LowVig Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NCAAB / Total Points )

Total Bets
207
Win Rate
55.1%
114W / 93L
Total P&L
$1,566.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$7.57
ROI
7.6%

Best Matchups

vs Kalshi
$535.00
20 bets (65.0%)
vs bet105
$476.00
13 bets (69.2%)
vs Polymarket
$465.00
54 bets (55.6%)
vs Pinnacle
$445.00
99 bets (53.5%)
vs bet105, Pinnacle
$81.00
7 bets (57.1%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-87
30 bets
50.0% win
1-3 hours
$12
35 bets
51.4% win
3-6 hours
$-509
34 bets
44.1% win
6-12 hours
$-239
47 bets
48.9% win
12-24 hours
$2,106
50 bets
72.0% win
> 24 hours
$283
11 bets
63.6% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$273
13 bets
61.5% win
15-30 min
$-24
6 bets
50.0% win
30-60 min
$-336
11 bets
36.4% win
1-2 hours
$-62
20 bets
50.0% win
2-4 hours
$150
22 bets
54.5% win
4-8 hours
$-346
50 bets
48.0% win
8-24 hours
$1,628
74 bets
62.2% win
24+ hours
$283
11 bets
63.6% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 69 41W / 28L 59.4% -0.86% +16.12% $1,112.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 21 10W / 11L 47.6% -0.48% -7.52% $-158.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 13 9W / 4L 69.2% -0.24% +36.92% $480.00
0% to +0.1% 13 5W / 8L 38.5% +0.00% -27.62% $-359.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 67 39W / 28L 58.2% +0.24% +14.78% $990.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 14 8W / 6L 57.1% +0.47% +11.64% $163.00
+0.5% to +1% 10 2W / 8L 20.0% +0.68% -66.20% $-662.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $230 46 26W / 20L 56.5% $478.00
$500 - $1k $690 23 11W / 12L 47.8% $-163.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,494 18 11W / 7L 61.1% $342.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,129 7 3W / 4L 42.9% $-119.00
$5k - $10k $9,400 1 0W / 1L 0.0% $-108.00
$10k+ $11,800 1 1W / 0L 100.0% $100.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How LowVig performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Kalshi 20 13W / 7L 65.0% $535.00
bet105 13 9W / 4L 69.2% $476.00
Polymarket 54 30W / 24L 55.6% $465.00
Pinnacle 99 53W / 46L 53.5% $445.00
bet105, Pinnacle 7 4W / 3L 57.1% $81.00
FanDuel 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-2.00
BookMaker 11 4W / 7L 36.4% $-326.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for LowVig

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/13/26
Saint Louis vs Loyola Chi...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Total Points
bet105 Under 74 -103 68 (39-29) 8h 7m WIN +$100.00
02/13/26
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
DraftKings Under 147.5 -108 163 (71-92) 20h 30m LOSS $-108.00
02/07/26
Baylor vs Iowa State
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Under 151.5 -103 141 (69-72) 4h 4m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Drexel vs Elon
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
bet105 Over 138 -108 159 (82-77) 13h 59m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Eastern Illinois vs Tenne...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Under 146 -103 169 (72-97) 5h 20m LOSS $-103.00
02/04/26
Iowa vs Washington
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Kalshi Under 142.5 -108 158 (84-74) 7h 42m LOSS $-108.00
02/04/26
Loyola Marymount vs San F...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Total Points
bet105 Over 68 -103 69 (37-32) 3h 58m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
Seton Hall vs Villanova
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
bet105 Under 135 -108 132 (60-72) 17h 32m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
South Alabama vs Appalach...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 129.5 -108 122 (57-65) 20h 33m LOSS $-108.00
02/03/26
Wyoming vs San Diego Stat...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 141.5 -103 135 (63-72) 24h 11m LOSS $-103.00
02/03/26
Indiana vs USC
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Pinnacle Under 153.5 -108 156 (75-81) 3h 49m LOSS $-108.00
02/03/26
Drake vs Belmont
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Pinnacle Under 155 -108 193 (90-103) 10h 38m LOSS $-108.00
02/03/26
Pittsburgh vs Virginia
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
bet105, Pinnacle Under 141.5 -108 114 (47-67) 21h 55m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
La Salle vs Loyola Chicag...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Over 138.5 -108 132 (61-71) 3h 20m LOSS $-108.00
02/02/26
Howard vs Coppin State
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Under 147.5 -103 125 (72-53) 6h 56m WIN +$100.00
02/01/26
Minnesota vs Penn State
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
bet105 Over 142 -108 152 (75-77) 16h 51m WIN +$100.00
02/01/26
Marist vs Niagara
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Kalshi Under 131.5 -103 104 (58-46) 15h 34m WIN +$100.00
02/01/26
TCU vs Colorado
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Under 153.5 -108 148 (61-87) 7h 12m WIN +$100.00
02/01/26
Kansas City vs St. Thomas...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Over 150.5 -103 152 (75-77) 14m WIN +$100.00
02/01/26
Wichita State vs Tulsa
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Over 152.5 -114 176 (83-93) 12m WIN +$100.00
01/31/26
SIU Edwardsville vs South...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
BookMaker Over 129.5 -108 104 (58-46) 26h 4m LOSS $-108.00
01/31/26
Auburn vs Tennessee
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
BookMaker Under 150.5 -108 146 (69-77) 25h 42m WIN +$100.00
01/31/26
Northern Illinois vs Miam...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Pinnacle Under 158.5 -108 146 (61-85) 4m WIN +$100.00
01/31/26
High Point vs Longwood
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
bet105 Under 157 -108 130 (71-59) 6h 25m WIN +$100.00
01/31/26
Charleston vs Northeaster...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Over 160.5 -108 173 (89-84) 6h 16m WIN +$100.00
01/31/26
Cincinnati vs Houston
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Kalshi Over 134.5 -108 130 (54-76) 11h 38m LOSS $-108.00
01/31/26
Ball State vs Toledo
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Kalshi Over 146.5 -108 128 (55-73) 10h 26m LOSS $-108.00
01/31/26
Cincinnati vs Houston
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Total Points
bet105 Under 63.5 -105 52 (20-32) 57m WIN +$100.00
01/31/26
Pittsburgh vs Clemson
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Over 135.5 -108 115 (52-63) 3h 39m LOSS $-108.00
01/29/26
Hawaii vs UC Irvine
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
FanDuel Under 142.5 -113 163 (76-87) 14h 57m LOSS $-113.00