Polymarket Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NBA / Point Spread )

Clear Filters Back to Analytics
Total Bets
43
Win Rate
48.8%
21W / 22L
Total P&L
$-108.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-2.51
ROI
-2.5%

Best Matchups

vs FanDuel
$473.00
14 bets (64.3%)
vs Bet105
$300.00
3 bets (100.0%)
vs BookMaker
$-87.00
3 bets (33.3%)
vs Circa Sports
$-184.00
6 bets (33.3%)
vs Lowvig
$-196.00
8 bets (37.5%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Performance by Sport

Click to filter by sport (showing Point Spread markets)

Basketball • NCAAB
18 bets (50.0%)
$-19.00
9W / 9L
Basketball • NBA
43 bets (48.8%)
$-108.00
21W / 22L
Football • NCAAF
8 bets (25.0%)
$-392.00
2W / 6L
Football • NFL
44 bets (36.4%)
$-1,146.00
16W / 28L

Performance by Market

Click to filter by market (showing Basketball • NBA only)

1st Half Moneyline
11 bets (54.5%)
$87.00
6W / 5L
Point Spread
43 bets (48.8%)
$-108.00
21W / 22L
Moneyline
468 bets (58.3%)
$-2,100.00
273W / 195L
Total Points
477 bets (39.4%)
$-8,765.00
188W / 289L

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-109
3 bets
33.3% win
1-3 hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
3-6 hours
$-317
5 bets
20.0% win
6-12 hours
$551
11 bets
72.7% win
12-24 hours
$-133
23 bets
47.8% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$113
1 bets
100.0% win
15-30 min
$-122
1 bets
0.0% win
30-60 min
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
2-4 hours
$-417
4 bets
0.0% win
4-8 hours
$539
7 bets
85.7% win
8-24 hours
$-121
29 bets
48.3% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 3 2W / 1L 66.7% -0.85% +29.00% $87.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 21 10W / 11L 47.6% -0.47% -4.24% $-89.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 4 0W / 4L 0.0% -0.38% -113.50% $-454.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 7 3W / 4L 42.9% -0.23% -13.57% $-95.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% -0.20% -122.00% $-122.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 6 5W / 1L 83.3% +0.22% +75.33% $452.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% +0.45% +113.00% $113.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
FanDuel 14 9W / 5L 64.3% $473.00
Bet105 3 3W / 0L 100.0% $300.00
BookMaker 3 1W / 2L 33.3% $-87.00
Circa Sports 6 2W / 4L 33.3% $-184.00
Lowvig 8 3W / 5L 37.5% $-196.00
Pinnacle 9 3W / 6L 33.3% $-414.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/08/26
Miami Heat vs Washington...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Bet105 Miami Heat -10.5 -108 132-101 12h 18m WIN +$100.00
02/08/26
New York Knicks vs Boston...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Bet105 New York Knicks +4.5 -108 111-89 9h 46m WIN +$100.00
01/11/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Lowvig Milwaukee Bucks -2.5 +104 104-108 20h 38m LOSS $-100.00
01/11/26
Miami Heat vs Oklahoma Ci...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Bet105 Miami Heat +14.5 -104 112-124 19h 38m WIN +$100.00
01/11/26
Brooklyn Nets vs Memphis...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Circa Sports Brooklyn Nets +6.5 +108 98-103 16h 8m WIN +$108.00
01/08/26
Utah Jazz vs Dallas Maver...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Fanduel Dallas Mavericks -7.... +104 116-114 19h 13m LOSS $-100.00
01/08/26
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Mi...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Lowvig Cleveland Cavaliers... +104 122-131 19h 52m LOSS $-100.00
01/06/26
New Orleans Pelicans vs L...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Lowvig Los Angeles Lakers -... +104 103-111 8h 34m WIN +$104.00
01/06/26
Memphis Grizzlies vs San...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Circa Sports San Antonio Spurs -6... +108 106-105 4h 44m LOSS $-100.00
01/06/26
Indiana Pacers vs Clevela...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Pinnacle Cleveland Cavaliers... -117 116-120 3h 44m LOSS $-117.00
01/04/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacram...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Pinnacle Milwaukee Bucks -6.5... -108 115-98 7h 40m WIN +$100.00
01/04/26
Sacramento Kings vs Milwa...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Fanduel Sacramento Kings +5.... +117 115-98 14h 50m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Sacramento Kings vs Milwa...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Lowvig Sacramento Kings +6.... +104 115-98 10h 57m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Sacramento Kings vs Milwa...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Pinnacle Sacramento Kings +7.... -122 115-98 20m LOSS $-122.00
01/04/26
New Orleans Pelicans vs M...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Circa Sports New Orleans Pelicans... +108 106-125 11h 50m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Detroit Pistons vs Clevel...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Circa Sports Cleveland Cavaliers... +108 110-114 13h 36m LOSS $-100.00
01/03/26
Houston Rockets vs Dallas...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Pinnacle Dallas Mavericks +8.... -104 110-104 18h 10m WIN +$100.00
01/03/26
Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Lowvig Atlanta Hawks +3.5 +104 117-134 3h 3m LOSS $-100.00
01/03/26
Philadelphia 76ers vs New...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Lowvig New York Knicks -3.5 +104 119-130 3h 3m LOSS $-100.00
01/02/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Circa Sports Portland Trail Blaze... +108 122-109 10h 12m WIN +$108.00
01/02/26
Atlanta Hawks vs New York...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 LowVig Atlanta Hawks +6.5 L... +100 111-99 6h 44m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 fanduel Los Angeles Clippers... +113 118-101 9m WIN +$113.00
12/31/25
Denver Nuggets vs Toronto...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 FanDuel Denver Nuggets +6.5... +113 106-103 19h 48m WIN +$113.00
12/31/25
Minnesota Timberwolves vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 FanDuel Atlanta Hawks +4.5 L... +113 126-102 7h 14m WIN +$113.00
12/31/25
Minnesota Timberwolves vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 BookMaker Atlanta Hawks +4.5 L... +113 126-102 7h 31m WIN +$113.00
12/31/25
Orlando Magic vs Indiana...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 Pinnacle Orlando Magic -3.5 L... -108 112-110 15h 49m LOSS $-108.00
12/31/25
Minnesota Timberwolves vs...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 FanDuel Atlanta Hawks +4.5 L... +113 126-102 7h 8m WIN +$113.00
12/30/25
Sacramento Kings vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 BookMaker Sacramento Kings +9.... +104 90-131 16h 8m LOSS $-100.00
12/30/25
Sacramento Kings vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 BookMaker Sacramento Kings +9.... +104 90-131 15h 34m LOSS $-100.00
12/30/25
Sacramento Kings vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - Point Spread
 FanDuel Los Angeles Clippers... -104 131-90 22h 19m WIN +$100.00