LowVig Analytics
Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NBA / Moneyline )
Total Bets
95
Win Rate
34.7%
33W / 62L
Total P&L
$-972.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-10.23
ROI
-10.2%
Best Matchups
vs Circa Sports
$361.00
8 bets (62.5%)
vs FanDuel
$269.00
5 bets (40.0%)
vs Pinnacle
$254.00
4 bets (75.0%)
vs Polymarket
$-1,646.00
74 bets (29.7%)
Activity Heatmap
Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Profit Heatmap
P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Loss
Profit
Performance by Sport
Click to filter by sport (showing Moneyline markets)
Performance by Market
Click to filter by market (showing Basketball • NBA only)
Total Points
178 bets (56.2%)
$1,739.00
100W / 78L
1st Half Moneyline
9 bets (55.6%)
$585.00
5W / 4L
1St Half Total Points
42 bets (57.1%)
$526.00
24W / 18L
1st Half Team Total
4 bets (100.0%)
$400.00
4W / 0L
1St Half Point Spread
12 bets (58.3%)
$175.00
7W / 5L
1st Quarter Total Points
3 bets (0.0%)
$-325.00
0W / 3L
Team Total
13 bets (38.5%)
$-365.00
5W / 8L
Moneyline
85 bets (32.9%)
$-1,447.00
28W / 57L
Point Spread
206 bets (43.2%)
$-3,210.00
89W / 117L
Time-to-Game Performance
How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start
< 1 hour
$155
4 bets
50.0% win
1-3 hours
$-100
5 bets
40.0% win
3-6 hours
$766
8 bets
87.5% win
6-12 hours
$-516
36 bets
27.8% win
12-24 hours
$-1,277
42 bets
28.6% win
Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)
Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start
0-15 min
$-210
2 bets
0.0% win
15-30 min
$186
1 bets
100.0% win
30-60 min
$179
1 bets
100.0% win
1-2 hours
$200
2 bets
100.0% win
2-4 hours
$-64
7 bets
42.9% win
4-8 hours
$452
10 bets
60.0% win
8-24 hours
$-1,715
72 bets
27.8% win
Edge/Hold Performance
Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)
| Edge Bucket | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | Avg Edge | ROI | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1% to -0.5% | 32 | 14W / 18L | 43.8% | -0.77% | +15.16% | $485.00 |
| -0.5% to -0.4% | 6 | 2W / 4L | 33.3% | -0.46% | +6.00% | $36.00 |
| -0.4% to -0.3% | 7 | 2W / 5L | 28.6% | -0.37% | -30.00% | $-210.00 |
| -0.3% to -0.2% | 3 | 0W / 3L | 0.0% | -0.24% | -106.00% | $-318.00 |
| -0.2% to -0.1% | 1 | 1W / 0L | 100.0% | -0.18% | +100.00% | $100.00 |
| -0.1% to 0% | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | -0.08% | +0.00% | $0.00 |
| 0% to +0.1% | 6 | 2W / 4L | 33.3% | +0.00% | -20.50% | $-123.00 |
| +0.1% to +0.2% | 21 | 8W / 13L | 38.1% | +0.14% | -0.90% | $-19.00 |
| +0.2% to +0.3% | 5 | 1W / 4L | 20.0% | +0.26% | -31.00% | $-155.00 |
| +0.3% to +0.4% | 3 | 0W / 3L | 0.0% | +0.34% | -100.00% | $-300.00 |
| +0.4% to +0.5% | 6 | 0W / 6L | 0.0% | +0.45% | -101.67% | $-610.00 |
| +0.5% to +1% | 3 | 2W / 1L | 66.7% | +0.67% | +47.33% | $142.00 |
Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier
Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)
| Limit Tier | Avg Limit | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $500 | $270 | 7 | 5W / 2L | 71.4% | $448.00 |
| $500 - $1k | $798 | 3 | 0W / 3L | 0.0% | $-318.00 |
| $1k - $2.5k | $1,600 | 6 | 2W / 4L | 33.3% | $2.00 |
| $2.5k - $5k | $3,571 | 7 | 1W / 6L | 14.3% | $-414.00 |
| $5k - $10k | $6,956 | 9 | 4W / 5L | 44.4% | $-11.00 |
| $10k+ | $36,995 | 20 | 6W / 14L | 30.0% | $-229.00 |
Performance vs Opposing Books
How LowVig performs against each opposing sportsbook
| Opposing Book | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Circa Sports | 8 | 5W / 3L | 62.5% | $361.00 |
| FanDuel | 5 | 2W / 3L | 40.0% | $269.00 |
| Pinnacle | 4 | 3W / 1L | 75.0% | $254.00 |
| BookMaker | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $0.00 |
| Polymarket | 74 | 22W / 52L | 29.7% | $-1,646.00 |
Recent Results
Latest 30 graded bets for LowVig
| Date | Event | Vs | Selection | Odds | Score | Time Before | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/26 |
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Utah Jazz | +248 | 119-135 | 19h 53m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Detroit Pistons vs Charlo...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Charlotte Hornets | +141 | 104-110 | 15h 38m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/08/26 |
Miami Heat vs Washington...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Washington Wizards | +381 | 101-132 | 7h 32m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magi...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Utah Jazz | +186 | 65-54 | 15m | WIN | +$186.00 |
