Circa Sports Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Hockey • NHL )

Total Bets
226
Win Rate
47.3%
107W / 119L
Total P&L
$-3,979.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-17.61
ROI
-17.6%

Best Matchups

vs BookMaker
$-84.00
4 bets (50.0%)
vs FanDuel
$-120.00
13 bets (46.2%)
vs LowVig
$-958.00
12 bets (25.0%)
vs Pinnacle
$-966.00
37 bets (40.5%)
vs Polymarket
$-2,003.00
155 bets (50.3%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-195
18 bets
44.4% win
1-3 hours
$206
13 bets
61.5% win
3-6 hours
$868
24 bets
66.7% win
6-12 hours
$-2,026
46 bets
32.6% win
12-24 hours
$-2,582
119 bets
47.9% win
> 24 hours
$-250
6 bets
50.0% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$-100
5 bets
40.0% win
15-30 min
$303
8 bets
62.5% win
30-60 min
$-398
5 bets
20.0% win
1-2 hours
$400
4 bets
100.0% win
2-4 hours
$54
17 bets
52.9% win
4-8 hours
$504
29 bets
58.6% win
8-24 hours
$-4,492
152 bets
43.4% win
24+ hours
$-250
6 bets
50.0% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 91 38W / 53L 41.8% -0.79% -26.25% $-2,389.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 30 12W / 18L 40.0% -0.46% -29.83% $-895.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 9 3W / 6L 33.3% -0.38% -46.67% $-420.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 18 7W / 11L 38.9% -0.24% -45.06% $-811.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 8 6W / 2L 75.0% -0.17% +51.25% $410.00
0% to +0.1% 13 6W / 7L 46.2% +0.00% -29.54% $-384.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 7 6W / 1L 85.7% +0.16% +79.29% $555.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 17 11W / 6L 64.7% +0.24% +26.12% $444.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 7 1W / 6L 14.3% +0.36% -189.29% $-1,325.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 10 7W / 3L 70.0% +0.44% +42.40% $424.00
+0.5% to +1% 16 10W / 6L 62.5% +0.74% +25.75% $412.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
$1k - $2.5k $1,471 28 12W / 16L 42.9% $-527.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,555 71 43W / 28L 60.6% $1,391.00
$5k - $10k $6,441 32 18W / 14L 56.3% $-213.00
$10k+ $12,808 13 8W / 5L 61.5% $295.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Kalshi 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $200.00
BookMaker 4 2W / 2L 50.0% $-84.00
FanDuel 13 6W / 7L 46.2% $-120.00
LowVig 12 3W / 9L 25.0% $-958.00
Pinnacle 37 15W / 22L 40.5% $-966.00
Polymarket 155 78W / 77L 50.3% $-2,003.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/05/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Bu...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Buffalo Sabres -124 2-5 19h 54m LOSS $-124.00
02/05/26
Nashville Predators vs Wa...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Washington Capitals -168 4-2 16h 15m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Bu...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Buffalo Sabres -124 2-5 16h 3m LOSS $-124.00
02/05/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Bu...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Buffalo Sabres -124 2-5 17h 51m LOSS $-124.00
02/04/26
San Jose Sharks vs Colora...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Colorado Avalanche -267 4-2 1h 8m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
San Jose Sharks vs Colora...
Hockey • NHL - 1St Period Total Goals
FanDuel Under 1.5 +140 6 (2-4) 3h 26m LOSS $-100.00
02/04/26
Chicago Blackhawks vs Col...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
LowVig Over 6 -115 4 (0-4) 15h 23m LOSS $-115.00
02/03/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Ne...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
LowVig New York Islanders -110 5-4 19h 21m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Columbus Blue Jackets vs...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
LowVig Over 6 -110 3 (3-0) 12h 12m LOSS $-110.00
02/02/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ca...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Calgary Flames +111 2-4 18h 39m LOSS $-100.00
02/02/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ca...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Calgary Flames +111 2-4 20h 29m LOSS $-100.00
02/02/26
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Utah Mammoth -252 6-2 5h 26m WIN +$100.00
02/02/26
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Utah Mammoth -250 6-2 17h 6m WIN +$100.00
02/02/26
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Polymarket Under 6.5 -112 8 (2-6) 22m LOSS $-112.00
02/02/26
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Kalshi Utah Mammoth -245 6-2 17h 18m WIN +$100.00
02/02/26
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Utah Mammoth -245 6-2 17h 46m WIN +$100.00
02/02/26
Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas S...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Dallas Stars -155 4-3 25h 36m WIN +$100.00
02/02/26
San Jose Sharks vs Chicag...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
FanDuel Over 4.5 -370 9 (3-6) 4h 4m WIN +$100.00
01/31/26
Minnesota Wild vs Edmonto...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Polymarket Over 6.5 -120 10 (7-3) 1h 49m WIN +$100.00
01/31/26
Nashville Predators vs Ne...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket New York Islanders -122 3-4 18h 15m LOSS $-122.00
01/31/26
Montreal Canadiens vs Buf...
Hockey • NHL - 1St Period Total Goals
FanDuel Under 1.5 +150 6 (4-2) 21m LOSS $-100.00
01/31/26
Nashville Predators vs Ne...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket New York Islanders -121 3-4 21h 42m LOSS $-121.00
01/31/26
New Jersey Devils vs Otta...
Hockey • NHL - 1St Period Total Goals
FanDuel Under 1.5 +110 5 (1-4) 14m LOSS $-100.00
01/29/26
San Jose Sharks vs Edmont...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Polymarket Over 6.5 -125 7 (3-4) 13h 12m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Washington Capitals vs De...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Detroit Red Wings -115 3-4 16h 2m LOSS $-115.00
01/29/26
Washington Capitals vs De...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Detroit Red Wings -115 3-4 20h 16m LOSS $-115.00
01/29/26
Los Angeles Kings vs Buff...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Buffalo Sabres -119 4-1 19h 4m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Ba...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Tampa Bay Lightning -192 4-1 15h 50m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Philadelphia Flyers vs Bo...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Boston Bruins -147 6-3 17h 52m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Colorado Avalanche vs Mon...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Polymarket Montreal Canadiens +109 7-3 2h 32m WIN +$109.00