Polymarket Analytics
Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NCAAB / Moneyline )
Total Bets
205
Win Rate
55.1%
113W / 92L
Total P&L
$1,748.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$8.53
ROI
8.5%
Best Matchups
vs BookMaker
$967.00
15 bets (73.3%)
vs DraftKings
$656.00
5 bets (80.0%)
vs Fanatics
$427.00
5 bets (80.0%)
vs FanDuel
$372.00
82 bets (61.0%)
vs Circa Sports
$113.00
39 bets (48.7%)
Activity Heatmap
Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Profit Heatmap
P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Loss
Profit
Performance by Sport
Click to filter by sport (showing Moneyline markets)
Performance by Market
Click to filter by market (showing Basketball • NCAAB only)
Time-to-Game Performance
How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start
< 1 hour
$-179
22 bets
50.0% win
1-3 hours
$882
33 bets
63.6% win
3-6 hours
$1,057
41 bets
63.4% win
6-12 hours
$458
60 bets
55.0% win
12-24 hours
$-470
47 bets
44.7% win
> 24 hours
$0
2 bets
50.0% win
Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)
Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start
0-15 min
$240
10 bets
60.0% win
15-30 min
$-283
5 bets
40.0% win
30-60 min
$-136
7 bets
42.9% win
1-2 hours
$424
17 bets
64.7% win
2-4 hours
$755
32 bets
65.6% win
4-8 hours
$553
52 bets
53.8% win
8-24 hours
$195
80 bets
51.3% win
24+ hours
$0
2 bets
50.0% win
Edge/Hold Performance
Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)
| Edge Bucket | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | Avg Edge | ROI | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1% to -0.5% | 47 | 32W / 15L | 68.1% | -0.77% | +33.89% | $1,593.00 |
| -0.5% to -0.4% | 20 | 7W / 13L | 35.0% | -0.44% | -21.60% | $-432.00 |
| -0.4% to -0.3% | 10 | 6W / 4L | 60.0% | -0.35% | +37.00% | $370.00 |
| -0.3% to -0.2% | 11 | 7W / 4L | 63.6% | -0.25% | +22.00% | $242.00 |
| -0.2% to -0.1% | 1 | 0W / 1L | 0.0% | -0.16% | -257.00% | $-257.00 |
| -0.1% to 0% | 1 | 0W / 1L | 0.0% | -0.04% | -376.00% | $-376.00 |
| 0% to +0.1% | 6 | 3W / 3L | 50.0% | +0.00% | -8.33% | $-50.00 |
| +0.1% to +0.2% | 17 | 9W / 8L | 52.9% | +0.16% | +2.47% | $42.00 |
| +0.2% to +0.3% | 25 | 14W / 11L | 56.0% | +0.23% | +5.56% | $139.00 |
| +0.3% to +0.4% | 13 | 7W / 6L | 53.8% | +0.34% | -6.15% | $-80.00 |
| +0.4% to +0.5% | 25 | 9W / 16L | 36.0% | +0.46% | -22.04% | $-551.00 |
| +0.5% to +1% | 29 | 19W / 10L | 65.5% | +0.74% | +38.21% | $1,108.00 |
Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier
Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)
| Limit Tier | Avg Limit | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $500 | $191 | 96 | 56W / 40L | 58.3% | $1,969.00 |
| $500 - $1k | $671 | 14 | 10W / 4L | 71.4% | $131.00 |
| $1k - $2.5k | $1,590 | 42 | 27W / 15L | 64.3% | $1,127.00 |
| $2.5k - $5k | $3,490 | 20 | 12W / 8L | 60.0% | $692.00 |
| $5k - $10k | $6,786 | 7 | 1W / 6L | 14.3% | $-550.00 |
| $10k+ | $13,400 | 2 | 0W / 2L | 0.0% | $-200.00 |
Performance vs Opposing Books
How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook
| Opposing Book | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BookMaker | 15 | 11W / 4L | 73.3% | $967.00 |
| DraftKings | 5 | 4W / 1L | 80.0% | $656.00 |
| Fanatics | 5 | 4W / 1L | 80.0% | $427.00 |
| FanDuel | 82 | 50W / 32L | 61.0% | $372.00 |
| Circa Sports | 39 | 19W / 20L | 48.7% | $113.00 |
| bet105 | 3 | 2W / 1L | 66.7% | $100.00 |
| Circa Sports, LowVig | 8 | 3W / 5L | 37.5% | $19.00 |
| bet105, Pinnacle | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $0.00 |
| LowVig | 28 | 12W / 16L | 42.9% | $-94.00 |
| Kalshi | 3 | 1W / 2L | 33.3% | $-122.00 |
| Circa Sports, FanDuel | 5 | 3W / 2L | 60.0% | $-250.00 |
| Pinnacle | 6 | 1W / 5L | 16.7% | $-344.00 |
Recent Results
Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket
| Date | Event | Vs | Selection | Odds | Score | Time Before | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/13/26 |
North Carolina A&T vs Ham...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
BookMaker | North Carolina A&T L... | +156 | 71-70 | 2h 4m | WIN | +$156.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
North Carolina A&T vs Ham...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Fanatics | North Carolina A&T L... | +133 | 71-70 | 13h 27m | WIN | +$133.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
North Carolina A&T vs Ham...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
BookMaker | North Carolina A&T L... | +150 | 71-70 | 3h 18m | WIN | +$150.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
