Circa Sports Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Hockey • NHL / Moneyline )

Total Bets
168
Win Rate
47.6%
80W / 88L
Total P&L
$-3,492.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-20.79
ROI
-20.8%

Best Matchups

vs BookMaker
$46.00
3 bets (66.7%)
vs Pinnacle
$-791.00
19 bets (36.8%)
vs LowVig
$-853.00
7 bets (14.3%)
vs Polymarket
$-2,046.00
134 bets (50.0%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$247
6 bets
66.7% win
1-3 hours
$106
10 bets
60.0% win
3-6 hours
$548
13 bets
69.2% win
6-12 hours
$-1,936
33 bets
27.3% win
12-24 hours
$-2,007
102 bets
50.0% win
> 24 hours
$-450
4 bets
25.0% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

15-30 min
$515
4 bets
100.0% win
30-60 min
$-268
2 bets
0.0% win
1-2 hours
$300
3 bets
100.0% win
2-4 hours
$54
13 bets
53.8% win
4-8 hours
$89
15 bets
53.3% win
8-24 hours
$-3,732
127 bets
44.9% win
24+ hours
$-450
4 bets
25.0% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 65 27W / 38L 41.5% -0.78% -29.11% $-1,892.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 24 10W / 14L 41.7% -0.45% -27.92% $-670.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 9 3W / 6L 33.3% -0.38% -46.67% $-420.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 13 5W / 8L 38.5% -0.25% -53.54% $-696.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 7 5W / 2L 71.4% -0.17% +44.29% $310.00
0% to +0.1% 10 4W / 6L 40.0% +0.00% -48.40% $-484.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 3 3W / 0L 100.0% +0.15% +100.00% $300.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 14 9W / 5L 64.3% +0.24% +24.21% $339.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 6 1W / 5L 16.7% +0.36% -204.17% $-1,225.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 6 4W / 2L 66.7% +0.43% +37.33% $224.00
+0.5% to +1% 11 9W / 2L 81.8% +0.72% +65.64% $722.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
$1k - $2.5k $2,000 1 1W / 0L 100.0% $100.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,549 63 39W / 24L 61.9% $1,421.00
$5k - $10k $6,441 32 18W / 14L 56.3% $-213.00
$10k+ $12,808 13 8W / 5L 61.5% $295.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Kalshi 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $200.00
BookMaker 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $46.00
Pinnacle 19 7W / 12L 36.8% $-791.00
LowVig 7 1W / 6L 14.3% $-853.00
Polymarket 134 67W / 67L 50.0% $-2,046.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/05/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Bu...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Buffalo Sabres -124 2-5 19h 54m LOSS $-124.00
02/05/26
Nashville Predators vs Wa...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Washington Capitals -168 4-2 16h 15m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Bu...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Buffalo Sabres -124 2-5 16h 3m LOSS $-124.00
02/05/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Bu...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Buffalo Sabres -124 2-5 17h 51m LOSS $-124.00
02/04/26
San Jose Sharks vs Colora...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Colorado Avalanche -267 4-2 1h 8m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Ne...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
LowVig New York Islanders -110 5-4 19h 21m WIN +$100.00
02/02/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ca...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Calgary Flames +111 2-4 20h 29m LOSS $-100.00
02/02/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ca...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Calgary Flames +111 2-4 18h 39m LOSS $-100.00
02/02/26
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Kalshi Utah Mammoth -245 6-2 17h 18m WIN +$100.00
02/02/26
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Utah Mammoth -250 6-2 17h 6m WIN +$100.00
02/02/26
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Utah Mammoth -252 6-2 5h 26m WIN +$100.00
02/02/26
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Utah Mammoth -245 6-2 17h 46m WIN +$100.00
02/02/26
Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas S...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Dallas Stars -155 4-3 25h 36m WIN +$100.00
01/31/26
Nashville Predators vs Ne...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket New York Islanders -121 3-4 21h 42m LOSS $-121.00
01/31/26
Nashville Predators vs Ne...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket New York Islanders -122 3-4 18h 15m LOSS $-122.00
01/29/26
Washington Capitals vs De...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Detroit Red Wings -115 3-4 20h 16m LOSS $-115.00
01/29/26
Washington Capitals vs De...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Detroit Red Wings -115 3-4 16h 2m LOSS $-115.00
01/29/26
Philadelphia Flyers vs Bo...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Boston Bruins -150 6-3 13h 48m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Colorado Avalanche vs Mon...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Montreal Canadiens +109 7-3 2h 32m WIN +$109.00
01/29/26
Colorado Avalanche vs Mon...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Montreal Canadiens +109 7-3 6h 24m WIN +$109.00
01/29/26
Colorado Avalanche vs Mon...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Montreal Canadiens +123 7-3 12h 57m WIN +$123.00
01/29/26
Los Angeles Kings vs Buff...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Buffalo Sabres -115 4-1 21h 31m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Colorado Avalanche vs Mon...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Montreal Canadiens +123 7-3 20h 1m WIN +$123.00
01/29/26
Los Angeles Kings vs Buff...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Buffalo Sabres -118 4-1 19h 17m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Colorado Avalanche vs Mon...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Montreal Canadiens +124 7-3 20h 15m WIN +$124.00
01/29/26
Philadelphia Flyers vs Bo...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Boston Bruins -147 6-3 15h 29m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Colorado Avalanche vs Mon...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Montreal Canadiens +127 7-3 20h 30m WIN +$127.00
01/29/26
Los Angeles Kings vs Buff...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Buffalo Sabres -119 4-1 17h 52m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Ba...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Tampa Bay Lightning -192 4-1 15h 50m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Colorado Avalanche vs Mon...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Montreal Canadiens +123 7-3 16h 9m WIN +$123.00