Circa Sports Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Total Points )

Total Bets
565
Win Rate
55%
311W / 254L
Total P&L
$3,023.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$5.35
ROI
5.4%

Best Matchups

vs Polymarket
$2,120.00
122 bets (60.7%)
vs FanDuel
$1,988.00
32 bets (81.3%)
vs Pinnacle
$1,200.00
321 bets (54.5%)
vs BookMaker
$285.00
11 bets (63.6%)
vs Kalshi
$-140.00
7 bets (42.9%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$768
43 bets
60.5% win
1-3 hours
$1,315
78 bets
60.3% win
3-6 hours
$-420
105 bets
50.5% win
6-12 hours
$1,025
145 bets
56.6% win
12-24 hours
$975
165 bets
55.2% win
> 24 hours
$-640
29 bets
41.4% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$268
17 bets
58.8% win
15-30 min
$560
14 bets
71.4% win
30-60 min
$-60
12 bets
50.0% win
1-2 hours
$350
37 bets
56.8% win
2-4 hours
$175
75 bets
53.3% win
4-8 hours
$1,690
121 bets
59.5% win
8-24 hours
$680
260 bets
53.8% win
24+ hours
$-640
29 bets
41.4% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1.5% to -1% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -1.19% +100.00% $100.00
-1% to -0.5% 182 88W / 94L 48.4% -0.84% -8.98% $-1,635.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 89 56W / 33L 62.9% -0.46% +22.19% $1,975.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -0.33% +100.00% $100.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 38 20W / 18L 52.6% -0.23% +0.92% $35.00
0% to +0.1% 21 11W / 10L 52.4% +0.00% +0.00% $0.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 69 38W / 31L 55.1% +0.23% +5.87% $405.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 30 21W / 9L 70.0% +0.45% +36.83% $1,105.00
+0.5% to +1% 134 75W / 59L 56.0% +0.71% +7.00% $938.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $219 6 3W / 3L 50.0% $-30.00
$500 - $1k $567 113 62W / 51L 54.9% $590.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,293 129 72W / 57L 55.8% $930.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,342 12 5W / 7L 41.7% $-357.00
$5k - $10k $5,633 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $90.00
$10k+ $22,000 1 1W / 0L 100.0% $100.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Polymarket 122 74W / 48L 60.7% $2,120.00
FanDuel 32 26W / 6L 81.3% $1,988.00
Pinnacle 321 175W / 146L 54.5% $1,200.00
BookMaker 11 7W / 4L 63.6% $285.00
crypto.com 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-10.00
Kalshi 7 3W / 4L 42.9% $-140.00
DraftKings 4 1W / 3L 25.0% $-230.00
LowVig 6 1W / 5L 16.7% $-420.00
bet105 39 18W / 21L 46.2% $-515.00
bet105, Pinnacle 19 5W / 14L 26.3% $-1,040.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/13/26
North Carolina A&T vs Ham...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Total Points
bet105 Over 64 -110 56 (26-30) 3h 1m LOSS $-110.00
02/13/26
Massachusetts vs Akron
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
BookMaker Under 163 -110 191 (92-99) 3h 45m LOSS $-110.00
02/13/26
Saint Louis vs Loyola Chi...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
BookMaker Under 157 -110 145 (86-59) 17h WIN +$100.00
02/13/26
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Under 148.5 -110 163 (71-92) 5h 19m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 232.5 -110 228 (104-124) 16h 31m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
Southeast Missouri State...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Under 138.5 -110 130 (56-74) 1h 43m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
BookMaker Over 144 -110 149 (83-66) 6h 56m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Under 145.5 -110 149 (83-66) 7h 13m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
Kansas City vs Oral Rober...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Total Points
bet105 Over 69.5 -110 57 (29-28) 1h 13m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
Kansas City vs Oral Rober...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Over 146.5 -110 129 (60-69) 9h 58m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 215 -110 203 (110-93) 17h 18m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
NJIT vs New Hampshire
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 141.5 -110 146 (76-70) 8h 17m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
bet105 Over 219 -110 239 (126-113) 15h 38m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Memphis Grizzlies vs Denv...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 236 -110 238 (116-122) 12h 48m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Under 213.5 -110 245 (136-109) 13m LOSS $-110.00
02/11/26
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Over 154.5 -110 160 (81-79) 1h 44m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
South Florida vs Wichita...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Pinnacle Under 161 -110 124 (66-58) 10h 47m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Bellarmine vs Central Ark...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
bet105 Under 152 -110 160 (76-84) 8h 38m LOSS $-110.00
02/11/26
Iowa vs Maryland
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Under 141.5 -110 147 (70-77) 8h 6m LOSS $-110.00
02/10/26
Washington State vs Gonza...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 155 -110 136 (53-83) 13h 33m LOSS $-110.00
02/10/26
Washington State vs Gonza...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
bet105 Under 157 -110 136 (53-83) 8h 33m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
bet105 Over 115 -105 139 (84-55) 7h 38m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoen...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 226.5 -110 231 (111-120) 15h 31m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
Fresno State vs Utah Stat...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
bet105 Over 150 -110 169 (78-91) 11h 11m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
Eastern Illinois vs Weste...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Over 131.5 -110 149 (70-79) 2h 28m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs H...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 211.5 -110 197 (95-102) 8h 35m LOSS $-110.00
02/10/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs H...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Under 210.5 -110 197 (95-102) 13h 44m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
Wisconsin vs Illinois
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Pinnacle Under 155.5 -110 182 (92-90) 8h 55m LOSS $-110.00
02/10/26
Wisconsin vs Illinois
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
DraftKings Under 155.5 -110 182 (92-90) 8h 38m LOSS $-110.00
02/10/26
Wisconsin vs Illinois
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
DraftKings Over 151.5 -110 182 (92-90) 2h 26m WIN +$100.00