Circa Sports Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NBA / Moneyline )

Clear Filters Back to Analytics
Total Bets
157
Win Rate
49%
77W / 80L
Total P&L
$2,435.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$15.51
ROI
15.5%

Best Matchups

vs Polymarket
$2,895.00
97 bets (50.5%)
vs BookMaker
$615.00
6 bets (83.3%)
vs FanDuel
$-95.00
14 bets (35.7%)
vs LowVig
$-365.00
8 bets (37.5%)
vs Pinnacle
$-635.00
27 bets (44.4%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Performance by Sport

Click to filter by sport (showing Moneyline markets)

Basketball • NBA
157 bets (49.0%)
$2,435.00
77W / 80L
Football • NFL
102 bets (50.0%)
$67.00
51W / 51L
Football • NCAAF
73 bets (34.2%)
$-1,225.00
25W / 48L
Basketball • NCAAB
207 bets (47.3%)
$-1,696.00
98W / 109L
Hockey • NHL
168 bets (47.6%)
$-3,492.00
80W / 88L

Performance by Market

Click to filter by market (showing Basketball • NBA only)

Moneyline
133 bets (48.9%)
$2,265.00
65W / 68L
Total Points
196 bets (56.1%)
$1,540.00
110W / 86L
1st Half Total Points
33 bets (72.7%)
$1,415.00
24W / 9L
1St Quarter Moneyline
2 bets (100.0%)
$200.00
2W / 0L
1St Half Point Spread
7 bets (57.1%)
$80.00
4W / 3L
1st Quarter Total Points
6 bets (50.0%)
$-25.00
3W / 3L
1St Half Moneyline
22 bets (45.5%)
$-30.00
10W / 12L
Point Spread
109 bets (50.5%)
$-418.00
55W / 54L

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$180
14 bets
57.1% win
1-3 hours
$280
12 bets
50.0% win
3-6 hours
$225
20 bets
45.0% win
6-12 hours
$5
39 bets
38.5% win
12-24 hours
$1,845
71 bets
54.9% win
> 24 hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$415
6 bets
83.3% win
15-30 min
$-85
2 bets
50.0% win
30-60 min
$-150
6 bets
33.3% win
1-2 hours
$-35
5 bets
40.0% win
2-4 hours
$260
10 bets
50.0% win
4-8 hours
$395
30 bets
43.3% win
8-24 hours
$1,735
97 bets
50.5% win
24+ hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 44 20W / 24L 45.5% -0.78% -9.09% $-400.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 10 5W / 5L 50.0% -0.44% +50.00% $500.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 13 9W / 4L 69.2% -0.36% +66.15% $860.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 3 1W / 2L 33.3% -0.28% +21.67% $65.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 9 5W / 4L 55.6% -0.16% +5.56% $50.00
-0.1% to 0% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% -0.09% -100.00% $-100.00
0% to +0.1% 7 4W / 3L 57.1% +0.01% +21.43% $150.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 16 9W / 7L 56.3% +0.16% +58.44% $935.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 21 8W / 13L 38.1% +0.23% -5.24% $-110.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 6 3W / 3L 50.0% +0.37% +30.00% $180.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 9 4W / 5L 44.4% +0.45% +20.00% $180.00
+0.5% to +1% 18 9W / 9L 50.0% +0.69% +6.94% $125.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
$1k - $2.5k $1,682 56 29W / 27L 51.8% $1,705.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,048 25 15W / 10L 60.0% $310.00
$5k - $10k $5,563 8 5W / 3L 62.5% $445.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Polymarket 97 49W / 48L 50.5% $2,895.00
BookMaker 6 5W / 1L 83.3% $615.00
FanDuel 14 5W / 9L 35.7% $-95.00
LowVig 8 3W / 5L 37.5% $-365.00
Pinnacle 27 12W / 15L 44.4% $-635.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Phoenix Suns +230 109-136 19h 37m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
 BookMaker Portland Trail Blaze... +190 51-61 40m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Detroit Pistons vs Toront...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Toronto Raptors +115 95-113 18h 14m LOSS $-100.00
02/10/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Los Angeles Lakers +275 108-136 12h 54m LOSS $-100.00
02/10/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoen...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 BookMaker Phoenix Suns -280 120-111 13h 43m WIN +$100.00
02/09/26
Philadelphia 76ers vs Por...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Portland Trail Blaze... +135 135-118 4h 38m WIN +$135.00
02/09/26
Cleveland Cavaliers vs De...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Cleveland Cavaliers +130 119-117 Live WIN +$130.00
02/09/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Orland...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
 FanDuel Milwaukee Bucks +270 54-51 2h 41m WIN +$270.00
02/07/26
Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magi...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
 LowVig Orlando Magic -185 54-65 15m LOSS $-185.00
02/07/26
Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magi...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 FanDuel Utah Jazz +320 117-120 19h 32m LOSS $-100.00
02/07/26
Houston Rockets vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Oklahoma City Thunde... -130 106-112 8h 39m LOSS $-130.00
02/07/26
Washington Wizards vs Bro...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Brooklyn Nets -180 127-113 7h 35m WIN +$100.00
02/06/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs S...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
 FanDuel Sacramento Kings +155 49-48 4h 38m WIN +$155.00
02/06/26
Indiana Pacers vs Milwauk...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Milwaukee Bucks +105 105-99 18h 54m WIN +$105.00
02/04/26
New Orleans Pelicans vs M...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Milwaukee Bucks +165 141-137 19h 28m WIN +$165.00
02/04/26
Denver Nuggets vs New Yor...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket New York Knicks -195 134-127 17h 20m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Los Angeles Lakers vs Bro...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Brooklyn Nets +295 109-125 3h 41m LOSS $-100.00
02/03/26
Utah Jazz vs Indiana Pace...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Utah Jazz +165 131-122 20h 32m WIN +$165.00
02/03/26
New York Knicks vs Washin...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Washington Wizards +475 101-132 48m LOSS $-100.00
01/31/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Char...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket San Antonio Spurs -160 106-111 11h 28m LOSS $-160.00
01/30/26
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Ph...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 bet105, Pinnacle Cleveland Cavaliers -180 113-126 17h 34m LOSS $-180.00
01/30/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs D...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Denver Nuggets +190 122-109 20h 37m WIN +$190.00
01/30/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs D...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Pinnacle Los Angeles Clippers -190 109-122 17h 43m LOSS $-190.00
01/30/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs D...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Denver Nuggets +190 122-109 19h 53m WIN +$190.00
01/30/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Portland Trail Blaze... +265 97-127 16h 41m LOSS $-100.00
01/30/26
Los Angeles Lakers vs Was...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Quarter Moneyline
 Pinnacle Los Angeles Lakers -185 142-111 57m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Minnesota Timberwolv... +215 123-111 9h 19m WIN +$215.00
01/29/26
Brooklyn Nets vs Denver N...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Denver Nuggets -220 107-103 10m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Miami Heat vs Chicago Bul...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Chicago Bulls +110 113-116 13h 23m LOSS $-100.00
01/29/26
Houston Rockets vs Atlant...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Quarter Moneyline
 bet105 Houston Rockets -125 104-86 8h 32m WIN +$100.00