Polymarket Analytics
Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NBA / Moneyline )
Total Bets
479
Win Rate
58.2%
279W / 200L
Total P&L
$-2,013.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-4.20
ROI
-4.2%
Best Matchups
vs LowVig
$1,982.00
76 bets (71.1%)
vs Kalshi
$828.00
14 bets (71.4%)
vs bet105
$560.00
27 bets (63.0%)
vs DraftKings
$373.00
11 bets (72.7%)
vs LowVig, Pinnacle
$100.00
3 bets (66.7%)
Activity Heatmap
Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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More
Profit Heatmap
P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Loss
Profit
Performance by Sport
Click to filter by sport (showing Moneyline markets)
Performance by Market
Click to filter by market (showing Basketball • NBA only)
Time-to-Game Performance
How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start
< 1 hour
$-537
20 bets
45.0% win
1-3 hours
$196
26 bets
65.4% win
3-6 hours
$-1,368
46 bets
50.0% win
6-12 hours
$-959
115 bets
60.0% win
12-24 hours
$817
228 bets
59.6% win
> 24 hours
$-162
44 bets
56.8% win
Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)
Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start
0-15 min
$451
11 bets
54.5% win
30-60 min
$-988
9 bets
33.3% win
1-2 hours
$267
8 bets
75.0% win
2-4 hours
$-1,082
30 bets
53.3% win
4-8 hours
$-487
59 bets
57.6% win
8-24 hours
$-12
318 bets
59.4% win
24+ hours
$-162
44 bets
56.8% win
Edge/Hold Performance
Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)
| Edge Bucket | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | Avg Edge | ROI | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1% to -0.5% | 117 | 77W / 40L | 65.8% | -0.77% | +5.59% | $654.00 |
| -0.5% to -0.4% | 39 | 20W / 19L | 51.3% | -0.45% | -33.79% | $-1,318.00 |
| -0.4% to -0.3% | 28 | 13W / 15L | 46.4% | -0.36% | -37.61% | $-1,053.00 |
| -0.3% to -0.2% | 18 | 11W / 7L | 61.1% | -0.26% | -10.22% | $-184.00 |
| -0.2% to -0.1% | 16 | 6W / 10L | 37.5% | -0.17% | -30.38% | $-486.00 |
| -0.1% to 0% | 1 | 0W / 1L | 0.0% | -0.08% | -100.00% | $-100.00 |
| 0% to +0.1% | 16 | 10W / 6L | 62.5% | +0.02% | +5.63% | $90.00 |
| +0.1% to +0.2% | 54 | 30W / 24L | 55.6% | +0.16% | -19.43% | $-1,049.00 |
| +0.2% to +0.3% | 63 | 44W / 19L | 69.8% | +0.23% | +28.03% | $1,766.00 |
| +0.3% to +0.4% | 38 | 16W / 22L | 42.1% | +0.35% | -12.29% | $-467.00 |
| +0.4% to +0.5% | 38 | 23W / 15L | 60.5% | +0.45% | +6.63% | $252.00 |
| +0.5% to +1% | 51 | 29W / 22L | 56.9% | +0.70% | -2.31% | $-118.00 |
Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier
Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)
| Limit Tier | Avg Limit | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $500 | $179 | 49 | 27W / 22L | 55.1% | $-133.00 |
| $500 - $1k | $727 | 26 | 13W / 13L | 50.0% | $-115.00 |
| $1k - $2.5k | $1,617 | 101 | 58W / 43L | 57.4% | $-592.00 |
| $2.5k - $5k | $3,277 | 78 | 44W / 34L | 56.4% | $-52.00 |
| $5k - $10k | $6,579 | 52 | 35W / 17L | 67.3% | $1,443.00 |
| $10k+ | $41,800 | 62 | 37W / 25L | 59.7% | $-1,335.00 |
Performance vs Opposing Books
How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook
| Opposing Book | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig | 76 | 54W / 22L | 71.1% | $1,982.00 |
| Kalshi | 14 | 10W / 4L | 71.4% | $828.00 |
| bet105 | 27 | 17W / 10L | 63.0% | $560.00 |
| DraftKings | 11 | 8W / 3L | 72.7% | $373.00 |
| Caesars | 5 | 3W / 2L | 60.0% | $100.00 |
| LowVig, Pinnacle | 3 | 2W / 1L | 66.7% | $100.00 |
| bet105, Pinnacle | 22 | 14W / 8L | 63.6% | $83.00 |
| bet105, BookMaker, Pinnacle | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $4.00 |
| bet105, FanDuel | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $0.00 |
| Fanatics | 5 | 3W / 2L | 60.0% | $-7.00 |
| Circa Sports, LowVig | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $-13.00 |
| Circa Sports, Pinnacle | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $-27.00 |
| BookMaker, Circa Sports | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $-27.00 |
| Pinnacle | 43 | 27W / 16L | 62.8% | $-139.00 |
| Circa Sports, FanDuel | 7 | 3W / 4L | 42.9% | $-818.00 |
| BookMaker | 52 | 24W / 28L | 46.2% | $-1,284.00 |
| FanDuel | 97 | 52W / 45L | 53.6% | $-1,716.00 |