| 02/06/26 |
New York Knicks vs Detroi...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Detroit Pistons | -162 | 118-80 | 3h 4m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/04/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | San Antonio Spurs | +112 | 116-106 | 14h 18m | WIN | +$112.00 |
| 02/03/26 |
Boston Celtics vs Dallas...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Dallas Mavericks | +218 | 100-110 | 9h 17m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/02/26 |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Los Angeles Clippers | -126 | 113-128 | 8h 40m | LOSS | $-126.00 |
| 02/01/26 |
Orlando Magic vs San Anto...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | San Antonio Spurs | -149 | 112-103 | 1h 15m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/30/26 |
Brooklyn Nets vs Utah Jaz...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Brooklyn Nets | +130 | 54-52 | 5h 37m | WIN | +$130.00 |
| 01/29/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Minnesota Timberwolv... | +195 | 123-111 | 6h 27m | WIN | +$195.00 |
| 01/29/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Minnesota Timberwolv... | +179 | 123-111 | 54m | WIN | +$179.00 |
| 01/28/26 |
Golden State Warriors vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Utah Jazz | +321 | 124-140 | 16h 57m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/28/26 |
Minnesota Timberwolves vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Dallas Mavericks | +229 | 105-118 | 14h 36m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/27/26 |
Los Angeles Clippers vs U...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Utah Jazz | +274 | 103-115 | 9h 5m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/24/26 |
Los Angeles Lakers vs Dal...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Dallas Mavericks | +146 | 110-116 | 11h 11m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/24/26 |
Los Angeles Lakers vs Dal...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Dallas Mavericks | +150 | 110-116 | 17h 7m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/24/26 |
Boston Celtics vs Chicago...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Boston Celtics | -103 | 111-114 | 18h 36m | LOSS | $-103.00 |
| 01/23/26 |
Toronto Raptors vs Portla...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Toronto Raptors | -155 | 110-98 | 17h 55m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/21/26 |
Toronto Raptors vs Sacram...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Sacramento Kings | +171 | 109-122 | 14h 48m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/21/26 |
Toronto Raptors vs Sacram...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Sacramento Kings | +179 | 109-122 | 2h 36m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/21/26 |
Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Memphis Grizzlies | -131 | 122-124 | 15h 21m | LOSS | $-131.00 |
| 01/21/26 |
Detroit Pistons vs New Or...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | New Orleans Pelicans | +346 | 104-112 | 16h 51m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/21/26 |
Detroit Pistons vs New Or...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | New Orleans Pelicans | +390 | 104-112 | 7h 18m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/21/26 |
Detroit Pistons vs New Or...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | New Orleans Pelicans | +336 | 104-112 | 10h 54m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/21/26 |
Detroit Pistons vs New Or...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | New Orleans Pelicans | +340 | 104-112 | 18h 25m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/21/26 |
Indiana Pacers vs Boston...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Indiana Pacers | +408 | 104-119 | 16h 55m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/19/26 |
Los Angeles Clippers vs W...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Los Angeles Clippers | -258 | 110-106 | 12h 6m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/19/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Cleveland Cavaliers | +195 | 104-136 | 2h 30m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/18/26 |
Charlotte Hornets vs Denv...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Denver Nuggets | -118 | 87-110 | 15h 8m | LOSS | $-118.00 |