Circa Sports Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Football • NCAAF / Point Spread )

Total Bets
33
Win Rate
51.5%
17W / 16L
Total P&L
$35.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$1.06
ROI
1.1%

Best Matchups

vs Polymarket
$300.00
3 bets (100.0%)
vs Pinnacle
$165.00
10 bets (60.0%)
vs FanDuel
$-100.00
3 bets (33.3%)
vs Bookmaker
$-105.00
5 bets (40.0%)
vs LowVig
$-125.00
7 bets (42.9%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-200
4 bets
25.0% win
1-3 hours
$-215
2 bets
0.0% win
3-6 hours
$-205
2 bets
0.0% win
12-24 hours
$-125
7 bets
42.9% win
> 24 hours
$780
18 bets
72.2% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
30-60 min
$-100
3 bets
33.3% win
1-2 hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
2-4 hours
$-220
2 bets
0.0% win
4-8 hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
8-24 hours
$-125
7 bets
42.9% win
24+ hours
$780
18 bets
72.2% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 15 8W / 7L 53.3% -0.86% +4.33% $65.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 8 5W / 3L 62.5% -0.46% +21.88% $175.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% -0.32% -100.00% $-100.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 3 2W / 1L 66.7% -0.24% +33.33% $100.00
0% to +0.1% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% +0.00% +100.00% $100.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 2 0W / 2L 0.0% +0.26% -102.50% $-205.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% +0.48% -100.00% $-100.00
+0.5% to +1% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% +0.52% +0.00% $0.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $14 1 0W / 1L 0.0% $-100.00
$10k+ $15,750 2 0W / 2L 0.0% $-200.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Polymarket 3 3W / 0L 100.0% $300.00
Pinnacle 10 6W / 4L 60.0% $165.00
LowVig, Pinnacle 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $0.00
FanDuel 3 1W / 2L 33.3% $-100.00
Bookmaker 5 2W / 3L 40.0% $-105.00
LowVig 7 3W / 4L 42.9% $-125.00
Kalshi 2 0W / 2L 0.0% $-200.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
01/09/26
Oregon vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Kalshi Oregon -3.5 +280 22-56 45m LOSS $-100.00
01/09/26
Oregon vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
FanDuel Oregon -3.5 +235 22-56 1h 44m LOSS $-100.00
01/09/26
Oregon vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Point Spread
BookMaker Oregon +2.5 +105 7-35 18h 55m LOSS $-100.00
01/09/26
Oregon vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Kalshi Oregon -3.5 +235 22-56 4h 10m LOSS $-100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
FanDuel Ole Miss -3.5 +235 27-31 67h 1m LOSS $-100.00
01/05/26
Illinois State vs Montana...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
BookMaker Illinois State +10.5 -110 34-35 102h 41m WIN +$100.00
01/02/26
Navy vs Cincinnati
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Pinnacle Cincinnati +8.5 -110 13-35 54h 50m LOSS $-110.00
01/01/26
Ole Miss vs Georgia
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
FanDuel Ole Miss +13.5 -205 39-34 70h 34m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
LowVig, Pinnacle Alabama +7 +100 3-38 89h 23m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Pinnacle Indiana -7 -105 38-3 42h 49m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
BookMaker Alabama +7 +100 3-38 89h 23m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
BookMaker Indiana -7 +100 38-3 70h 29m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Point Spread
BookMaker, Pinnacle Indiana -3.5 +100 17-0 130h 10m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Point Spread
LowVig Indiana -3.5 +100 17-0 130h 24m WIN +$100.00
12/31/25
Miami Florida vs Ohio Sta...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
LowVig Ohio State -17.5 +295 14-24 53m LOSS $-100.00
12/31/25
Miami Florida vs Ohio Sta...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Pinnacle Miami Florida +10 -110 24-14 69h 42m WIN +$100.00
12/30/25
TCU vs USC
Football • NCAAF - 1St Half Point Spread
Bookmaker USC -2.5 -105 14-13 3h 20m LOSS $-105.00
12/30/25
USC vs TCU
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Point Spread
LowVig USC -2.5 +105 13-14 2m LOSS $-100.00
12/30/25
Illinois vs Tennessee
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket Illinois +3.5 -110 28-30 19h 36m WIN +$100.00
12/30/25
Tennessee vs Illinois
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket Illinois +3.5 -110 30-28 21h 49m WIN +$100.00
12/30/25
Tennessee vs Illinois
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Polymarket Illinois +3.5 -110 30-28 19h 56m WIN +$100.00
12/29/25
Georgia Southern vs Appal...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
LowVig Appalachian State +8 -110 10-29 20h 2m LOSS $-110.00
12/29/25
Georgia Southern vs Appal...
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Point Spread
Pinnacle Appalachian State +5... -105 7-13 16h 51m LOSS $-105.00
12/27/25
LSU vs Houston
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Pinnacle Houston -2.5 -110 38-35 249h 38m WIN +$100.00
12/27/25
LSU vs Houston
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Pinnacle Houston -2.5 -110 38-35 202h 6m WIN +$100.00
12/27/25
Miami Ohio vs Fresno Stat...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
LowVig Fresno State -4.5 -110 18-3 183h 40m WIN +$100.00
12/27/25
Miami Ohio vs Fresno Stat...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
LowVig, Pinnacle Fresno State -4.5 -110 18-3 158h 27m WIN +$100.00
12/27/25
Penn State vs Clemson
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Pinnacle Clemson -2 -110 10-22 24h 43m LOSS $-110.00
12/27/25
Pittsburgh vs East Caroli...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Pinnacle East Carolina +11 -105 23-17 67h 36m WIN +$100.00
12/26/25
Florida International vs...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Pinnacle UTSA -5.5 -110 57-20 175h 56m WIN +$100.00