LowVig Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Point Spread )

Clear Filters Back to Analytics
Total Bets
632
Win Rate
48.6%
307W / 325L
Total P&L
$-3,015.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-4.77
ROI
-4.8%

Best Matchups

vs Circa Sports
$460.00
16 bets (62.5%)
vs bet105
$360.00
32 bets (56.3%)
vs Kalshi
$294.00
7 bets (71.4%)
vs BookMaker, Pinnacle
$105.00
3 bets (66.7%)
vs Pinnacle, Polymarket
$-213.00
4 bets (25.0%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Performance by Sport

Click to filter by sport (showing Point Spread markets)

Basketball • NCAAB
278 bets (52.2%)
$802.00
145W / 133L
Football • NFL
81 bets (50.6%)
$131.00
41W / 40L
Football • NCAAF
54 bets (46.3%)
$-813.00
25W / 29L
Basketball • NBA
219 bets (43.8%)
$-3,135.00
96W / 123L

Performance by Market

Click to filter by market

Total Points
384 bets (54.9%)
$2,666.00
211W / 173L
1st Half Moneyline
31 bets (71.0%)
$2,565.00
22W / 9L
1st Half Total Points
108 bets (56.5%)
$1,187.00
61W / 47L
1st Half Team Total
29 bets (65.5%)
$903.00
19W / 10L
1st Half Point Spread
68 bets (51.5%)
$154.00
35W / 33L
Team Total
132 bets (50.0%)
$-283.00
66W / 66L
1st Quarter Total Points
3 bets (0.0%)
$-325.00
0W / 3L
1st Period Total Goals
5 bets (0.0%)
$-505.00
0W / 5L
Total Goals
57 bets (36.8%)
$-1,655.00
21W / 36L
Point Spread
563 bets (48.3%)
$-3,069.00
272W / 291L
Moneyline
269 bets (45.4%)
$-4,737.00
122W / 147L

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-1
39 bets
51.3% win
1-3 hours
$-769
51 bets
43.1% win
3-6 hours
$519
70 bets
55.7% win
6-12 hours
$-2,324
163 bets
44.2% win
12-24 hours
$-491
206 bets
49.5% win
> 24 hours
$51
103 bets
50.5% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$90
19 bets
52.6% win
15-30 min
$300
5 bets
80.0% win
30-60 min
$-391
15 bets
40.0% win
1-2 hours
$173
26 bets
53.8% win
2-4 hours
$-77
52 bets
50.0% win
4-8 hours
$-811
103 bets
48.5% win
8-24 hours
$-2,350
309 bets
46.9% win
24+ hours
$51
103 bets
50.5% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 225 109W / 116L 48.4% -0.87% -4.90% $-1,103.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 127 65W / 62L 51.2% -0.48% -0.61% $-77.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% -0.36% -77.50% $-155.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 80 38W / 42L 47.5% -0.24% -5.68% $-454.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -0.20% +125.00% $125.00
0% to +0.1% 29 9W / 20L 31.0% +0.00% -40.17% $-1,165.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 90 40W / 50L 44.4% +0.24% -11.89% $-1,070.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 55 28W / 27L 50.9% +0.47% -0.60% $-33.00
+0.5% to +1% 23 16W / 7L 69.6% +0.71% +39.87% $917.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $226 57 33W / 24L 57.9% $815.00
$500 - $1k $602 43 18W / 25L 41.9% $-816.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,471 62 38W / 24L 61.3% $1,344.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,483 40 16W / 24L 40.0% $-855.00
$5k - $10k $6,173 11 4W / 7L 36.4% $-329.00
$10k+ $36,594 16 8W / 8L 50.0% $-22.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How LowVig performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Circa Sports 16 10W / 6L 62.5% $460.00
bet105 32 18W / 14L 56.3% $360.00
Kalshi 7 5W / 2L 71.4% $294.00
BookMaker, Pinnacle 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $105.00
bet105, Polymarket 2 0W / 2L 0.0% $-202.00
bet105, Pinnacle, Polymarket 2 0W / 2L 0.0% $-206.00
Pinnacle, Polymarket 4 1W / 3L 25.0% $-213.00
bet105, Pinnacle 36 16W / 20L 44.4% $-471.00
BookMaker 48 21W / 27L 43.8% $-637.00
Polymarket 175 85W / 90L 48.6% $-792.00
Pinnacle 256 126W / 130L 49.2% $-851.00
FanDuel 47 21W / 26L 44.7% $-862.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for LowVig

