Circa Sports Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Football • NFL / 1st Half Moneyline )

Total Bets
38
Win Rate
47.4%
18W / 20L
Total P&L
$135.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$3.55
ROI
3.6%

Best Matchups

vs BookMaker
$495.00
12 bets (66.7%)
vs FanDuel
$290.00
11 bets (54.5%)
vs Pinnacle
$-130.00
6 bets (33.3%)
vs Polymarket
$-510.00
5 bets (0.0%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$315
2 bets
100.0% win
3-6 hours
$150
3 bets
66.7% win
6-12 hours
$-170
6 bets
33.3% win
12-24 hours
$-515
9 bets
22.2% win
> 24 hours
$355
18 bets
55.6% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

15-30 min
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
30-60 min
$215
1 bets
100.0% win
4-8 hours
$150
3 bets
66.7% win
8-24 hours
$-685
15 bets
26.7% win
24+ hours
$355
18 bets
55.6% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 25 13W / 12L 52.0% -0.82% +14.60% $365.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 5 2W / 3L 40.0% -0.45% -13.00% $-65.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% -0.35% -100.00% $-100.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 2 0W / 2L 0.0% -0.24% -105.00% $-210.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 3 2W / 1L 66.7% -0.16% +48.33% $145.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% +0.18% +0.00% $0.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
$2.5k - $5k $4,500 1 0W / 1L 0.0% $-110.00
$5k - $10k $6,000 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-10.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
BookMaker 12 8W / 4L 66.7% $495.00
FanDuel 11 6W / 5L 54.5% $290.00
bet105, Pinnacle 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-10.00
Pinnacle 6 2W / 4L 33.3% $-130.00
Polymarket 5 0W / 5L 0.0% $-510.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
01/12/26
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
bet105, Pinnacle Houston Texans -130 7-6 19h 35m WIN +$100.00
01/11/26
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonv...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
bet105, Pinnacle Jacksonville Jaguars -110 7-10 36h 5m LOSS $-110.00
01/11/26
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonv...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
Polymarket Jacksonville Jaguars -110 7-10 31h 12m LOSS $-110.00
01/04/26
Los Angeles Chargers vs D...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
Polymarket Los Angeles Chargers +415 3-19 19h 3m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
New York Jets vs Buffalo...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
Polymarket New York Jets +310 8-35 4h 52m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Miami Dolphins vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - 1St Half Moneyline
Polymarket Miami Dolphins +350 10-17 10h 15m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Kansas City Chiefs vs Las...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
BookMaker Las Vegas Raiders +180 14-12 46h 20m WIN +$180.00
01/04/26
Detroit Lions vs Chicago...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
BookMaker Chicago Bears -135 16-19 54h 59m LOSS $-135.00
01/04/26
Arizona Cardinals vs Los...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
BookMaker Los Angeles Rams -290 37-20 31h 45m WIN +$100.00
01/04/26
New Orleans Saints vs Atl...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel Atlanta Falcons -150 19-17 29h 47m WIN +$100.00
01/04/26
New Orleans Saints vs Atl...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
LowVig, Pinnacle Atlanta Falcons -150 19-17 4h 1m WIN +$100.00
01/03/26
Seattle Seahawks vs San F...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
BookMaker Seattle Seahawks -115 13-3 29h 14m WIN +$100.00
01/03/26
Carolina Panthers vs Tamp...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
BookMaker Tampa Bay Buccaneers -130 13-7 69h 55m WIN +$100.00
12/28/25
Chicago Bears vs San Fran...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel Chicago Bears +145 21-28 26h 39m LOSS $-100.00
12/28/25
Chicago Bears vs San Fran...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel Chicago Bears +145 21-28 23h 29m LOSS $-100.00
12/28/25
Chicago Bears vs San Fran...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel Chicago Bears +140 21-28 23h 7m LOSS $-100.00
12/28/25
Chicago Bears vs San Fran...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel Chicago Bears +140 21-28 17h 52m LOSS $-100.00
12/28/25
Chicago Bears vs San Fran...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
LowVig Chicago Bears +145 21-28 26h 42m LOSS $-100.00
12/28/25
Philadelphia Eagles vs Bu...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
BookMaker Philadelphia Eagles +115 13-0 8h 42m WIN +$115.00
12/28/25
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cl...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel Cleveland Browns +150 10-6 4h 56m WIN +$150.00
12/28/25
New England Patriots vs N...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
Polymarket New York Jets +360 3-35 10h 32m LOSS $-100.00
12/28/25
Arizona Cardinals vs Cinc...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
BookMaker Arizona Cardinals +220 7-23 19h 19m LOSS $-100.00
12/28/25
New England Patriots vs N...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel New England Patriots -370 35-3 28m WIN +$100.00
12/28/25
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cl...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel Cleveland Browns +150 10-6 11h 30m WIN +$150.00
12/28/25
Arizona Cardinals vs Cinc...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
BookMaker Arizona Cardinals +220 7-23 18h 47m LOSS $-100.00
12/28/25
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs M...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
BookMaker Miami Dolphins +170 17-7 79h 5m WIN +$170.00
12/27/25
Baltimore Ravens vs Green...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
BookMaker Green Bay Packers -135 14-27 8h 42m LOSS $-135.00
12/22/25
San Francisco 49ers vs In...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel Indianapolis Colts +165 17-24 9h 25m LOSS $-100.00
12/21/25
Las Vegas Raiders vs Hous...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
Pinnacle Las Vegas Raiders +455 7-13 24h LOSS $-100.00
12/21/25
Jacksonville Jaguars vs D...
Football • NFL - 1St Half Moneyline
Fanduel Jacksonville Jaguars +145 17-10 52h 56m WIN +$145.00