Circa Sports Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NBA )

Total Bets
509
Win Rate
53.8%
274W / 235L
Total P&L
$5,127.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$10.07
ROI
10.1%

Best Matchups

vs Polymarket
$4,957.00
212 bets (56.1%)
vs FanDuel
$745.00
37 bets (56.8%)
vs BookMaker
$605.00
8 bets (75.0%)
vs Pinnacle
$-140.00
204 bets (52.5%)
vs bet105, Pinnacle
$-200.00
5 bets (40.0%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$107
32 bets
53.1% win
1-3 hours
$95
33 bets
48.5% win
3-6 hours
$670
58 bets
53.4% win
6-12 hours
$735
124 bets
50.8% win
12-24 hours
$3,620
261 bets
56.3% win
> 24 hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$380
14 bets
64.3% win
15-30 min
$5
5 bets
60.0% win
30-60 min
$-278
13 bets
38.5% win
1-2 hours
$-170
14 bets
42.9% win
2-4 hours
$365
36 bets
52.8% win
4-8 hours
$1,325
73 bets
54.8% win
8-24 hours
$3,600
353 bets
54.4% win
24+ hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 148 76W / 72L 51.4% -0.82% -0.44% $-65.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 77 45W / 32L 58.4% -0.46% +20.00% $1,540.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 13 9W / 4L 69.2% -0.36% +66.15% $860.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 18 7W / 11L 38.9% -0.24% -17.50% $-315.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 9 5W / 4L 55.6% -0.16% +5.56% $50.00
-0.1% to 0% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% -0.09% -100.00% $-100.00
0% to +0.1% 13 7W / 6L 53.8% +0.01% +9.23% $120.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 16 9W / 7L 56.3% +0.16% +58.44% $935.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 58 26W / 32L 44.8% +0.23% -6.69% $-388.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 6 3W / 3L 50.0% +0.37% +30.00% $180.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 32 19W / 13L 59.4% +0.45% +24.69% $790.00
+0.5% to +1% 118 68W / 50L 57.6% +0.71% +12.88% $1,520.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
$500 - $1k $547 39 25W / 14L 64.1% $960.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,570 146 83W / 63L 56.8% $3,150.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,201 73 41W / 32L 56.2% $485.00
$5k - $10k $5,455 11 7W / 4L 63.6% $535.00
$10k+ $12,114 7 1W / 6L 14.3% $-533.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Polymarket 212 119W / 93L 56.1% $4,957.00
FanDuel 37 21W / 16L 56.8% $745.00
BookMaker 8 6W / 2L 75.0% $605.00
crypto.com 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $200.00
FanDuel, Pinnacle 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-5.00
Pinnacle 204 107W / 97L 52.5% $-140.00
bet105, Pinnacle 5 2W / 3L 40.0% $-200.00
Pinnacle, Polymarket 3 0W / 3L 0.0% $-320.00
LowVig 8 3W / 5L 37.5% $-365.00
bet105 25 11W / 14L 44.0% $-440.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/12/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 232.5 -110 228 (104-124) 16h 31m LOSS $-110.00
02/12/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 215 -110 203 (110-93) 17h 18m LOSS $-110.00
02/11/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
bet105 Over 219 -110 239 (126-113) 15h 38m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket San Antonio Spurs -6... -110 126-113 14h 43m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Under 213.5 -110 245 (136-109) 13m LOSS $-110.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Phoenix Suns +230 109-136 19h 37m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Memphis Grizzlies vs Denv...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 236 -110 238 (116-122) 12h 48m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs H...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Houston Rockets -8 -110 102-105 14h 19m LOSS $-110.00
02/11/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
BookMaker Portland Trail Blaze... +190 51-61 40m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs H...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Houston Rockets -8 -110 102-105 14h 24m LOSS $-110.00
02/11/26
Indiana Pacers vs Brookly...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Indiana Pacers +5.5 -110 115-110 15h 43m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Chicago Bulls vs Boston C...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Chicago Bulls +15 -110 105-124 17h 51m LOSS $-110.00
02/11/26
Detroit Pistons vs Toront...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Toronto Raptors +115 95-113 18h 14m LOSS $-100.00
02/10/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Los Angeles Lakers +275 108-136 12h 54m LOSS $-100.00
02/10/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
bet105 Over 115 -105 139 (84-55) 7h 38m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket San Antonio Spurs -7... -110 136-108 17h 14m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Pinnacle San Antonio Spurs -7... -110 136-108 16h 41m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoen...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
BookMaker Phoenix Suns -280 120-111 13h 43m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoen...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Phoenix Suns -7.5 -110 120-111 14h 13m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoen...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 226.5 -110 231 (111-120) 15h 31m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs H...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 211.5 -110 197 (95-102) 8h 35m LOSS $-110.00
02/10/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs H...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Under 210.5 -110 197 (95-102) 13h 44m WIN +$100.00
02/10/26
Indiana Pacers vs New Yor...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 223.5 -110 271 (137-134) 12h 15m WIN +$100.00
02/09/26
Philadelphia 76ers vs Por...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Under 230.5 -110 253 (118-135) 12h 31m LOSS $-110.00
02/09/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Pinnacle Los Angeles Lakers +... -110 110-119 23h 59m LOSS $-110.00
02/09/26
Memphis Grizzlies vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Under 219.5 -110 227 (113-114) 2h 18m LOSS $-110.00
02/09/26
Philadelphia 76ers vs Por...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 228 -110 253 (118-135) 6h 39m WIN +$100.00
02/09/26
Philadelphia 76ers vs Por...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Portland Trail Blaze... +135 135-118 4h 38m WIN +$135.00
02/09/26
Memphis Grizzlies vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Golden State Warrior... -110 114-113 11h 27m LOSS $-110.00
02/09/26
Cleveland Cavaliers vs De...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 239.5 -110 236 (119-117) 1h 14m LOSS $-110.00