Polymarket Analytics
Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NBA / Total Points )
Total Bets
477
Win Rate
39.4%
188W / 289L
Total P&L
$-8,765.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-18.38
ROI
-18.4%
Best Matchups
vs DraftKings
$466.00
7 bets (71.4%)
vs Kalshi
$75.00
6 bets (50.0%)
vs bet105, Pinnacle
$-176.00
10 bets (40.0%)
vs BookMaker
$-437.00
17 bets (35.3%)
vs Pinnacle
$-460.00
37 bets (43.2%)
Activity Heatmap
Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Less
More
Profit Heatmap
P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Loss
Profit
Performance by Sport
Click to filter by sport (showing Total Points markets)
Performance by Market
Click to filter by market (showing Basketball • NBA only)
Time-to-Game Performance
How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start
< 1 hour
$55
29 bets
48.3% win
1-3 hours
$274
35 bets
51.4% win
3-6 hours
$-682
59 bets
42.4% win
6-12 hours
$-2,074
127 bets
40.9% win
12-24 hours
$-6,238
226 bets
35.0% win
> 24 hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)
Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start
0-15 min
$530
16 bets
62.5% win
15-30 min
$-192
4 bets
25.0% win
30-60 min
$-283
9 bets
33.3% win
1-2 hours
$377
19 bets
57.9% win
2-4 hours
$-175
38 bets
44.7% win
4-8 hours
$-927
81 bets
43.2% win
8-24 hours
$-7,995
309 bets
35.9% win
24+ hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
Edge/Hold Performance
Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)
| Edge Bucket | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | Avg Edge | ROI | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1% to -0.5% | 108 | 47W / 61L | 43.5% | -0.79% | -11.63% | $-1,256.00 |
| -0.5% to -0.4% | 98 | 43W / 55L | 43.9% | -0.47% | -10.21% | $-1,001.00 |
| -0.4% to -0.3% | 1 | 1W / 0L | 100.0% | -0.40% | +122.00% | $122.00 |
| -0.3% to -0.2% | 24 | 8W / 16L | 33.3% | -0.23% | -31.83% | $-764.00 |
| -0.2% to -0.1% | 3 | 3W / 0L | 100.0% | -0.18% | +112.67% | $338.00 |
| 0% to +0.1% | 6 | 3W / 3L | 50.0% | +0.00% | +0.00% | $0.00 |
| +0.1% to +0.2% | 12 | 4W / 8L | 33.3% | +0.18% | -22.00% | $-264.00 |
| +0.2% to +0.3% | 83 | 24W / 59L | 28.9% | +0.23% | -39.60% | $-3,287.00 |
| +0.3% to +0.4% | 3 | 1W / 2L | 33.3% | +0.33% | -33.33% | $-100.00 |
| +0.4% to +0.5% | 51 | 20W / 31L | 39.2% | +0.47% | -19.69% | $-1,004.00 |
| +0.5% to +1% | 88 | 34W / 54L | 38.6% | +0.68% | -17.60% | $-1,549.00 |
Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier
Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)
| Limit Tier | Avg Limit | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $500 | $226 | 70 | 25W / 45L | 35.7% | $-1,635.00 |
| $500 - $1k | $691 | 81 | 28W / 53L | 34.6% | $-2,319.00 |
| $1k - $2.5k | $1,476 | 94 | 34W / 60L | 36.2% | $-2,308.00 |
| $2.5k - $5k | $3,353 | 66 | 35W / 31L | 53.0% | $560.00 |
| $5k - $10k | $6,815 | 27 | 15W / 12L | 55.6% | $369.00 |
| $10k+ | $24,578 | 18 | 5W / 13L | 27.8% | $-763.00 |
Performance vs Opposing Books
How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook
| Opposing Book | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 7 | 5W / 2L | 71.4% | $466.00 |
| BookMaker, FanDuel | 2 | 2W / 0L | 100.0% | $216.00 |
| Kalshi | 6 | 3W / 3L | 50.0% | $75.00 |
| bet105, Pinnacle | 10 | 4W / 6L | 40.0% | $-176.00 |
| BookMaker | 17 | 6W / 11L | 35.3% | $-437.00 |
| Pinnacle | 37 | 16W / 21L | 43.2% | $-460.00 |
| Bet105 | 30 | 10W / 20L | 33.3% | $-1,012.00 |
| Circa Sports | 73 | 26W / 47L | 35.6% | $-1,802.00 |
| FanDuel | 197 | 84W / 113L | 42.6% | $-2,425.00 |
| LowVig | 91 | 29W / 62L | 31.9% | $-3,134.00 |
Recent Results
Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket
| Date | Event | Vs | Selection | Odds | Score | Time Before | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/26 |
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Under 232.5 Liq $873... | +113 | 228 (104-124) | 16h 31m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Dallas Mavericks vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Over 237.5 Liq $4.3k... | +100 | 228 (104-124) | 48m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
