Polymarket Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: 1st Half Moneyline )

Total Bets
25
Win Rate
76%
19W / 6L
Total P&L
$1,299.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$51.96
ROI
52.0%

Best Matchups

vs Circa Sports
$808.00
8 bets (100.0%)
vs FanDuel
$374.00
9 bets (66.7%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$70
2 bets
50.0% win
1-3 hours
$-156
5 bets
40.0% win
3-6 hours
$273
5 bets
80.0% win
6-12 hours
$704
7 bets
100.0% win
12-24 hours
$100
3 bets
66.7% win
> 24 hours
$308
3 bets
100.0% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
30-60 min
$170
1 bets
100.0% win
1-2 hours
$0
2 bets
50.0% win
2-4 hours
$144
6 bets
66.7% win
4-8 hours
$-27
2 bets
50.0% win
8-24 hours
$804
10 bets
90.0% win
24+ hours
$308
3 bets
100.0% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 3 1W / 2L 33.3% -0.80% -33.33% $-100.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 5 5W / 0L 100.0% -0.42% +101.60% $508.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -0.40% +100.00% $100.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 3 3W / 0L 100.0% -0.26% +123.33% $370.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 2 2W / 0L 100.0% -0.16% +100.00% $200.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% +0.10% +100.00% $100.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 2 2W / 0L 100.0% +0.26% +100.00% $200.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 4 2W / 2L 50.0% +0.34% +0.00% $0.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% +0.47% -26.00% $-52.00
+0.5% to +1% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% +0.63% -13.50% $-27.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $134 3 0W / 3L 0.0% $-327.00
$500 - $1k $698 3 1W / 2L 33.3% $-86.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,667 3 3W / 0L 100.0% $300.00
$2.5k - $5k $4,500 1 0W / 1L 0.0% $-100.00
$5k - $10k $5,500 1 1W / 0L 100.0% $108.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Circa Sports 8 8W / 0L 100.0% $808.00
FanDuel 9 6W / 3L 66.7% $374.00
BookMaker 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $200.00
Pinnacle 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $200.00
LowVig 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-27.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/11/26
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
FanDuel Sacramento Kings Liq... +203 44-71 13h 31m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Atlanta Hawks vs Charlott...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
BookMaker Charlotte Hornets Li... -138 58-49 1h 8m WIN +$100.00
01/30/26
Brooklyn Nets vs Utah Jaz...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
LowVig Utah Jazz Liq $224 $... -127 52-54 5h 37m LOSS $-127.00
01/28/26
Atlanta Hawks vs Boston C...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
FanDuel Atlanta Hawks Liq $8... +170 60-46 56m WIN +$170.00
01/27/26
Brooklyn Nets vs Phoenix...
Basketball • NBA - 1st Half Moneyline
Pinnacle Phoenix Suns Liq $47... -223 60-51 8h 5m WIN +$100.00
01/27/26
Brooklyn Nets vs Phoenix...
Basketball • NBA - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel Brooklyn Nets Liq $7... +212 51-60 Live LOSS $-100.00
01/26/26
Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta...
Basketball • NBA - 1st Half Moneyline
bet105 Atlanta Hawks Liq $2... -156 60-64 2h 30m LOSS $-156.00
01/21/26
Indiana Pacers vs Boston...
Basketball • NBA - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel Indiana Pacers Liq $... +270 46-66 2h 7m LOSS $-100.00
01/18/26
Houston Texans vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
bet105, Pinnacle Houston Texans Liq $... +138 10-21 1h 38m LOSS $-100.00
01/11/26
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonv...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports Buffalo Bills Liq $2... +108 10-7 31h 12m WIN +$108.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel Los Angeles Rams Liq... -285 17-14 9h 40m WIN +$100.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel Los Angeles Rams Liq... -317 17-14 71h 32m WIN +$100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports Miami Florida Liq $1... -138 17-13 82h 10m WIN +$100.00
01/07/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden...
Basketball • NBA - 1st Half Moneyline
LowVig Golden State Warrior... -163 64-53 3h 57m WIN +$100.00
01/04/26
Miami Dolphins vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - 1St Half Moneyline
Circa Sports New England Patriots -355 17-10 10h 15m WIN +$100.00
01/04/26
New York Jets vs Buffalo...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports Buffalo Bills Liq $2... -317 35-8 4h 52m WIN +$100.00
01/04/26
Los Angeles Chargers vs D...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports Denver Broncos Liq $... -426 19-3 19h 3m WIN +$100.00
01/02/26
Arizona vs SMU
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel SMU Liq $490 $10 +104 24-19 8h 46m WIN +$104.00
01/02/26
Rice vs Texas State
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports Texas State Liq $316... -400 41-10 14h 11m WIN +$100.00
12/29/25
Phoenix Suns vs Washingto...
Basketball • NBA - 1st Half Moneyline
Pinnacle Phoenix Suns Liq $13... -270 61-54 3h WIN +$100.00
12/28/25
Sacramento Kings vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports Los Angeles Lakers L... -317 125-101 2h 18m WIN +$100.00
12/28/25
New England Patriots vs N...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel New England Patriots... -400 35-3 3h 4m WIN +$100.00
12/28/25
New England Patriots vs N...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel New England Patriots... -376 35-3 10h 32m WIN +$100.00
12/28/25
New England Patriots vs N...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
BookMaker New England Patriots... -376 35-3 8h 38m WIN +$100.00
12/28/25
New England Patriots vs N...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports New England Patriots... -376 35-3 10h 32m WIN +$100.00