Circa Sports Analytics
Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NBA / Total Points )
Total Bets
235
Win Rate
58.3%
137W / 98L
Total P&L
$2,930.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$12.47
ROI
12.5%
Best Matchups
vs Polymarket
$1,840.00
73 bets (64.4%)
vs Pinnacle
$950.00
125 bets (56.0%)
vs FanDuel
$660.00
17 bets (70.6%)
vs bet105
$-175.00
13 bets (46.2%)
Activity Heatmap
Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mon | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tue | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Thu | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fri | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sat |
Less
More
Profit Heatmap
P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mon | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tue | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Thu | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fri | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sat | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| All |
Loss
Profit
Performance by Sport
Click to filter by sport (showing Total Points markets)
Performance by Market
Click to filter by market (showing Basketball • NBA only)
Moneyline
133 bets (48.9%)
$2,265.00
65W / 68L
Total Points
196 bets (56.1%)
$1,540.00
110W / 86L
1st Half Total Points
33 bets (72.7%)
$1,415.00
24W / 9L
1St Quarter Moneyline
2 bets (100.0%)
$200.00
2W / 0L
1St Half Point Spread
7 bets (57.1%)
$80.00
4W / 3L
1st Quarter Total Points
6 bets (50.0%)
$-25.00
3W / 3L
1St Half Moneyline
22 bets (45.5%)
$-30.00
10W / 12L
Point Spread
109 bets (50.5%)
$-418.00
55W / 54L
Time-to-Game Performance
How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start
< 1 hour
$140
14 bets
57.1% win
1-3 hours
$35
17 bets
52.9% win
3-6 hours
$195
23 bets
56.5% win
6-12 hours
$1,160
62 bets
61.3% win
12-24 hours
$1,400
119 bets
58.0% win
Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)
Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start
0-15 min
$-30
6 bets
50.0% win
15-30 min
$90
3 bets
66.7% win
30-60 min
$80
5 bets
60.0% win
1-2 hours
$-20
6 bets
50.0% win
2-4 hours
$120
20 bets
55.0% win
4-8 hours
$890
30 bets
66.7% win
8-24 hours
$1,800
165 bets
57.6% win
Edge/Hold Performance
Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)
| Edge Bucket | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | Avg Edge | ROI | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1% to -0.5% | 63 | 36W / 27L | 57.1% | -0.84% | +10.00% | $630.00 |
| -0.5% to -0.4% | 38 | 23W / 15L | 60.5% | -0.46% | +17.24% | $655.00 |
| -0.3% to -0.2% | 11 | 4W / 7L | 36.4% | -0.23% | -33.18% | $-365.00 |
| 0% to +0.1% | 6 | 3W / 3L | 50.0% | +0.00% | -5.00% | $-30.00 |
| +0.2% to +0.3% | 28 | 16W / 12L | 57.1% | +0.23% | +10.18% | $285.00 |
| +0.4% to +0.5% | 20 | 13W / 7L | 65.0% | +0.45% | +26.25% | $525.00 |
| +0.5% to +1% | 69 | 42W / 27L | 60.9% | +0.70% | +17.83% | $1,230.00 |
Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier
Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)
| Limit Tier | Avg Limit | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $500 - $1k | $547 | 39 | 25W / 14L | 64.1% | $960.00 |
| $1k - $2.5k | $1,346 | 70 | 44W / 26L | 62.9% | $1,540.00 |
| $2.5k - $5k | $3,244 | 9 | 4W / 5L | 44.4% | $-150.00 |
Performance vs Opposing Books
How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook
| Opposing Book | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 73 | 47W / 26L | 64.4% | $1,840.00 |
| Pinnacle | 125 | 70W / 55L | 56.0% | $950.00 |
| FanDuel | 17 | 12W / 5L | 70.6% | $660.00 |
| bet105 | 13 | 6W / 7L | 46.2% | $-175.00 |
| bet105, Pinnacle | 2 | 0W / 2L | 0.0% | $-220.00 |
Recent Results
Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports
| Date | Event | Vs | Selection | Odds | Score | Time Before | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/26 |
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 232.5 | -110 | 228 (104-124) | 16h 31m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 215 | -110 | 203 (110-93) | 17h 18m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
bet105 | Over 219 | -110 | 239 (126-113) | 15h 38m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Denv...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 236 | -110 | 238 (116-122) | 12h 48m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 213.5 | -110 | 245 (136-109) | 13m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
|
bet105 | Over 115 | -105 | 139 (84-55) | 7h 38m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoen...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 226.5 | -110 | 231 (111-120) | 15h 31m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Los Angeles Clippers vs H...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 210.5 | -110 | 197 (95-102) | 13h 44m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Los Angeles Clippers vs H...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 211.5 | -110 | 197 (95-102) | 8h 35m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Indiana Pacers vs New Yor...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 223.5 | -110 | 271 (137-134) | 12h 15m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 219.5 | -110 | 227 (113-114) | 2h 18m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Por...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 230.5 | -110 | 253 (118-135) | 12h 31m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Por...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Over 228 | -110 | 253 (118-135) | 6h 39m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Cleveland Cavaliers vs De...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 239.5 | -110 | 236 (119-117) | 1h 14m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Cleveland Cavaliers vs De...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Over 237.5 | -110 | 236 (119-117) | 10h 47m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Atlanta Hawks vs Minnesot...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 237.5 | -110 | 254 (116-138) | 1h 4m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 244.5 | -110 | 226 (115-111) | 19h | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Under 223.5 | -110 | 238 (115-123) | 10h 43m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 244.5 | -110 | 226 (115-111) | 18h 18m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 223.5 | -110 | 238 (115-123) | 10h 34m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/08/26 |
Los Angeles Clippers vs M...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Over 221.5 | -110 | 211 (115-96) | 6h 40m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Port...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 237.5 | -110 | 237 (115-122) | 15h 15m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Port...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 235.5 | -110 | 237 (115-122) | 14h 9m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Pho...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 221.5 | -110 | 212 (109-103) | 18h 51m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Golden State Warriors vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Over 221 | -110 | 204 (99-105) | 10h 31m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Denver Nuggets vs Chicago...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 231 | -110 | 256 (136-120) | 18h 38m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Dallas Mavericks vs San A...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 232.5 | -110 | 263 (125-138) | 2h 39m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Houston Rockets vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Over 212 | -110 | 218 (112-106) | 7h 2m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/06/26 |
New York Knicks vs Detroi...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Under 223 | -110 | 198 (80-118) | 12h 42m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/05/26 |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Over 232.5 | -110 | 234 (115-119) | 11h 54m | WIN | +$100.00 |