LowVig | Under 238.5 Liq $19... | +108 | 254 (135-119) | 14h 27m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Under 215.5 Liq $14... | +113 | 203 (110-93) | 17h 18m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklaho...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 215.5 Liq $14... | +113 | 203 (110-93) | 17h 18m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Gold...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 219.5 Liq $942... | +113 | 239 (126-113) | 15h 21m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Over 216.5 Liq $20 $... | +144 | 245 (136-109) | 8m | WIN | +$144.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Over 230.5 Liq $300... | -104 | 214 (93-121) | 16h 27m | LOSS | $-104.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Denv...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Under 236.5 Liq $4.5... | +113 | 238 (116-122) | 12h 48m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Over 231.5 Liq $1.2k... | +104 | 214 (93-121) | 17h 11m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Over 232.5 Liq $218... | +117 | 214 (93-121) | 11h 56m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Over 232.5 Liq $36 $... | +113 | 214 (93-121) | 17h 13m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Over 213.5 Liq $13.6... | +113 | 245 (136-109) | 11m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Over 230.5 Liq $130... | -104 | 214 (93-121) | 11h 41m | LOSS | $-104.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Over 213.5 Liq $1.1k... | +113 | 245 (136-109) | 13m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Indiana Pacers vs Brookly...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 215.5 Liq $4.1... | +100 | 225 (115-110) | 12h 49m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Indiana Pacers vs Brookly...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 214.5 Liq $436... | +108 | 225 (115-110) | 12h 45m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Chicago Bulls vs Boston C...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 224.5 Liq $1.0... | +113 | 229 (105-124) | 17h 13m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Chicago Bulls vs Boston C...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Over 226.5 Liq $1.4k... | +108 | 229 (105-124) | 21h 17m | WIN | +$108.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Washington Wizards vs Cle...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 237.5 Liq $341... | +113 | 251 (113-138) | 13h 15m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 228.5 Liq $441... | +113 | 244 (136-108) | 19h 4m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Los...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Over 228.5 Liq $26 $... | +163 | 244 (136-108) | 3h 50m | WIN | +$163.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoen...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Under 225.5 Liq $1.2... | +113 | 231 (111-120) | 22h 31m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoen...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Under 226.5 Liq $1.0... | +113 | 231 (111-120) | 15h 31m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Los Angeles Clippers vs H...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Under 211.5 Liq $5.7... | +113 | 197 (95-102) | 8h 35m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Los Angeles Clippers vs H...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Under 210.5 Liq $3.8... | +138 | 197 (95-102) | 6h 24m | WIN | +$138.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Los Angeles Clippers vs H...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Over 210.5 Liq $594... | +113 | 197 (95-102) | 13h 44m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Indiana Pacers vs New Yor...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Under 223.5 Liq $11... | +113 | 271 (137-134) | 12h 15m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
bet105 | Under 222.5 Liq $21.... | +100 | 229 (119-110) | 13m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/09/26 |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Por...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Over 230.5 Liq $1.6k... | +113 | 253 (118-135) | 12h 31m | WIN | +$113.00 |