LowVig Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NCAAB )

Total Bets
555
Win Rate
55%
305W / 250L
Total P&L
$2,903.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$5.23
ROI
5.2%

Best Matchups

vs Pinnacle
$1,123.00
208 bets (53.8%)
vs Polymarket
$944.00
136 bets (55.1%)
vs Kalshi
$929.00
28 bets (67.9%)
vs bet105
$633.00
35 bets (60.0%)
vs Circa Sports
$194.00
12 bets (66.7%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$36
60 bets
51.7% win
1-3 hours
$-679
73 bets
46.6% win
3-6 hours
$-367
92 bets
52.2% win
6-12 hours
$907
160 bets
54.4% win
12-24 hours
$2,615
142 bets
62.7% win
> 24 hours
$391
28 bets
57.1% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$97
28 bets
53.6% win
15-30 min
$174
10 bets
60.0% win
30-60 min
$-235
22 bets
45.5% win
1-2 hours
$-498
42 bets
45.2% win
2-4 hours
$560
63 bets
55.6% win
4-8 hours
$64
122 bets
54.1% win
8-24 hours
$2,350
240 bets
57.5% win
24+ hours
$391
28 bets
57.1% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 173 92W / 81L 53.2% -0.86% +1.92% $333.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 78 42W / 36L 53.8% -0.48% +3.76% $293.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 5 2W / 3L 40.0% -0.35% -82.00% $-410.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 55 31W / 24L 56.4% -0.24% +10.24% $563.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -0.12% +100.00% $100.00
0% to +0.1% 35 16W / 19L 45.7% +0.00% -19.03% $-666.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 2 0W / 2L 0.0% +0.15% -163.00% $-326.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 123 69W / 54L 56.1% +0.24% +10.85% $1,335.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 10 7W / 3L 70.0% +0.35% +9.00% $90.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 40 25W / 15L 62.5% +0.47% +23.13% $925.00
+0.5% to +1% 33 20W / 13L 60.6% +0.72% +20.18% $666.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $228 103 64W / 39L 62.1% $2,157.00
$500 - $1k $622 61 27W / 34L 44.3% $-876.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,422 63 39W / 24L 61.9% $1,378.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,092 12 5W / 7L 41.7% $-232.00
$5k - $10k $7,600 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-8.00
$10k+ $11,800 1 1W / 0L 100.0% $100.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How LowVig performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Pinnacle 208 112W / 96L 53.8% $1,123.00
Polymarket 136 75W / 61L 55.1% $944.00
Kalshi 28 19W / 9L 67.9% $929.00
bet105 35 21W / 14L 60.0% $633.00
Circa Sports 12 8W / 4L 66.7% $194.00
BookMaker 44 22W / 22L 50.0% $-69.00
bet105, Pinnacle 25 12W / 13L 48.0% $-158.00
FanDuel 61 33W / 28L 54.1% $-716.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for LowVig

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/13/26
Ohio vs Miami Ohio
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Miami Ohio -10.5 -101 90-74 14h 26m WIN +$100.00
02/13/26
Massachusetts vs Akron
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Akron -13.5 +101 99-92 18h 26m LOSS $-100.00
02/13/26
Saint Louis vs Loyola Chi...
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Total Points
bet105 Under 74 -103 68 (39-29) 8h 7m WIN +$100.00
02/13/26
Saint Louis vs Loyola Chi...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Loyola Chicago +18.5 -101 59-86 5h 7m LOSS $-101.00
02/13/26
Saint Louis vs Loyola Chi...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Saint Louis -18.5 -106 86-59 19h 18m WIN +$100.00
02/13/26
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
DraftKings Under 147.5 -108 163 (71-92) 20h 30m LOSS $-108.00
02/13/26
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
BookMaker Wisconsin +2 -106 92-71 25h 40m WIN +$100.00
02/13/26
Manhattan vs Niagara
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Manhattan -1.5 -111 76-69 13m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Circa Sports California Baptist -210 83-66 4h 37m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Portland State vs Norther...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Portland State -7.5 -106 77-68 11h 19m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Central Connecticut vs Ne...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Circa Sports New Haven +149 70-76 1h 3m LOSS $-100.00
02/12/26
Middle Tennessee vs Kenne...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
BookMaker Kennesaw State -3 -101 87-90 24h 53m LOSS $-101.00
02/10/26
Iowa State vs TCU
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
FanDuel TCU +7 +106 62-55 16h 34m WIN +$106.00
02/09/26
Arizona vs Kansas
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Kansas +140 82-78 16h 15m WIN +$140.00
02/09/26
Arizona vs Kansas
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Fanatics Kansas +132 82-78 30h 11m WIN +$132.00
02/09/26
Arizona vs Kansas
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
bet105 Kansas +2.5 +109 82-78 17h 7m WIN +$109.00
02/09/26
Belmont vs Bradley
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Belmont -135 84-95 12h 35m LOSS $-135.00
02/09/26
Navy vs Bucknell
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Navy -6.5 -106 76-60 3h 6m WIN +$100.00
02/08/26
Wichita State vs Tulane
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Tulane +3.5 +104 61-75 11h 16m LOSS $-100.00
02/07/26
Washington vs UCLA
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket UCLA -210 77-73 1h 17m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Clemson vs California
Basketball • NCAAB - 1St Half Point Spread
Pinnacle California +2.5 -108 20-39 2m LOSS $-108.00
02/07/26
Illinois vs Michigan Stat...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Pinnacle Michigan State +1 -101 85-82 13h 37m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Baylor vs Iowa State
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
Polymarket Under 151.5 -103 141 (69-72) 4h 4m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Cornell vs Columbia
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Cornell +125 88-67 6h 9m WIN +$125.00
02/07/26
Niagara vs Quinnipiac
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
bet105 Quinnipiac -13 -101 56-55 17h 23m LOSS $-101.00
02/07/26
Lafayette vs Army
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
BookMaker Lafayette -1.5 -101 63-60 11h 32m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Arkansas vs Mississippi S...
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Polymarket Arkansas -5.5 -101 88-68 10h 2m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Temple vs East Carolina
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
bet105, Pinnacle Temple -2 -111 81-73 12h 6m WIN +$100.00
02/07/26
Nebraska vs Rutgers
Basketball • NCAAB - Point Spread
Kalshi Nebraska -12.5 -106 80-68 8h 12m LOSS $-106.00
02/07/26
Drexel vs Elon
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
bet105 Over 138 -108 159 (82-77) 13h 59m WIN +$100.00