Circa Sports Analytics
Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NCAAB )
Total Bets
580
Win Rate
51%
296W / 284L
Total P&L
$-1,116.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-1.92
ROI
-1.9%
Best Matchups
vs Pinnacle
$940.00
266 bets (52.6%)
vs Kalshi
$905.00
24 bets (66.7%)
vs BookMaker
$155.00
52 bets (42.3%)
vs LowVig
$-105.00
10 bets (40.0%)
vs DraftKings
$-120.00
3 bets (33.3%)
Activity Heatmap
Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Profit Heatmap
P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Loss
Profit
Performance by Sport
Click to filter by sport
Performance by Market
Click to filter by market (showing Basketball • NCAAB only)
1st Half Total Points
85 bets (58.8%)
$1,150.00
50W / 35L
Point Spread
83 bets (55.4%)
$545.00
46W / 37L
Moneyline
134 bets (50.7%)
$509.00
68W / 66L
Total Points
188 bets (51.1%)
$-520.00
96W / 92L
1St Half Point Spread
17 bets (35.3%)
$-595.00
6W / 11L
1St Half Moneyline
73 bets (41.1%)
$-2,205.00
30W / 43L
Time-to-Game Performance
How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start
< 1 hour
$542
83 bets
51.8% win
1-3 hours
$-545
120 bets
51.7% win
3-6 hours
$-1,420
154 bets
49.4% win
6-12 hours
$842
166 bets
53.0% win
12-24 hours
$-425
56 bets
48.2% win
> 24 hours
$-110
1 bets
0.0% win
Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)
Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start
0-15 min
$-170
29 bets
44.8% win
15-30 min
$390
24 bets
58.3% win
30-60 min
$322
30 bets
53.3% win
1-2 hours
$-930
62 bets
48.4% win
2-4 hours
$-560
104 bets
50.0% win
4-8 hours
$272
182 bets
53.3% win
8-24 hours
$-330
148 bets
50.0% win
24+ hours
$-110
1 bets
0.0% win
Edge/Hold Performance
Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)
| Edge Bucket | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | Avg Edge | ROI | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5% to -1% | 1 | 1W / 0L | 100.0% | -1.19% | +100.00% | $100.00 |
| -1% to -0.5% | 201 | 95W / 106L | 47.3% | -0.81% | -6.98% | $-1,403.00 |
| -0.5% to -0.4% | 71 | 39W / 32L | 54.9% | -0.46% | -3.14% | $-223.00 |
| -0.4% to -0.3% | 15 | 7W / 8L | 46.7% | -0.36% | -7.33% | $-110.00 |
| -0.3% to -0.2% | 34 | 19W / 15L | 55.9% | -0.23% | +5.59% | $190.00 |
| -0.2% to -0.1% | 6 | 6W / 0L | 100.0% | -0.18% | +180.83% | $1,085.00 |
| -0.1% to 0% | 1 | 0W / 1L | 0.0% | -0.07% | -100.00% | $-100.00 |
| 0% to +0.1% | 20 | 7W / 13L | 35.0% | +0.00% | -37.00% | $-740.00 |
| +0.1% to +0.2% | 10 | 5W / 5L | 50.0% | +0.15% | -0.50% | $-5.00 |
| +0.2% to +0.3% | 78 | 43W / 35L | 55.1% | +0.23% | +7.18% | $560.00 |
| +0.3% to +0.4% | 9 | 3W / 6L | 33.3% | +0.36% | -70.56% | $-635.00 |
| +0.4% to +0.5% | 24 | 16W / 8L | 66.7% | +0.45% | +27.29% | $655.00 |
| +0.5% to +1% | 110 | 55W / 55L | 50.0% | +0.72% | -4.45% | $-490.00 |
Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier
Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)
| Limit Tier | Avg Limit | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $500 | $245 | 13 | 6W / 7L | 46.2% | $-300.00 |
| $500 - $1k | $579 | 94 | 51W / 43L | 54.3% | $845.00 |
| $1k - $2.5k | $1,389 | 150 | 69W / 81L | 46.0% | $-2,155.00 |
| $2.5k - $5k | $3,169 | 32 | 18W / 14L | 56.3% | $-155.00 |
| $5k - $10k | $6,317 | 12 | 9W / 3L | 75.0% | $440.00 |
| $10k+ | $10,500 | 1 | 1W / 0L | 100.0% | $100.00 |
Performance vs Opposing Books
How Circa Sports performs against each opposing sportsbook
| Opposing Book | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 266 | 140W / 126L | 52.6% | $940.00 |
| Kalshi | 24 | 16W / 8L | 66.7% | $905.00 |
| BookMaker | 52 | 22W / 30L | 42.3% | $155.00 |
| LowVig | 10 | 4W / 6L | 40.0% | $-105.00 |
| DraftKings | 3 | 1W / 2L | 33.3% | $-120.00 |
| bet105, Pinnacle | 28 | 13W / 15L | 46.4% | $-540.00 |
| FanDuel | 47 | 25W / 22L | 53.2% | $-751.00 |
| bet105 | 38 | 16W / 22L | 42.1% | $-780.00 |
| Polymarket | 110 | 58W / 52L | 52.7% | $-810.00 |
Recent Results
Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports
| Date | Event | Vs | Selection | Odds | Score | Time Before | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/13/26 |
North Carolina A&T vs Ham...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Total Points
|
bet105 | Over 64 | -110 | 56 (26-30) | 3h 1m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
Massachusetts vs Akron
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