BookMaker | Wisconsin Liq $14 $1... | +122 | 92-71 | 11h 20m | WIN | +$122.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
Manhattan vs Niagara
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | Niagara Liq $386 $10 | -117 | 69-76 | 15h 18m | LOSS | $-117.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Bryant vs UMass Lowell
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | UMass Lowell Liq $13... | -213 | 88-69 | 16h 38m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Old Dominion Liq $20... | +150 | 79-81 | 3h 24m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Fanatics | Old Dominion Liq $10... | +127 | 79-81 | 20h 21m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Boston University vs Army
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Boston University Li... | -138 | 85-68 | 25m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
The Citadel vs Western Ca...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Fanatics | Western Carolina Liq... | -285 | 87-49 | 16h 3m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Arkansas vs LSU
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Arkansas Liq $52 $10 | -203 | 91-62 | 23h 30m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Iowa State vs TCU
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | TCU Liq $137 $10 | +285 | 62-55 | 20h 14m | WIN | +$285.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Arkansas vs LSU
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Arkansas Liq $20 $10 | -213 | 91-62 | 19h 12m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Eastern Illinois vs Weste...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | Western Illinois Liq... | +194 | 79-70 | 15h 9m | WIN | +$194.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Eastern Illinois vs Weste...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Fanatics | Western Illinois Liq... | +194 | 79-70 | 15h 9m | WIN | +$194.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Arizona vs Kansas
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
LowVig | Arizona Liq $137 $10 | -138 | 78-82 | 16h 15m | LOSS | $-138.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | New Orleans Liq $720... | +100 | 84-78 | 7h 45m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Alcorn State vs Mississip...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | Alcorn State Liq $2.... | -285 | 74-66 | 9h 12m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Alcorn State vs Mississip...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Mississippi Valley S... | +245 | 66-74 | 17m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
UNC Wilmington vs Charles...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Charleston Liq $65 $... | -104 | 64-76 | 18h 27m | LOSS | $-104.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Belmont vs Bradley
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
LowVig | Bradley Liq $224 $10 | +138 | 95-84 | 12h 35m | WIN | +$138.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Valparaiso vs Drake
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Valparaiso Liq $1.7k... | +150 | 81-76 | 7h 35m | WIN | +$150.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Alabama A&M vs Grambling
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | Alabama A&M Liq $299... | +194 | 66-58 | 18h 7m | WIN | +$194.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
UT Rio Grande Valley vs N...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Nicholls Liq $36 $10 | +127 | 72-92 | 18h 7m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Navy vs Bucknell
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Bucknell Liq $21 $10 | +300 | 60-76 | 22h 39m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
St. Francis Pennsylvania...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Chicago State Liq $5... | -127 | 80-75 | 5h 29m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/08/26 |
Wichita State vs Tulane
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Wichita State Liq $2... | -163 | 75-61 | 3h 10m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/08/26 |
Wichita State vs Tulane
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Wichita State Liq $1... | -203 | 75-61 | 1h 17m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/08/26 |
Wichita State vs Tulane
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Wichita State Liq $3... | -163 | 75-61 | 7h 7m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/08/26 |
UCF vs Cincinnati
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Fanatics | Cincinnati Liq $493... | -144 | 92-72 | 8h 2m | WIN | +$100.00 |