LowVig Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Moneyline )

Clear Filters Back to Analytics
Total Bets
301
Win Rate
47.8%
144W / 157L
Total P&L
$-2,282.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-7.58
ROI
-7.6%

Best Matchups

vs Circa Sports
$1,195.00
29 bets (69.0%)
vs BookMaker
$359.00
27 bets (51.9%)
vs Circa Sports, Polymarket
$309.00
3 bets (100.0%)
vs Pinnacle
$295.00
15 bets (46.7%)
vs FanDuel
$-1,173.00
59 bets (57.6%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Performance by Sport

Click to filter by sport (showing Moneyline markets)

Basketball • NCAAB
70 bets (65.7%)
$535.00
46W / 24L
Football • NFL
40 bets (60.0%)
$314.00
24W / 16L
Football • NCAAF
10 bets (20.0%)
$-883.00
2W / 8L
Basketball • NBA
95 bets (34.7%)
$-972.00
33W / 62L
Hockey • NHL
86 bets (45.3%)
$-1,276.00
39W / 47L

Performance by Market

Click to filter by market

Total Points
384 bets (54.9%)
$2,666.00
211W / 173L
1st Half Moneyline
31 bets (71.0%)
$2,565.00
22W / 9L
1st Half Total Points
108 bets (56.5%)
$1,187.00
61W / 47L
1st Half Team Total
29 bets (65.5%)
$903.00
19W / 10L
1st Half Point Spread
68 bets (51.5%)
$154.00
35W / 33L
Team Total
132 bets (50.0%)
$-283.00
66W / 66L
1st Quarter Total Points
3 bets (0.0%)
$-325.00
0W / 3L
1st Period Total Goals
5 bets (0.0%)
$-505.00
0W / 5L
Total Goals
57 bets (36.8%)
$-1,655.00
21W / 36L
Point Spread
563 bets (48.3%)
$-3,069.00
272W / 291L
Moneyline
269 bets (45.4%)
$-4,737.00
122W / 147L

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-218
11 bets
36.4% win
1-3 hours
$273
19 bets
57.9% win
3-6 hours
$-305
23 bets
56.5% win
6-12 hours
$796
74 bets
50.0% win
12-24 hours
$-1,185
110 bets
46.4% win
> 24 hours
$-1,643
64 bets
43.8% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$-583
5 bets
0.0% win
15-30 min
$286
2 bets
100.0% win
30-60 min
$79
4 bets
50.0% win
1-2 hours
$500
9 bets
77.8% win
2-4 hours
$-147
17 bets
47.1% win
4-8 hours
$-343
37 bets
54.1% win
8-24 hours
$-431
163 bets
47.2% win
24+ hours
$-1,643
64 bets
43.8% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 125 60W / 65L 48.0% -0.76% -5.30% $-662.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 29 13W / 16L 44.8% -0.45% -17.41% $-505.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 19 7W / 12L 36.8% -0.36% -40.79% $-775.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 19 10W / 9L 52.6% -0.25% +0.11% $2.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 5 3W / 2L 60.0% -0.17% -39.60% $-198.00
-0.1% to 0% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% -0.08% +0.00% $0.00
0% to +0.1% 17 10W / 7L 58.8% +0.00% +6.47% $110.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 29 11W / 18L 37.9% +0.14% -7.62% $-221.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 15 6W / 9L 40.0% +0.24% -13.80% $-207.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 15 8W / 7L 53.3% +0.35% -15.20% $-228.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 10 3W / 7L 30.0% +0.46% -45.50% $-455.00
+0.5% to +1% 16 12W / 4L 75.0% +0.67% +53.56% $857.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $223 35 22W / 13L 62.9% $684.00
$500 - $1k $735 8 2W / 6L 25.0% $-448.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,606 16 6W / 10L 37.5% $-296.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,613 16 3W / 13L 18.8% $-1,138.00
$5k - $10k $7,033 21 11W / 10L 52.4% $145.00
$10k+ $53,632 37 15W / 22L 40.5% $-216.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How LowVig performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Circa Sports 29 20W / 9L 69.0% $1,195.00
BookMaker 27 14W / 13L 51.9% $359.00
Circa Sports, Polymarket 3 3W / 0L 100.0% $309.00
Pinnacle 15 7W / 8L 46.7% $295.00
Kalshi 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $0.00
FanDuel 59 34W / 25L 57.6% $-1,173.00
Polymarket 163 64W / 99L 39.3% $-3,189.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for LowVig

