Circa Sports Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Football • NCAAF / Moneyline )

Total Bets
73
Win Rate
34.2%
25W / 48L
Total P&L
$-1,225.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-16.78
ROI
-16.8%

Best Matchups

vs Pinnacle
$1,985.00
15 bets (86.7%)
vs LowVig
$150.00
4 bets (50.0%)
vs BookMaker
$-110.00
13 bets (46.2%)
vs FanDuel
$-450.00
9 bets (22.2%)
vs Polymarket
$-2,500.00
29 bets (6.9%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$245
2 bets
100.0% win
1-3 hours
$635
3 bets
100.0% win
3-6 hours
$-75
3 bets
33.3% win
6-12 hours
$530
6 bets
83.3% win
12-24 hours
$-400
7 bets
28.6% win
> 24 hours
$-2,160
52 bets
23.1% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
30-60 min
$145
1 bets
100.0% win
1-2 hours
$535
2 bets
100.0% win
2-4 hours
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
4-8 hours
$170
5 bets
60.0% win
8-24 hours
$-115
11 bets
45.5% win
24+ hours
$-2,160
52 bets
23.1% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 32 19W / 13L 59.4% -0.79% +38.59% $1,235.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 5 0W / 5L 0.0% -0.43% -100.00% $-500.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% -0.26% -100.00% $-100.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 4 0W / 4L 0.0% -0.16% -100.00% $-400.00
-0.1% to 0% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -0.09% +360.00% $360.00
0% to +0.1% 8 4W / 4L 50.0% +0.00% +16.88% $135.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% +0.17% +145.00% $145.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 15 0W / 15L 0.0% +0.21% -100.00% $-1,500.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 6 0W / 6L 0.0% +0.34% -100.00% $-600.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
$5k - $10k $5,000 1 0W / 1L 0.0% $-100.00
$10k+ $84,000 1 1W / 0L 100.0% $100.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Pinnacle 15 13W / 2L 86.7% $1,985.00
LowVig 4 2W / 2L 50.0% $150.00
BookMaker 13 6W / 7L 46.2% $-110.00
FanDuel, LowVig 2 0W / 2L 0.0% $-200.00
FanDuel 9 2W / 7L 22.2% $-450.00
Polymarket 29 2W / 27L 6.9% $-2,500.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
01/19/26
Miami Florida vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Indiana -280 27-21 2h 38m WIN +$100.00
01/19/26
Miami Florida vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
BookMaker Miami Florida +205 0-10 4h 36m LOSS $-100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Ole Miss +155 27-31 73h 54m LOSS $-100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Ole Miss +155 27-31 74h 31m LOSS $-100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Ole Miss +155 27-31 75h 4m LOSS $-100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
Polymarket Ole Miss +140 13-17 82h 10m LOSS $-100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
LowVig Ole Miss +140 13-17 81h 27m LOSS $-100.00
01/02/26
Wake Forest vs Mississipp...
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
Pinnacle Wake Forest +125 43-29 4h 26m WIN +$125.00
01/02/26
Arizona vs SMU
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Pinnacle SMU +105 24-19 35h 44m WIN +$105.00
01/02/26
Navy vs Cincinnati
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
FanDuel Cincinnati +260 13-35 54h 50m LOSS $-100.00
01/02/26
Rice vs Texas State
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
Polymarket Rice +395 10-41 14h 11m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Ole Miss vs Georgia
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
Pinnacle Georgia -190 21-12 11h 24m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Indiana -235 38-3 17h 50m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Indiana -235 38-3 16h 39m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Indiana -235 38-3 43h 2m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Texas Tech +120 0-23 5h 29m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Pinnacle Texas Tech +118 0-23 85h 23m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Texas Tech +118 0-23 41h 55m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Texas Tech +118 0-23 41h 20m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Texas Tech +120 0-23 9h 48m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Texas Tech +118 0-23 78h 12m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Texas Tech +118 0-23 77h 40m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Texas Tech +118 0-23 77h 29m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Texas Tech +118 0-23 76h 56m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Texas Tech +118 0-23 67h 28m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Texas Tech +118 0-23 67h 19m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Texas Tech +118 0-23 67h 7m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Texas Tech +118 0-23 62h 2m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Texas Tech +120 0-23 53h LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Texas Tech +118 0-23 86h 44m LOSS $-100.00