Circa Sports Analytics
Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NCAAB / Total Points )
Total Bets
273
Win Rate
53.5%
146W / 127L
Total P&L
$630.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$2.31
ROI
2.3%
Best Matchups
vs Pinnacle
$1,170.00
165 bets (55.8%)
vs BookMaker
$490.00
7 bets (85.7%)
vs Polymarket
$290.00
47 bets (55.3%)
vs DraftKings
$-120.00
3 bets (33.3%)
vs Kalshi
$-140.00
7 bets (42.9%)
Activity Heatmap
Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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More
Profit Heatmap
P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Loss
Profit
Performance by Sport
Click to filter by sport (showing Total Points markets)
Performance by Market
Click to filter by market (showing Basketball • NCAAB only)
1st Half Total Points
85 bets (58.8%)
$1,150.00
50W / 35L
Point Spread
83 bets (55.4%)
$545.00
46W / 37L
Moneyline
134 bets (50.7%)
$509.00
68W / 66L
Total Points
188 bets (51.1%)
$-520.00
96W / 92L
1St Half Point Spread
17 bets (35.3%)
$-595.00
6W / 11L
1St Half Moneyline
73 bets (41.1%)
$-2,205.00
30W / 43L
Time-to-Game Performance
How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start
< 1 hour
$490
28 bets
60.7% win
1-3 hours
$1,290
57 bets
63.2% win
3-6 hours
$-790
74 bets
47.3% win
6-12 hours
$240
78 bets
53.8% win
12-24 hours
$-490
35 bets
45.7% win
> 24 hours
$-110
1 bets
0.0% win
Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)
Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start
0-15 min
$160
10 bets
60.0% win
15-30 min
$470
11 bets
72.7% win
30-60 min
$-140
7 bets
42.9% win
1-2 hours
$380
29 bets
58.6% win
2-4 hours
$160
52 bets
53.8% win
4-8 hours
$750
81 bets
56.8% win
8-24 hours
$-1,040
82 bets
46.3% win
24+ hours
$-110
1 bets
0.0% win
Edge/Hold Performance
Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)
| Edge Bucket | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | Avg Edge | ROI | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1% to -0.5% | 89 | 43W / 46L | 48.3% | -0.83% | -8.54% | $-760.00 |
| -0.5% to -0.4% | 40 | 25W / 15L | 62.5% | -0.46% | +21.25% | $850.00 |
| -0.3% to -0.2% | 22 | 13W / 9L | 59.1% | -0.23% | +14.09% | $310.00 |
| 0% to +0.1% | 11 | 4W / 7L | 36.4% | +0.00% | -33.64% | $-370.00 |
| +0.2% to +0.3% | 39 | 22W / 17L | 56.4% | +0.23% | +8.46% | $330.00 |
| +0.4% to +0.5% | 9 | 7W / 2L | 77.8% | +0.45% | +53.33% | $480.00 |
| +0.5% to +1% | 63 | 32W / 31L | 50.8% | +0.73% | -3.33% | $-210.00 |
Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier
Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)
| Limit Tier | Avg Limit | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $500 | $219 | 6 | 3W / 3L | 50.0% | $-30.00 |
| $500 - $1k | $577 | 74 | 37W / 37L | 50.0% | $-370.00 |
| $1k - $2.5k | $1,231 | 59 | 28W / 31L | 47.5% | $-610.00 |
Performance vs Opposing Books
How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook
| Opposing Book | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 165 | 92W / 73L | 55.8% | $1,170.00 |
| BookMaker | 7 | 6W / 1L | 85.7% | $490.00 |
| Polymarket | 47 | 26W / 21L | 55.3% | $290.00 |
| DraftKings | 3 | 1W / 2L | 33.3% | $-120.00 |
| Kalshi | 7 | 3W / 4L | 42.9% | $-140.00 |
| bet105 | 26 | 12W / 14L | 46.2% | $-340.00 |
| bet105, Pinnacle | 16 | 5W / 11L | 31.3% | $-710.00 |
Recent Results
Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports
| Date | Event | Vs | Selection | Odds | Score | Time Before | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/13/26 |
North Carolina A&T vs Ham...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Total Points
|
bet105 | Over 64 | -110 | 56 (26-30) | 3h 1m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
Massachusetts vs Akron
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
BookMaker | Under 163 | -110 | 191 (92-99) | 3h 45m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
Saint Louis vs Loyola Chi...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
BookMaker | Under 157 | -110 | 145 (86-59) | 17h | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 148.5 | -110 | 163 (71-92) | 5h 19m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Southeast Missouri State...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 138.5 | -110 | 130 (56-74) | 1h 43m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 145.5 | -110 | 149 (83-66) | 7h 13m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
BookMaker | Over 144 | -110 | 149 (83-66) | 6h 56m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Kansas City vs Oral Rober...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 146.5 | -110 | 129 (60-69) | 9h 58m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Kansas City vs Oral Rober...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Total Points
|
bet105 | Over 69.5 | -110 | 57 (29-28) | 1h 13m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
NJIT vs New Hampshire
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Over 141.5 | -110 | 146 (76-70) | 8h 17m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
South Florida vs Wichita...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Under 161 | -110 | 124 (66-58) | 10h 47m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Bellarmine vs Central Ark...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
bet105 | Under 152 | -110 | 160 (76-84) | 8h 38m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 154.5 | -110 | 160 (81-79) | 1h 44m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Iowa vs Maryland
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 141.5 | -110 | 147 (70-77) | 8h 6m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Washington State vs Gonza...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Over 155 | -110 | 136 (53-83) | 13h 33m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Washington State vs Gonza...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
bet105 | Under 157 | -110 | 136 (53-83) | 8h 33m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Fresno State vs Utah Stat...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
bet105 | Over 150 | -110 | 169 (78-91) | 11h 11m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Eastern Illinois vs Weste...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 131.5 | -110 | 149 (70-79) | 2h 28m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Wisconsin vs Illinois
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Under 155.5 | -110 | 182 (92-90) | 8h 55m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Wisconsin vs Illinois
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Over 151.5 | -110 | 182 (92-90) | 2h 26m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Wisconsin vs Illinois
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Under 155.5 | -110 | 182 (92-90) | 8h 38m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Wisconsin vs Illinois
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Under 155.5 | -110 | 182 (92-90) | 7h 48m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Milwaukee vs IUPUI
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 160 | -110 | 180 (92-88) | 3h 56m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Northern Iowa vs Murray S...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Over 143 | -110 | 149 (89-60) | 4h 50m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/08/26 |
Maryland vs Minnesota
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 139.5 | -110 | 129 (67-62) | 1h 44m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Fresno State vs Nevada
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
bet105 | Over 145 | -110 | 128 (59-69) | 3h 46m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
San Diego State vs Air Fo...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Over 136.5 | -110 | 142 (88-54) | 9h 2m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
George Washington vs Duqu...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 160 | -110 | 174 (86-88) | 2h 10m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
George Washington vs Duqu...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Under 160 | -110 | 174 (86-88) | 2h 10m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Cleveland State vs IUPUI
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Under 170.5 | -110 | 156 (74-82) | 4h 18m | WIN | +$100.00 |