| Circa Sports | 97 | 48W / 49L | 49.5% | $-2,873.00 |
Recent Results
Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket
| Date | Event | Vs | Selection | Odds | Score | Time Before | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/26 |
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Caesars | Dallas Mavericks Liq... | +233 | 104-124 | 25h 13m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | Portland Trail Blaze... | -245 | 135-119 | 22h 37m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
LowVig | Portland Trail Blaze... | -245 | 135-119 | 19h 53m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | San Antonio Spurs Li... | -213 | 126-113 | Live | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | San Antonio Spurs Li... | -194 | 126-113 | 21h 7m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | San Antonio Spurs Li... | -223 | 126-113 | 11h 23m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | San Antonio Spurs Li... | -203 | 126-113 | 45m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Fanatics | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -213 | 136-109 | 21h 44m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Caesars | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -203 | 136-109 | 38h | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -223 | 136-109 | 19h 37m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -233 | 136-109 | 19h 49m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Fanatics | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -245 | 136-109 | 1h 12m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -213 | 136-109 | 22h 7m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Sacramento Kings Liq... | +203 | 44-71 | 13h 31m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -233 | 136-109 | 21h 4m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Pinnacle | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -233 | 136-109 | 21h 14m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -203 | 136-109 | 41h 55m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Portland Trail Blaze... | +270 | 109-133 | 15h 10m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Miami Heat vs New Orleans...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | New Orleans Pelicans... | -108 | 111-123 | 28h 7m | LOSS | $-108.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Indiana Pacers vs Brookly...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | Indiana Pacers Liq $... | +156 | 115-110 | 23h 36m | WIN | +$156.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Detroit Pistons vs Toront...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Detroit Pistons Liq... | -113 | 113-95 | 18h 14m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Indiana Pacers vs Brookly...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Fanatics | Indiana Pacers Liq $... | +163 | 115-110 | 22h 48m | WIN | +$163.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Atlanta Hawks vs Charlott...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
|
BookMaker | Charlotte Hornets Li... | -138 | 58-49 | 1h 8m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | San Antonio Spurs Li... | -270 | 136-108 | 12h 54m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Los Angeles Clippers vs H...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
bet105 | Houston Rockets Liq... | -270 | 102-95 | 21h 47m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | Oklahoma City Thunde... | -144 | 119-110 | 28h 29m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Por...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Philadelphia 76ers L... | -133 | 118-135 | 4h 38m | LOSS | $-133.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Por...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Portland Trail Blaze... | +138 | 135-118 | 28h 23m | WIN | +$138.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Por...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
bet105 | Philadelphia 76ers L... | +150 | 118-135 | Live | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Cleveland Cavaliers vs De...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Cleveland Cavaliers... | -104 | 119-117 | 27h 25m | WIN | +$100.00 |