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/13/26
Massachusetts vs Akron
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 Polymarket Akron -13.5 +101 99-92 18h 26m LOSS $-100.00
02/13/26
Ohio vs Miami Ohio
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 Polymarket Miami Ohio -10.5 -101 90-74 14h 26m WIN +$100.00
02/13/26
Saint Louis vs Loyola Chi...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 Polymarket Saint Louis -18.5 -106 86-59 19h 18m WIN +$100.00
02/13/26
Saint Louis vs Loyola Chi...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 Polymarket Loyola Chicago +18.5 -101 59-86 5h 7m LOSS $-101.00
02/13/26
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 BookMaker Wisconsin +2 -106 92-71 25h 40m WIN +$100.00
02/13/26
Manhattan vs Niagara
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 Polymarket Manhattan -1.5 -111 76-69 13m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 bet105 Los Angeles Lakers -... -106 124-104 13h 27m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Portland State vs Norther...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 Polymarket Portland State -7.5 -106 77-68 11h 19m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Middle Tennessee vs Kenne...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 BookMaker Kennesaw State -3 -101 87-90 24h 53m LOSS $-101.00
02/11/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Polymarket Minnesota Timberwolv... +101 133-109 2m WIN +$101.00
02/11/26
Chicago Bulls vs Boston C...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Polymarket Chicago Bulls +14.5 -106 105-124 18h 8m LOSS $-106.00
02/10/26
Iowa State vs TCU
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 FanDuel TCU +7 +106 62-55 16h 34m WIN +$106.00
02/09/26
Memphis Grizzlies vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Polymarket Golden State Warrior... -111 114-113 25h 47m LOSS $-111.00
02/09/26
Arizona vs Kansas
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 bet105 Kansas +2.5 +109 82-78 17h 7m WIN +$109.00
02/09/26
Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Polymarket Chicago Bulls -3.5 -106 115-123 21h 44m LOSS $-106.00
02/09/26
Detroit Pistons vs Charlo...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 bet105 Detroit Pistons -3 +104 110-104 18h 15m WIN +$104.00
02/09/26
Navy vs Bucknell
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 Polymarket Navy -6.5 -106 76-60 3h 6m WIN +$100.00
02/08/26
Wichita State vs Tulane
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 Polymarket Tulane +3.5 +104 61-75 11h 16m LOSS $-100.00
02/08/26
Indiana Pacers vs Toronto...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Polymarket Toronto Raptors -8.5 -106 122-104 13h 2m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Golden State Warriors vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Pinnacle Los Angeles Lakers -... -101 105-99 23h 9m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Denver Nuggets vs Chicago...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Pinnacle Chicago Bulls +6 -106 120-136 22h 25m LOSS $-106.00
02/07/26
Illinois vs Michigan Stat...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 Pinnacle Michigan State +1 -101 85-82 13h 37m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Clemson vs California
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Point Spread
 Pinnacle California +2.5 -108 20-39 2m LOSS $-108.00
02/07/26
Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magi...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Pinnacle Orlando Magic -8 -101 120-117 16h 3m LOSS $-101.00
02/07/26
Houston Rockets vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Polymarket Oklahoma City Thunde... -106 106-112 8h 7m LOSS $-106.00
02/07/26
Niagara vs Quinnipiac
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 bet105 Quinnipiac -13 -101 56-55 17h 23m LOSS $-101.00
02/07/26
Lafayette vs Army
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 BookMaker Lafayette -1.5 -101 63-60 11h 32m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Temple vs East Carolina
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 bet105, Pinnacle Temple -2 -111 81-73 12h 6m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Nebraska vs Rutgers
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 Kalshi Nebraska -12.5 -106 80-68 8h 12m LOSS $-106.00
02/07/26
Arkansas vs Mississippi S...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
 Polymarket Arkansas -5.5 -101 88-68 10h 2m WIN +$100.00