Circa Sports Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Football • NCAAF )

Total Bets
129
Win Rate
41.1%
53W / 76L
Total P&L
$-1,380.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-10.70
ROI
-10.7%

Best Matchups

vs Pinnacle
$2,090.00
37 bets (67.6%)
vs LowVig
$-185.00
15 bets (40.0%)
vs FanDuel
$-260.00
17 bets (41.2%)
vs Kalshi
$-300.00
3 bets (0.0%)
vs BookMaker
$-315.00
19 bets (42.1%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$45
6 bets
50.0% win
1-3 hours
$310
8 bets
50.0% win
3-6 hours
$-80
7 bets
42.9% win
6-12 hours
$530
6 bets
83.3% win
12-24 hours
$-650
21 bets
38.1% win
> 24 hours
$-1,535
81 bets
37.0% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$0
2 bets
50.0% win
30-60 min
$45
4 bets
50.0% win
1-2 hours
$325
4 bets
50.0% win
2-4 hours
$-120
5 bets
40.0% win
4-8 hours
$270
8 bets
62.5% win
8-24 hours
$-365
25 bets
44.0% win
24+ hours
$-1,535
81 bets
37.0% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 62 34W / 28L 54.8% -0.81% +18.39% $1,140.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 16 6W / 10L 37.5% -0.45% -27.81% $-445.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% -0.32% -100.00% $-100.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 7 4W / 3L 57.1% -0.24% +14.29% $100.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 4 0W / 4L 0.0% -0.16% -100.00% $-400.00
-0.1% to 0% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -0.09% +360.00% $360.00
0% to +0.1% 10 6W / 4L 60.0% +0.00% +33.50% $335.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% +0.17% +145.00% $145.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 18 0W / 18L 0.0% +0.22% -100.83% $-1,815.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 6 0W / 6L 0.0% +0.34% -100.00% $-600.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% +0.48% -100.00% $-100.00
+0.5% to +1% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% +0.52% +0.00% $0.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $14 1 0W / 1L 0.0% $-100.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,000 1 0W / 1L 0.0% $-100.00
$5k - $10k $5,000 1 0W / 1L 0.0% $-100.00
$10k+ $38,500 3 1W / 2L 33.3% $-100.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Pinnacle 37 25W / 12L 67.6% $2,090.00
LowVig, Pinnacle 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $0.00
LowVig 15 6W / 9L 40.0% $-185.00
FanDuel, LowVig 2 0W / 2L 0.0% $-200.00
FanDuel 17 7W / 10L 41.2% $-260.00
Kalshi 3 0W / 3L 0.0% $-300.00
BookMaker 19 8W / 11L 42.1% $-315.00
Polymarket 33 5W / 28L 15.2% $-2,310.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
01/19/26
Miami Florida vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Total Points
BookMaker Over 23.5 +100 10 (0-10) 14h 40m LOSS $-100.00
01/19/26
Miami Florida vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
BookMaker Miami Florida +205 0-10 4h 36m LOSS $-100.00
01/19/26
Miami Florida vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Indiana -280 27-21 2h 38m WIN +$100.00
01/09/26
Oregon vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
FanDuel Oregon -3.5 +235 22-56 1h 44m LOSS $-100.00
01/09/26
Oregon vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Total Points
Pinnacle Under 23 -110 42 (7-35) 76h 59m LOSS $-110.00
01/09/26
Oregon vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Kalshi Oregon -3.5 +235 22-56 4h 10m LOSS $-100.00
01/09/26
Oregon vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Kalshi Oregon -3.5 +280 22-56 45m LOSS $-100.00
01/09/26
Oregon vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Total Points
FanDuel Over 40.5 -235 78 (22-56) 49h 19m WIN +$100.00
01/09/26
Oregon vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Point Spread
BookMaker Oregon +2.5 +105 7-35 18h 55m LOSS $-100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
Polymarket Ole Miss +140 13-17 82h 10m LOSS $-100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Ole Miss +155 27-31 74h 31m LOSS $-100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Ole Miss +155 27-31 73h 54m LOSS $-100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
LowVig Ole Miss +140 13-17 81h 27m LOSS $-100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Polymarket Ole Miss +155 27-31 75h 4m LOSS $-100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
FanDuel Ole Miss -3.5 +235 27-31 67h 1m LOSS $-100.00
01/05/26
Illinois State vs Montana...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
BookMaker Illinois State +10.5 -110 34-35 102h 41m WIN +$100.00
01/02/26
Arizona vs SMU
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Pinnacle SMU +105 24-19 35h 44m WIN +$105.00
01/02/26
Wake Forest vs Mississipp...
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
Pinnacle Wake Forest +125 43-29 4h 26m WIN +$125.00
01/02/26
Arizona vs SMU
Football • NCAAF - Total Points
Polymarket Over 51.5 -110 43 (19-24) 16h 48m LOSS $-110.00
01/02/26
Navy vs Cincinnati
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Pinnacle Cincinnati +8.5 -110 13-35 54h 50m LOSS $-110.00
01/02/26
Navy vs Cincinnati
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
FanDuel Cincinnati +260 13-35 54h 50m LOSS $-100.00
01/02/26
Rice vs Texas State
Football • NCAAF - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 55 -110 51 (10-41) 22h 40m LOSS $-110.00
01/02/26
Rice vs Texas State
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
Polymarket Rice +395 10-41 14h 11m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Ole Miss vs Georgia
Football • NCAAF - Total Points
FanDuel Over 48.5 -215 73 (39-34) 19h 59m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Ole Miss vs Georgia
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
Pinnacle Georgia -190 21-12 11h 24m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Ole Miss vs Georgia
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
FanDuel Ole Miss +13.5 -205 39-34 70h 34m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
Pinnacle Indiana -7 -105 38-3 42h 49m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Indiana -235 38-3 17h 50m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
BookMaker Alabama +7 +100 3-38 89h 23m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Indiana -235 38-3 43h 2m WIN +$100.00