Circa Sports Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Football • NFL )

Total Bets
191
Win Rate
53.4%
102W / 89L
Total P&L
$740.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$3.87
ROI
3.9%

Best Matchups

vs FanDuel
$1,140.00
45 bets (68.9%)
vs Pinnacle
$460.00
59 bets (55.9%)
vs BookMaker
$235.00
24 bets (54.2%)
vs Polymarket
$-20.00
44 bets (45.5%)
vs bet105, Pinnacle
$-120.00
3 bets (33.3%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$553
4 bets
100.0% win
1-3 hours
$320
5 bets
80.0% win
3-6 hours
$255
14 bets
57.1% win
6-12 hours
$-550
19 bets
47.4% win
12-24 hours
$45
35 bets
51.4% win
> 24 hours
$117
114 bets
51.8% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$238
2 bets
100.0% win
15-30 min
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
30-60 min
$215
1 bets
100.0% win
1-2 hours
$95
3 bets
66.7% win
2-4 hours
$330
6 bets
66.7% win
4-8 hours
$-260
15 bets
53.3% win
8-24 hours
$-95
49 bets
51.0% win
24+ hours
$117
114 bets
51.8% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1.5% to -1% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% -1.14% -90.00% $-180.00
-1% to -0.5% 107 56W / 51L 52.3% -0.81% +8.43% $902.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 25 15W / 10L 60.0% -0.46% +22.80% $570.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 7 3W / 4L 42.9% -0.34% -60.00% $-420.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 13 7W / 6L 53.8% -0.25% +0.00% $0.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 14 7W / 7L 50.0% -0.17% -16.07% $-225.00
0% to +0.1% 9 7W / 2L 77.8% +0.00% +55.56% $500.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 3 2W / 1L 66.7% +0.18% +33.33% $100.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 7 1W / 6L 14.3% +0.24% -89.29% $-625.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 2 2W / 0L 100.0% +0.44% +100.00% $200.00
+0.5% to +1% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% +0.65% -41.00% $-82.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
$1k - $2.5k $1,950 6 1W / 5L 16.7% $-430.00
$2.5k - $5k $4,300 4 2W / 2L 50.0% $-117.00
$5k - $10k $5,814 7 4W / 3L 57.1% $-100.00
$10k+ $38,091 11 6W / 5L 54.5% $100.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
FanDuel 45 31W / 14L 68.9% $1,140.00
Pinnacle 59 33W / 26L 55.9% $460.00
BookMaker 24 13W / 11L 54.2% $235.00
LowVig, Pinnacle 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-5.00
Polymarket 44 20W / 24L 45.5% $-20.00
BookMaker, Pinnacle 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-110.00
bet105, Pinnacle 3 1W / 2L 33.3% $-120.00
FanDuel, LowVig 2 0W / 2L 0.0% $-200.00
LowVig 9 2W / 7L 22.2% $-535.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
01/25/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Polymarket Seattle Seahawks -126 31-27 26h 35m WIN +$100.00
01/25/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Team Total
Pinnacle Seattle Seahawks Und... -110 31 112h 55m LOSS $-110.00
01/25/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Polymarket Seattle Seahawks -132 31-27 15h 56m WIN +$100.00
01/25/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Polymarket Seattle Seahawks -132 31-27 23h 43m WIN +$100.00
01/25/26
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Total Points
bet105, Pinnacle Over 21 -110 14 (7-7) 12h 16m LOSS $-110.00
01/25/26
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Team Total
FanDuel Denver Broncos Over... +105 7 127h 32m LOSS $-100.00
01/25/26
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Polymarket Denver Broncos +215 7-10 93h 17m LOSS $-100.00
01/25/26
Denver Broncos vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
Polymarket New England Patriots... -110 7-10 10h 25m LOSS $-110.00
01/25/26
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Polymarket Denver Broncos +220 7-10 94h 31m LOSS $-100.00
01/25/26
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Polymarket Denver Broncos +195 7-10 47h 1m LOSS $-100.00
01/25/26
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Polymarket Denver Broncos +210 7-10 65h 39m LOSS $-100.00
01/18/26
Houston Texans vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - 1st Quarter Total Points
FanDuel Over 7.5 +138 44 (16-28) 13m WIN +$138.00
01/18/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Chica...
Football • NFL - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 41.5 -245 37 (20-17) 10h 6m LOSS $-245.00
01/18/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Chica...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Polymarket Chicago Bears +180 17-20 3h 18m LOSS $-100.00
01/12/26
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Over 31.5 -250 36 (30-6) 120h 4m WIN +$100.00
01/12/26
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Under 47.5 -320 36 (30-6) 30h 37m WIN +$100.00
01/12/26
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Polymarket Pittsburgh Steelers +150 6-30 129h 23m LOSS $-100.00
01/12/26
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
bet105, Pinnacle Houston Texans -130 7-6 19h 35m WIN +$100.00
01/11/26
Los Angeles Chargers vs N...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Polymarket New England Patriots -180 16-3 68h 1m WIN +$100.00
01/11/26
Los Angeles Chargers vs N...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
FanDuel Los Angeles Chargers... -280 3-16 7h 10m LOSS $-280.00
01/11/26
Los Angeles Chargers vs N...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Polymarket New England Patriots -180 16-3 69h 24m WIN +$100.00
01/11/26
San Francisco 49ers vs Ph...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
FanDuel San Francisco 49ers... -240 23-19 123h 16m WIN +$100.00
01/11/26
San Francisco 49ers vs Ph...
Football • NFL - Team Total
FanDuel San Francisco 49ers... -115 23 111h 51m WIN +$100.00
01/11/26
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonv...
Football • NFL - Total Points
Fanduel Under 61.5 -290 51 (27-24) 13h 38m WIN +$100.00
01/11/26
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonv...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
bet105, Pinnacle Jacksonville Jaguars -110 7-10 36h 5m LOSS $-110.00
01/11/26
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonv...
Football • NFL - Total Points
Polymarket Over 50.5 -110 51 (27-24) 4h 9m WIN +$100.00
01/11/26
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonv...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
Polymarket Jacksonville Jaguars -110 7-10 31h 12m LOSS $-110.00
01/11/26
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonv...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
FanDuel Jacksonville Jaguars... -305 24-27 119h 46m WIN +$100.00
01/10/26
Green Bay Packers vs Chic...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
Pinnacle Chicago Bears +7.5 -310 31-27 23h 21m WIN +$100.00
01/10/26
Green Bay Packers vs Chic...
Football • NFL - Team Total
BookMaker Chicago Bears Under... -115 31 52h 24m LOSS $-115.00