Circa Sports Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NBA / Point Spread )

Total Bets
116
Win Rate
50.9%
59W / 57L
Total P&L
$-338.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-2.91
ROI
-2.9%

Best Matchups

vs Polymarket
$222.00
42 bets (54.8%)
vs FanDuel
$80.00
5 bets (60.0%)
vs bet105
$-365.00
11 bets (36.4%)
vs Pinnacle
$-455.00
52 bets (48.1%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-213
4 bets
25.0% win
1-3 hours
$-220
4 bets
25.0% win
3-6 hours
$150
14 bets
57.1% win
6-12 hours
$-430
23 bets
43.5% win
12-24 hours
$375
71 bets
54.9% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$-5
2 bets
50.0% win
30-60 min
$-208
2 bets
0.0% win
1-2 hours
$-115
3 bets
33.3% win
2-4 hours
$-115
5 bets
40.0% win
4-8 hours
$40
13 bets
53.8% win
8-24 hours
$65
91 bets
52.7% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 41 20W / 21L 48.8% -0.83% -7.20% $-295.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 28 16W / 12L 57.1% -0.46% +10.18% $285.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 4 2W / 2L 50.0% -0.23% -3.75% $-15.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 9 2W / 7L 22.2% +0.23% -62.56% $-563.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 3 2W / 1L 66.7% +0.44% +28.33% $85.00
+0.5% to +1% 31 17W / 14L 54.8% +0.72% +5.32% $165.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
$1k - $2.5k $2,040 20 10W / 10L 50.0% $-95.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,271 38 21W / 17L 55.3% $225.00
$5k - $10k $5,167 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $90.00
$10k+ $12,114 7 1W / 6L 14.3% $-533.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Polymarket 42 23W / 19L 54.8% $222.00
bet105, Pinnacle 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $200.00
FanDuel 5 3W / 2L 60.0% $80.00
bet105 11 4W / 7L 36.4% $-365.00
Pinnacle 52 25W / 27L 48.1% $-455.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/11/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket San Antonio Spurs -6... -110 126-113 14h 43m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs H...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Houston Rockets -8 -110 102-105 14h 24m LOSS $-110.00
02/11/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs H...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Houston Rockets -8 -110 102-105 14h 19m LOSS $-110.00
02/11/26
Chicago Bulls vs Boston C...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Chicago Bulls +15 -110 105-124 17h 51m LOSS $-110.00
02/11/26
Indiana Pacers vs Brookly...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Indiana Pacers +5.5 -110 115-110 15h 43m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Pinnacle San Antonio Spurs -7... -110 136-108 16h 41m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket San Antonio Spurs -7... -110 136-108 17h 14m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoen...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Phoenix Suns -7.5 -110 120-111 14h 13m WIN +$100.00
02/09/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Pinnacle Los Angeles Lakers +... -110 110-119 23h 59m LOSS $-110.00
02/09/26
Memphis Grizzlies vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Golden State Warrior... -110 114-113 11h 27m LOSS $-110.00
02/09/26
Sacramento Kings vs New O...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Pinnacle New Orleans Pelicans... -110 120-94 12h 48m WIN +$100.00
02/09/26
Sacramento Kings vs New O...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket New Orleans Pelicans... -110 120-94 12h 33m WIN +$100.00
02/09/26
Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Chicago Bulls -2.5 -110 115-123 22h 53m LOSS $-110.00
02/09/26
Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Pinnacle Chicago Bulls -2.5 -110 115-123 22h 35m LOSS $-110.00
02/09/26
Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Chicago Bulls -3.5 -110 115-123 8h 54m LOSS $-110.00
02/09/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Orland...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Orlando Magic -9.5 -110 118-99 13h 4m WIN +$100.00
02/09/26
Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Chicago Bulls -3.5 -115 115-123 20h 37m LOSS $-115.00
02/09/26
Detroit Pistons vs Charlo...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Detroit Pistons -2 -110 110-104 18h 56m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Houston Rockets vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Oklahoma City Thunde... -105 106-112 Live LOSS $-105.00
02/07/26
Washington Wizards vs Bro...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Brooklyn Nets -5.5 -110 127-113 5h 41m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Washington Wizards vs Bro...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Washington Wizards +... -110 113-127 7h 5m LOSS $-110.00
02/06/26
Memphis Grizzlies vs Port...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Memphis Grizzlies +7... -110 115-135 20h 57m LOSS $-110.00
02/06/26
New Orleans Pelicans vs M...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket New Orleans Pelicans... -110 119-115 12h 40m WIN +$100.00
02/06/26
Miami Heat vs Boston Celt...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Miami Heat +6.5 -110 96-98 9h 42m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Dall...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
FanDuel Dallas Mavericks +7.... -110 123-135 15h 53m LOSS $-110.00
02/04/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Point Spread
FanDuel San Antonio Spurs -3... -110 73-58 6h 43m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Pinnacle Oklahoma City Thunde... -110 106-116 17h 6m LOSS $-110.00
02/03/26
Philadelphia 76ers vs Gol...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Golden State Warrior... -105 94-113 3h 48m LOSS $-105.00
02/03/26
Orlando Magic vs Oklahoma...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Oklahoma City Thunde... -110 128-92 10h 14m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Los Angeles Lakers vs Bro...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Brooklyn Nets +8.5 -110 109-125 16h 23m LOSS $-110.00