-395.00 |
Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier
Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)
| Limit Tier | Avg Limit | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $500 | $268 | 7 | 3W / 4L | 42.9% | $-270.00 |
| $500 - $1k | $585 | 17 | 12W / 5L | 70.6% | $1,120.00 |
| $1k - $2.5k | $1,494 | 54 | 19W / 35L | 35.2% | $-2,100.00 |
| $2.5k - $5k | $3,195 | 21 | 12W / 9L | 57.1% | $-215.00 |
| $5k - $10k | $6,725 | 8 | 7W / 1L | 87.5% | $460.00 |
| $10k+ | $10,500 | 1 | 1W / 0L | 100.0% | $100.00 |
Performance vs Opposing Books
How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook
| Opposing Book | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 15 | 12W / 3L | 80.0% | $1,055.00 |
| BookMaker | 41 | 16W / 25L | 39.0% | $100.00 |
| Pinnacle | 39 | 16W / 23L | 41.0% | $-145.00 |
| bet105 | 6 | 2W / 4L | 33.3% | $-200.00 |
| bet105, Pinnacle | 6 | 3W / 3L | 50.0% | $-230.00 |
| LowVig | 6 | 1W / 5L | 16.7% | $-295.00 |
| FanDuel | 46 | 24W / 22L | 52.2% | $-851.00 |
| Polymarket | 47 | 23W / 24L | 48.9% | $-1,230.00 |
Recent Results
Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports
| Date | Event | Vs | Selection | Odds | Score | Time Before | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/26 |
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
LowVig | Southern Utah | +215 | 66-83 | 4h 37m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Marshall | -145 | 81-79 | 3h 24m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Illinois State vs Evansvi...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Illinois State | -280 | 32-45 | 3h 32m | LOSS | $-280.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Alcorn State vs Mississip...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Alcorn State | -235 | 74-66 | 17m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Valparaiso vs Drake
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Drake | -145 | 76-81 | 7h 35m | LOSS | $-145.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Arizona State vs Colorado
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Colorado | -155 | 78-70 | 30m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Florida vs Texas A&M
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Moneyline
|
Pinnacle | Texas A&M | +175 | 19-30 | 1h 31m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Clemson vs California
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Moneyline
|
bet105 | California | +145 | 20-39 | 2m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Northern Illinois vs Geor...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Georgia State | -215 | 74-75 | 3h 30m | LOSS | $-215.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Drexel vs Elon
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Kalshi | Elon | -170 | 77-82 | 9m | LOSS | $-170.00 |
| 02/06/26 |
Drake vs Illinois State
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Moneyline
|
BookMaker | Drake | +290 | 32-47 | 1m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/06/26 |
Bradley vs Northern Iowa
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Northern Iowa | -155 | 61-49 | 5h 37m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/05/26 |
Omaha vs North Dakota
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | North Dakota | -120 | 76-73 | 1h 1m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/04/26 |
Iowa vs Washington
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Iowa | -135 | 84-74 | 1h 50m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/04/26 |
Georgia Tech vs Californi...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Moneyline
|
BookMaker | Georgia Tech | +230 | 29-43 | 2h 37m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/02/26 |
Bethune Cookman vs Alabam...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Alabama A&M | +165 | 62-80 | 7h 36m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/02/26 |
Incarnate Word vs Texas A...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Texas A&M-Corpus Chr... | -210 | 69-71 | 1h 28m | LOSS | $-210.00 |
| 02/02/26 |
Southern vs Jackson State
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Jackson State | +215 | 91-96 | 3h 34m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/02/26 |
Grambling vs Alcorn State
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Alcorn State | +230 | 50-74 | 7h 35m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/02/26 |
McNeese vs Stephen F. Aus...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | McNeese | -125 | 60-67 | 4h 6m | LOSS | $-125.00 |
| 01/31/26 |
Louisiana Tech vs Sam Hou...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Louisiana Tech | +235 | 32-34 | 1h | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/31/26 |
Murray State vs Belmont
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Moneyline
|
bet105 | Murray State | +145 | 40-54 | 7h 26m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/31/26 |
Colgate vs Lehigh
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Pinnacle | Lehigh | +175 | 77-76 | 2h 36m | WIN | +$175.00 |
| 01/31/26 |
Colgate vs Lehigh
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Kalshi | Lehigh | +165 | 77-76 | 56m | WIN | +$165.00 |
| 01/31/26 |
Hofstra vs Monmouth
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Pinnacle | Hofstra | -115 | 73-57 | 3h 15m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/31/26 |
Colgate vs Lehigh
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Lehigh | +165 | 77-76 | 47m | WIN | +$165.00 |
| 01/31/26 |
North Carolina State vs W...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Moneyline
|
bet105 | Wake Forest | +175 | 31-49 | 31m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/31/26 |
Marquette vs Seton Hall
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Kalshi | Seton Hall | -225 | 69-64 | 28m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/31/26 |
Marquette vs Seton Hall
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Seton Hall | -185 | 33-41 | 28m | LOSS | $-185.00 |
| 01/30/26 |
UNLV vs Nevada
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Moneyline
|
FanDuel | UNLV | +215 | 28-33 | 1h 52m | LOSS | $-100.00 |