BookMaker | Under 163 | -110 | 191 (92-99) | 3h 45m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
Saint Louis vs Loyola Chi...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
BookMaker | Under 157 | -110 | 145 (86-59) | 17h | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 148.5 | -110 | 163 (71-92) | 5h 19m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Little Rock vs Western Il...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
|
bet105 | Little Rock -6 | -105 | 77-58 | 4h 36m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
LowVig | Southern Utah | +215 | 66-83 | 4h 37m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 145.5 | -110 | 149 (83-66) | 7h 13m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
BookMaker | Over 144 | -110 | 149 (83-66) | 6h 56m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Southeast Missouri State...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 138.5 | -110 | 130 (56-74) | 1h 43m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Portland State vs Norther...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
|
Polymarket | Portland State -7.5 | -110 | 77-68 | 10h 46m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Kansas City vs Oral Rober...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Total Points
|
bet105 | Over 69.5 | -110 | 57 (29-28) | 1h 13m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Kansas City vs Oral Rober...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 146.5 | -110 | 129 (60-69) | 9h 58m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Portland State vs Norther...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
|
Pinnacle | Portland State -7.5 | -110 | 77-68 | 10h 48m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Vermont vs Binghamton
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
|
Polymarket | Vermont -11.5 | -110 | 73-65 | 8h 5m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
NJIT vs New Hampshire
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Over 141.5 | -110 | 146 (76-70) | 8h 17m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Bryant vs UMass Lowell
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
|
Polymarket | Bryant +5.5 | -110 | 69-88 | 4h 5m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
NJIT vs New Hampshire
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
|
Polymarket | NJIT +2.5 | -110 | 76-70 | 6h 52m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Marshall | -145 | 81-79 | 3h 24m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 154.5 | -110 | 160 (81-79) | 1h 44m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
South Florida vs Wichita...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Under 161 | -110 | 124 (66-58) | 10h 47m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
|
bet105 | Marshall -1.5 | -110 | 81-79 | 20h 21m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Bellarmine vs Central Ark...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
bet105 | Under 152 | -110 | 160 (76-84) | 8h 38m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Iowa vs Maryland
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 141.5 | -110 | 147 (70-77) | 8h 6m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Washington State vs Gonza...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Over 155 | -110 | 136 (53-83) | 13h 33m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Washington State vs Gonza...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
bet105 | Under 157 | -110 | 136 (53-83) | 8h 33m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Houston vs Utah
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
|
Pinnacle | Utah +18 | -110 | 52-66 | 5h 36m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Houston vs Utah
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
|
bet105 | Houston -17 | -110 | 66-52 | 11h 42m | LOSS | $-110.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Fresno State vs Utah Stat...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
bet105 | Over 150 | -110 | 169 (78-91) | 11h 11m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Eastern Illinois vs Weste...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 131.5 | -110 | 149 (70-79) | 2h 28m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Wisconsin vs Illinois
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Under 155.5 | -110 | 182 (92-90) | 7h 48m | LOSS | $-110.00 |