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/12/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Utah Jazz +248 119-135 19h 53m LOSS $-100.00
02/12/26
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Circa Sports California Baptist -210 83-66 4h 37m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Central Connecticut vs Ne...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Circa Sports New Haven +149 70-76 1h 3m LOSS $-100.00
02/09/26
Arizona vs Kansas
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Polymarket Kansas +140 82-78 16h 15m WIN +$140.00
02/09/26
Arizona vs Kansas
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Fanatics Kansas +132 82-78 30h 11m WIN +$132.00
02/09/26
Belmont vs Bradley
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Polymarket Belmont -135 84-95 12h 35m LOSS $-135.00
02/09/26
Detroit Pistons vs Charlo...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Charlotte Hornets +141 104-110 15h 38m LOSS $-100.00
02/08/26
Miami Heat vs Washington...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Washington Wizards +381 101-132 7h 32m LOSS $-100.00
02/07/26
Washington vs UCLA
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Polymarket UCLA -210 77-73 1h 17m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magi...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
 Circa Sports Utah Jazz +186 65-54 15m WIN +$186.00
02/07/26
Cornell vs Columbia
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Polymarket Cornell +125 88-67 6h 9m WIN +$125.00
02/06/26
New York Knicks vs Detroi...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Detroit Pistons -162 118-80 3h 4m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Florida Panthers vs Tampa...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
 Polymarket Florida Panthers +179 1-6 17h 53m LOSS $-100.00
02/04/26
Utah State vs New Mexico
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Polymarket New Mexico -115 66-86 2h 35m LOSS $-115.00
02/04/26
Santa Clara vs Pacific
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Polymarket Santa Clara -250 71-56 11h 45m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
Clemson vs Stanford
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Polymarket Clemson -165 66-64 14h 21m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
Edmonton Oilers vs Calgar...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
 Polymarket Calgary Flames +115 4-3 18h 41m WIN +$115.00
02/04/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket San Antonio Spurs +112 116-106 14h 18m WIN +$112.00
02/04/26
San Jose Sharks vs Colora...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
 Polymarket Colorado Avalanche -265 4-2 1h 22m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
Wofford vs VMI
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Polymarket Wofford -500 81-67 8h 56m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Indiana vs USC
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 Polymarket USC +101 81-75 13h 21m WIN +$101.00
02/03/26
Boston Celtics vs Dallas...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Dallas Mavericks +218 100-110 9h 17m LOSS $-100.00
02/03/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Ne...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
 Circa Sports Pittsburgh Penguins +109 4-5 19h 21m LOSS $-100.00
02/03/26
Columbus Blue Jackets vs...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
 Polymarket New Jersey Devils -112 0-3 20h 53m LOSS $-112.00
02/03/26
Washington Capitals vs Ph...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
 Polymarket Philadelphia Flyers -125 4-2 11h 58m WIN +$100.00
02/02/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ca...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
 Polymarket Calgary Flames +110 2-4 22h 24m LOSS $-100.00
02/02/26
Philadelphia 76ers vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket Los Angeles Clippers -126 113-128 8h 40m LOSS $-126.00
02/01/26
Orlando Magic vs San Anto...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
 Polymarket San Antonio Spurs -149 112-103 1h 15m WIN +$100.00
01/31/26
Delaware vs UTEP
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
 FanDuel UTEP -190 70-55 13h 31m WIN +$100.00
01/31/26
Nashville Predators vs Ne...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
 Polymarket New York Islanders -123 3-4 23h 33m LOSS $-123.00