Polymarket Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Moneyline )

Total Bets
1,194
Win Rate
57.4%
685W / 509L
Total P&L
$8,306.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$6.96
ROI
7.0%

Best Matchups

vs LowVig
$3,696.00
167 bets (61.7%)
vs Circa Sports
$1,554.00
340 bets (53.8%)
vs Kalshi
$1,289.00
25 bets (72.0%)
vs DraftKings
$1,029.00
16 bets (75.0%)
vs bet105
$619.00
37 bets (59.5%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-889
51 bets
47.1% win
1-3 hours
$282
77 bets
55.8% win
3-6 hours
$-194
116 bets
54.3% win
6-12 hours
$1,280
268 bets
58.2% win
12-24 hours
$3,200
465 bets
56.1% win
> 24 hours
$4,627
217 bets
63.6% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$691
23 bets
56.5% win
15-30 min
$-656
8 bets
25.0% win
30-60 min
$-924
20 bets
45.0% win
1-2 hours
$229
34 bets
55.9% win
2-4 hours
$-416
83 bets
56.6% win
4-8 hours
$746
153 bets
55.6% win
8-24 hours
$4,009
656 bets
56.7% win
24+ hours
$4,627
217 bets
63.6% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 303 189W / 114L 62.4% -0.75% +13.03% $3,947.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 146 79W / 67L 54.1% -0.45% +2.12% $309.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 91 49W / 42L 53.8% -0.36% -1.40% $-127.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 76 46W / 30L 60.5% -0.25% +18.53% $1,408.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 50 27W / 23L 54.0% -0.17% +7.04% $352.00
-0.1% to 0% 3 0W / 3L 0.0% -0.07% -244.33% $-733.00
0% to +0.1% 43 24W / 19L 55.8% +0.01% +10.00% $430.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 89 45W / 44L 50.6% +0.16% -23.00% $-2,047.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 140 91W / 49L 65.0% +0.23% +23.49% $3,288.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 82 41W / 41L 50.0% +0.34% +10.05% $824.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 75 40W / 35L 53.3% +0.45% +1.63% $122.00
+0.5% to +1% 96 54W / 42L 56.3% +0.72% +5.55% $533.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $191 162 93W / 69L 57.4% $2,237.00
$500 - $1k $718 48 28W / 20L 58.3% $193.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,617 162 93W / 69L 57.4% $136.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,289 218 118W / 100L 54.1% $951.00
$5k - $10k $6,447 131 74W / 57L 56.5% $1,636.00
$10k+ $41,832 138 72W / 66L 52.2% $-2,001.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
LowVig 167 103W / 64L 61.7% $3,696.00
Circa Sports 340 183W / 157L 53.8% $1,554.00
Kalshi 25 18W / 7L 72.0% $1,289.00
DraftKings 16 12W / 4L 75.0% $1,029.00
bet105 37 22W / 15L 59.5% $619.00
LowVig, Pinnacle 6 5W / 1L 83.3% $422.00
Fanatics 10 7W / 3L 70.0% $420.00
BookMaker, Pinnacle 3 3W / 0L 100.0% $300.00
bet105, LowVig 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $200.00
BookMaker, Circa Sports 4 3W / 1L 75.0% $190.00
bet105, BookMaker, Pinnacle 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $104.00
Caesars 5 3W / 2L 60.0% $100.00
Circa Sports, LowVig 21 9W / 12L 42.9% $94.00
Circa Sports, Pinnacle 7 4W / 3L 57.1% $90.00
bet105, Pinnacle 26 16W / 10L 61.5% $83.00
BookMaker, Circa Sports, LowVig 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $0.00
bet105, FanDuel 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $0.00
BookMaker, LowVig 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-22.00
crypto.com 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-69.00
BookMaker 112 59W / 53L 52.7% $-150.00
Pinnacle 110 63W / 47L 57.3% $-232.00
FanDuel 264 151W / 113L 57.2% $-530.00
Circa Sports, FanDuel 17 8W / 9L 47.1% $-1,251.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/13/26
North Carolina A&T vs Ham...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Fanatics North Carolina A&T L... +133 71-70 13h 27m WIN +$133.00
02/13/26
North Carolina A&T vs Ham...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
BookMaker North Carolina A&T L... +150 71-70 3h 18m WIN +$150.00
02/13/26
North Carolina A&T vs Ham...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
BookMaker North Carolina A&T L... +156 71-70 2h 4m WIN +$156.00
02/13/26
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
BookMaker Wisconsin Liq $14 $1... +122 92-71 11h 20m WIN +$122.00
02/13/26
Manhattan vs Niagara
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
DraftKings Niagara Liq $386 $10 -117 69-76 15h 18m LOSS $-117.00
02/12/26
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Caesars Dallas Mavericks Liq... +233 104-124 25h 13m LOSS $-100.00
02/12/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
DraftKings Portland Trail Blaze... -245 135-119 22h 37m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
LowVig Portland Trail Blaze... -245 135-119 19h 53m WIN +$100.00
02/12/26
Bryant vs UMass Lowell
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
FanDuel UMass Lowell Liq $13... -213 88-69 16h 38m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
DraftKings San Antonio Spurs Li... -203 126-113 45m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
FanDuel San Antonio Spurs Li... -223 126-113 11h 23m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
FanDuel San Antonio Spurs Li... -213 126-113 Live WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
DraftKings San Antonio Spurs Li... -194 126-113 21h 7m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oklahoma City Thunde... -223 136-109 19h 37m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
DraftKings Oklahoma City Thunde... -233 136-109 21h 4m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
DraftKings Oklahoma City Thunde... -213 136-109 22h 7m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Caesars Oklahoma City Thunde... -203 136-109 38h WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Pinnacle Oklahoma City Thunde... -233 136-109 21h 14m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
FanDuel Sacramento Kings Liq... +203 44-71 13h 31m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
FanDuel Oklahoma City Thunde... -203 136-109 41h 55m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Fanatics Oklahoma City Thunde... -245 136-109 1h 12m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
DraftKings Oklahoma City Thunde... -233 136-109 19h 49m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Fanatics Oklahoma City Thunde... -213 136-109 21h 44m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Miami Heat vs New Orleans...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
FanDuel New Orleans Pelicans... -108 111-123 28h 7m LOSS $-108.00
02/11/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
FanDuel Portland Trail Blaze... +270 109-133 15h 10m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Circa Sports Old Dominion Liq $20... +150 79-81 3h 24m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Detroit Pistons vs Toront...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Circa Sports Detroit Pistons Liq... -113 113-95 18h 14m WIN +$100.00
02/11/26
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Fanatics Old Dominion Liq $10... +127 79-81 20h 21m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Indiana Pacers vs Brookly...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
DraftKings Indiana Pacers Liq $... +156 115-110 23h 36m WIN +$156.00
02/11/26
Indiana Pacers vs Brookly...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Fanatics Indiana Pacers Liq $... +163 115-110 22h 48m WIN +$163.00