Circa Sports Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NCAAB / Point Spread )

Total Bets
100
Win Rate
52%
52W / 48L
Total P&L
$-50.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-0.50
ROI
-0.5%

Best Matchups

vs bet105, Pinnacle
$400.00
6 bets (83.3%)
vs LowVig
$190.00
4 bets (75.0%)
vs Polymarket
$130.00
16 bets (56.3%)
vs Pinnacle
$-85.00
62 bets (51.6%)
vs bet105
$-240.00
6 bets (33.3%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-680
14 bets
28.6% win
1-3 hours
$555
16 bets
68.8% win
3-6 hours
$205
21 bets
57.1% win
6-12 hours
$-40
31 bets
51.6% win
12-24 hours
$-90
18 bets
50.0% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$-340
5 bets
20.0% win
15-30 min
$-320
3 bets
0.0% win
30-60 min
$-20
6 bets
50.0% win
1-2 hours
$495
7 bets
85.7% win
2-4 hours
$130
16 bets
56.3% win
4-8 hours
$90
24 bets
54.2% win
8-24 hours
$-85
39 bets
51.3% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 36 18W / 18L 50.0% -0.82% -4.31% $-155.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 17 9W / 8L 52.9% -0.46% +0.88% $15.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 7 3W / 4L 42.9% -0.23% -20.00% $-140.00
0% to +0.1% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% +0.00% +100.00% $100.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 14 6W / 8L 42.9% +0.23% -19.64% $-275.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 5 4W / 1L 80.0% +0.45% +58.00% $290.00
+0.5% to +1% 20 11W / 9L 55.0% +0.73% +5.75% $115.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
$500 - $1k $583 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $95.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,489 37 22W / 15L 59.5% $555.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,118 11 6W / 5L 54.5% $60.00
$5k - $10k $5,500 4 2W / 2L 50.0% $-20.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
bet105, Pinnacle 6 5W / 1L 83.3% $400.00
LowVig 4 3W / 1L 75.0% $190.00
Polymarket 16 9W / 7L 56.3% $130.00
Kalshi 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-10.00
Pinnacle 62 32W / 30L 51.6% $-85.00
bet105 6 2W / 4L 33.3% $-240.00
BookMaker 4 0W / 4L 0.0% $-435.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/12/26
Little Rock vs Western Il...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
bet105 Little Rock -6 -105 77-58 4h 36m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Portland State vs Norther...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Portland State -7.5 -110 77-68 10h 46m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Portland State vs Norther...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Pinnacle Portland State -7.5 -110 77-68 10h 48m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Vermont vs Binghamton
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Vermont -11.5 -110 73-65 8h 5m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
NJIT vs New Hampshire
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket NJIT +2.5 -110 76-70 6h 52m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Bryant vs UMass Lowell
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Bryant +5.5 -110 69-88 4h 5m LOSS $-110.00
02/11/26
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
bet105 Marshall -1.5 -110 81-79 20h 21m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
Houston vs Utah
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
bet105 Houston -17 -110 66-52 11h 42m LOSS $-110.00
02/10/26
Houston vs Utah
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Pinnacle Utah +18 -110 52-66 5h 36m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
San Francisco vs Saint Ma...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
bet105 San Francisco +12 -110 54-79 21h 57m LOSS $-110.00
02/07/26
Campbell vs North Carolin...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Pinnacle Campbell -3.5 -110 79-71 4h 41m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Campbell vs North Carolin...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Campbell -3.5 -110 79-71 4h 37m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Drexel vs Elon
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Drexel +4.5 -110 82-77 1h 20m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Drexel vs Elon
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Elon -3.5 -110 77-82 9m LOSS $-110.00
02/05/26
Western Illinois vs Tenne...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Pinnacle Western Illinois +9.... -110 72-97 11h 2m LOSS $-110.00
02/05/26
Abilene Christian vs Utah...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Point Spread
Pinnacle Abilene Christian +8... -110 24-26 39m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
New Mexico State vs Louis...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Pinnacle Louisiana Tech -1 -110 63-72 5h 24m LOSS $-110.00
01/31/26
Fordham vs George Washing...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Pinnacle George Washington -1... -110 65-79 21m LOSS $-110.00
01/31/26
Lipscomb vs North Florida
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Kalshi North Florida +11.5 -110 94-100 2h 48m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Montana State vs Sacramen...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Point Spread
LowVig Sacramento State +2.... -105 45-38 6h 57m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Washington vs Illinois
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
BookMaker Illinois -12 -110 75-66 14h 23m LOSS $-110.00
01/29/26
Georgia Southern vs UL Mo...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
bet105 Georgia Southern -11 -110 72-82 7h 25m LOSS $-110.00
01/28/26
Illinois State vs Murray...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
BookMaker Murray State -2 -110 65-70 2h 25m LOSS $-110.00
01/28/26
Evansville vs Drake
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Point Spread
Pinnacle Drake -4.5 -105 30-36 43m LOSS $-105.00
01/28/26
Baylor vs Cincinnati
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Point Spread
bet105, Pinnacle Cincinnati -1.5 -110 35-28 1h 30m WIN +$100.00
01/27/26
Michigan State vs Rutgers
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Kalshi Michigan State -14.5 -110 88-79 17h 48m LOSS $-110.00
01/27/26
Michigan State vs Rutgers
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Michigan State -14.5 -110 88-79 15h 58m LOSS $-110.00
01/26/26
Arizona vs BYU
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Pinnacle Arizona -1 -105 86-83 23h 40m WIN +$100.00
01/26/26
Arizona vs BYU
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Pinnacle Arizona -1.5 -110 86-83 18h 46m WIN +$100.00
01/25/26
USC vs Wisconsin
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Pinnacle USC +8 -110 73-71 8h 34m WIN +$100.00