Circa Sports Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Hockey • NHL / Total Goals )

Total Bets
51
Win Rate
43.1%
22W / 29L
Total P&L
$-832.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-16.31
ROI
-16.3%

Best Matchups

vs Polymarket
$43.00
21 bets (52.4%)
vs FanDuel
$0.00
12 bets (50.0%)
vs LowVig
$-330.00
3 bets (0.0%)
vs Pinnacle
$-545.00
15 bets (33.3%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-412
10 bets
30.0% win
1-3 hours
$100
3 bets
66.7% win
3-6 hours
$70
7 bets
57.1% win
6-12 hours
$-215
12 bets
41.7% win
12-24 hours
$-575
17 bets
35.3% win
> 24 hours
$200
2 bets
100.0% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$-200
4 bets
25.0% win
15-30 min
$-212
4 bets
25.0% win
30-60 min
$0
2 bets
50.0% win
1-2 hours
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
2-4 hours
$0
4 bets
50.0% win
4-8 hours
$165
10 bets
60.0% win
8-24 hours
$-885
24 bets
33.3% win
24+ hours
$200
2 bets
100.0% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 22 9W / 13L 40.9% -0.83% -22.14% $-487.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 6 2W / 4L 33.3% -0.47% -37.50% $-225.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 5 2W / 3L 40.0% -0.24% -23.00% $-115.00
0% to +0.1% 3 2W / 1L 66.7% +0.00% +33.33% $100.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% +0.18% +0.00% $0.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 3 2W / 1L 66.7% +0.23% +35.00% $105.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% +0.35% -100.00% $-100.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 4 3W / 1L 75.0% +0.44% +50.00% $200.00
+0.5% to +1% 5 1W / 4L 20.0% +0.79% -62.00% $-310.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
$1k - $2.5k $1,475 24 10W / 14L 41.7% $-477.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,600 8 4W / 4L 50.0% $-30.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Polymarket 21 11W / 10L 52.4% $43.00
FanDuel 12 6W / 6L 50.0% $0.00
LowVig 3 0W / 3L 0.0% $-330.00
Pinnacle 15 5W / 10L 33.3% $-545.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/04/26
San Jose Sharks vs Colora...
Hockey • NHL - 1St Period Total Goals
FanDuel Under 1.5 +140 6 (2-4) 3h 26m LOSS $-100.00
02/04/26
Chicago Blackhawks vs Col...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
LowVig Over 6 -115 4 (0-4) 15h 23m LOSS $-115.00
02/03/26
Columbus Blue Jackets vs...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
LowVig Over 6 -110 3 (3-0) 12h 12m LOSS $-110.00
02/02/26
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Polymarket Under 6.5 -112 8 (2-6) 22m LOSS $-112.00
02/02/26
San Jose Sharks vs Chicag...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
FanDuel Over 4.5 -370 9 (3-6) 4h 4m WIN +$100.00
01/31/26
Minnesota Wild vs Edmonto...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Polymarket Over 6.5 -120 10 (7-3) 1h 49m WIN +$100.00
01/31/26
New Jersey Devils vs Otta...
Hockey • NHL - 1St Period Total Goals
FanDuel Under 1.5 +110 5 (1-4) 14m LOSS $-100.00
01/31/26
Montreal Canadiens vs Buf...
Hockey • NHL - 1St Period Total Goals
FanDuel Under 1.5 +150 6 (4-2) 21m LOSS $-100.00
01/29/26
San Jose Sharks vs Edmont...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Polymarket Over 6.5 -125 7 (3-4) 13h 12m WIN +$100.00
01/28/26
Colorado Avalanche vs Ott...
Hockey • NHL - 1St Period Total Goals
FanDuel Under 1.5 +145 7 (2-5) 3m LOSS $-100.00
01/25/26
Anaheim Ducks vs Calgary...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
FanDuel Over 6 -115 7 (4-3) 21h 34m WIN +$100.00
01/25/26
New Jersey Devils vs Seat...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Under 5.5 +105 6 (2-4) 26m LOSS $-100.00
01/25/26
New Jersey Devils vs Seat...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Polymarket Under 5.5 +105 6 (2-4) 51m LOSS $-100.00
01/25/26
New Jersey Devils vs Seat...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Polymarket Under 5.5 +105 6 (2-4) 2h 33m LOSS $-100.00
01/25/26
Colorado Avalanche vs Tor...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Polymarket Over 6.5 -105 5 (4-1) 12h 16m LOSS $-105.00
01/24/26
Washington Capitals vs Ed...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Polymarket Over 6.5 +100 11 (5-6) 12h 41m WIN +$100.00
01/24/26
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Co...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
FanDuel Over 6 -120 13 (5-8) 19h 11m WIN +$100.00
01/22/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Ed...
Hockey • NHL - 1st Period Total Goals
FanDuel Under 1.5 +150 8 (6-2) 10m LOSS $-100.00
01/21/26
New York Islanders vs Sea...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Over 5.5 -105 5 (1-4) 9h 31m LOSS $-105.00
01/21/26
Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Polymarket Over 6.5 -130 3 (2-1) 4h 48m LOSS $-130.00
01/19/26
New Jersey Devils vs Calg...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Over 6 +105 3 (2-1) 20h 14m LOSS $-100.00
01/19/26
Philadelphia Flyers vs Ve...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Polymarket Under 6.5 -120 3 (2-1) 24h 39m WIN +$100.00
01/19/26
Philadelphia Flyers vs Ve...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Under 6.5 -120 3 (2-1) 24h 39m WIN +$100.00
01/19/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Se...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Polymarket Over 5.5 -120 9 (6-3) 3h 11m WIN +$100.00
01/19/26
Buffalo Sabres vs Carolin...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Polymarket Under 6.5 -105 3 (1-2) 6h 27m WIN +$100.00
01/19/26
Buffalo Sabres vs Carolin...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Polymarket Under 6.5 -105 3 (1-2) 5h 56m WIN +$100.00
01/12/26
Edmonton Oilers vs Chicag...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Over 6 -120 5 (4-1) 14h 11m LOSS $-120.00
01/12/26
Edmonton Oilers vs Chicag...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
FanDuel Over 4.5 -450 5 (4-1) 6h 34m WIN +$100.00
01/10/26
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ph...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Under 6 -110 9 (7-2) 16h 58m LOSS $-110.00
01/10/26
Dallas Stars vs San Jose...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Polymarket Under 6.5 +100 9 (4-5) 13h 45m LOSS $-100.00