LowVig Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NBA )

Total Bets
554
Win Rate
47.3%
262W / 292L
Total P&L
$-2,132.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-3.85
ROI
-3.8%

Best Matchups

vs Polymarket
$495.00
241 bets (49.0%)
vs Circa Sports
$361.00
8 bets (62.5%)
vs FanDuel
$134.00
55 bets (49.1%)
vs BookMaker
$106.00
3 bets (66.7%)
vs bet105
$-142.00
23 bets (47.8%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$304
28 bets
53.6% win
1-3 hours
$-44
38 bets
50.0% win
3-6 hours
$889
69 bets
56.5% win
6-12 hours
$-2,346
151 bets
39.7% win
12-24 hours
$-1,209
257 bets
47.5% win
> 24 hours
$274
11 bets
63.6% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$-544
15 bets
33.3% win
15-30 min
$688
6 bets
100.0% win
30-60 min
$160
7 bets
57.1% win
1-2 hours
$191
12 bets
58.3% win
2-4 hours
$254
45 bets
53.3% win
4-8 hours
$-616
98 bets
46.9% win
8-24 hours
$-2,539
360 bets
45.3% win
24+ hours
$274
11 bets
63.6% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 207 103W / 104L 49.8% -0.83% +1.70% $351.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 86 44W / 42L 51.2% -0.48% +3.15% $271.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 7 2W / 5L 28.6% -0.37% -30.00% $-210.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 47 19W / 28L 40.4% -0.24% -20.68% $-972.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -0.18% +100.00% $100.00
-0.1% to 0% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% -0.08% +0.00% $0.00
0% to +0.1% 19 6W / 13L 31.6% +0.00% -34.37% $-653.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 21 8W / 13L 38.1% +0.14% -0.90% $-19.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 94 50W / 44L 53.2% +0.24% +5.82% $547.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 3 0W / 3L 0.0% +0.34% -100.00% $-300.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 51 18W / 33L 35.3% +0.47% -32.53% $-1,659.00
+0.5% to +1% 16 10W / 6L 62.5% +0.71% +25.75% $412.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $215 45 24W / 21L 53.3% $333.00
$500 - $1k $771 27 15W / 12L 55.6% $220.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,574 58 30W / 28L 51.7% $293.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,440 58 26W / 32L 44.8% $-612.00
$5k - $10k $6,710 29 10W / 19L 34.5% $-882.00
$10k+ $30,155 42 19W / 23L 45.2% $135.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How LowVig performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Polymarket 241 118W / 123L 49.0% $495.00
Circa Sports 8 5W / 3L 62.5% $361.00
FanDuel 55 27W / 28L 49.1% $134.00
BookMaker 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $106.00
bet105 23 11W / 12L 47.8% $-142.00
bet105, Pinnacle, Polymarket 2 0W / 2L 0.0% $-206.00
DraftKings 2 0W / 2L 0.0% $-225.00
Pinnacle, Polymarket 3 0W / 3L 0.0% $-313.00
bet105, Pinnacle 24 10W / 14L 41.7% $-456.00
Pinnacle 191 89W / 102L 46.6% $-1,685.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for LowVig

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/12/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Team Total
DraftKings Los Angeles Lakers U... -115 124 7h 21m LOSS $-115.00
02/12/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Los Angeles Lakers -... -106 124-104 13h 27m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 238.5 -107 254 (135-119) 14h 27m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Utah Jazz +248 119-135 19h 53m LOSS $-100.00
02/12/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Team Total
DraftKings Milwaukee Bucks Unde... -110 110 5h 5m LOSS $-110.00
02/11/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Minnesota Timberwolv... +101 133-109 2m WIN +$101.00
02/11/26
Chicago Bulls vs Boston C...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Chicago Bulls +14.5 -106 105-124 18h 8m LOSS $-106.00
02/10/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Team Total
FanDuel San Antonio Spurs Ov... -115 84-55 11m WIN +$100.00
02/09/26
Memphis Grizzlies vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Golden State Warrior... -111 114-113 25h 47m LOSS $-111.00
02/09/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 218 -107 229 (119-110) 20h 25m WIN +$100.00
02/09/26
Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Chicago Bulls -3.5 -106 115-123 21h 44m LOSS $-106.00
02/09/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Orland...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
bet105 Over 113.5 -108 105 (54-51) Live LOSS $-108.00
02/09/26
Detroit Pistons vs Charlo...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105 Detroit Pistons -3 +104 110-104 18h 15m WIN +$104.00
02/09/26
Detroit Pistons vs Charlo...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Charlotte Hornets +141 104-110 15h 38m LOSS $-100.00
02/08/26
Indiana Pacers vs Toronto...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Toronto Raptors -8.5 -106 122-104 13h 2m WIN +$100.00
02/08/26
Miami Heat vs Washington...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Washington Wizards +381 101-132 7h 32m LOSS $-100.00
02/08/26
New York Knicks vs Boston...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 214.5 -102 200 (111-89) 9h 46m LOSS $-102.00
02/07/26
Golden State Warriors vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Pinnacle Los Angeles Lakers -... -101 105-99 23h 9m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Denver Nuggets vs Chicago...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Pinnacle Chicago Bulls +6 -106 120-136 22h 25m LOSS $-106.00
02/07/26
Denver Nuggets vs Chicago...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
FanDuel Under 113.5 -103 124 (59-65) 10h 24m LOSS $-103.00
02/07/26
Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magi...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
Circa Sports Utah Jazz +186 65-54 15m WIN +$186.00
02/07/26
Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magi...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Under 237.5 -102 237 (117-120) 12h 37m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magi...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Pinnacle Orlando Magic -8 -101 120-117 16h 3m LOSS $-101.00
02/07/26
Houston Rockets vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
Polymarket Oklahoma City Thunde... -106 106-112 8h 7m LOSS $-106.00
02/06/26
Memphis Grizzlies vs Port...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 232.5 -107 250 (115-135) 41m WIN +$100.00
02/06/26
New York Knicks vs Detroi...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
FanDuel Detroit Pistons +2 -106 118-80 20h 52m WIN +$100.00
02/06/26
New York Knicks vs Detroi...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
bet105, Pinnacle New York Knicks -1 -106 80-118 13h 30m LOSS $-106.00
02/06/26
New York Knicks vs Detroi...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Detroit Pistons -162 118-80 3h 4m WIN +$100.00
02/06/26
Miami Heat vs Boston Celt...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Under 230.5 -107 194 (96-98) 12h 45m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Golden State Warriors vs...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Total Points
Pinnacle Over 103 -108 114 (59-55) 3h 34m WIN +$100.00