Polymarket Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NBA / 1st Half Moneyline )

Total Bets
11
Win Rate
54.5%
6W / 5L
Total P&L
$87.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$7.91
ROI
7.9%

Best Matchups

vs FanDuel
$-130.00
4 bets (25.0%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$70
2 bets
50.0% win
1-3 hours
$-56
4 bets
50.0% win
3-6 hours
$73
3 bets
66.7% win
6-12 hours
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
12-24 hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
30-60 min
$170
1 bets
100.0% win
1-2 hours
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
2-4 hours
$44
5 bets
60.0% win
4-8 hours
$-127
1 bets
0.0% win
8-24 hours
$0
2 bets
50.0% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% -0.80% -100.00% $-100.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -0.27% +170.00% $170.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -0.12% +100.00% $100.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% +0.10% +100.00% $100.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 2 2W / 0L 100.0% +0.26% +100.00% $200.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 2 0W / 2L 0.0% +0.35% -100.00% $-200.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% +0.45% -156.00% $-156.00
+0.5% to +1% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% +0.63% -13.50% $-27.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $134 3 0W / 3L 0.0% $-327.00
$500 - $1k $698 3 1W / 2L 33.3% $-86.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,400 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $200.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Pinnacle 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $200.00
LowVig 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-27.00
FanDuel 4 1W / 3L 25.0% $-130.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/11/26
Sacramento Kings vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
FanDuel Sacramento Kings Liq... +203 44-71 13h 31m LOSS $-100.00
02/11/26
Atlanta Hawks vs Charlott...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
BookMaker Charlotte Hornets Li... -138 58-49 1h 8m WIN +$100.00
01/30/26
Brooklyn Nets vs Utah Jaz...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
LowVig Utah Jazz Liq $224 $... -127 52-54 5h 37m LOSS $-127.00
01/28/26
Atlanta Hawks vs Boston C...
Basketball • NBA - 1St Half Moneyline
FanDuel Atlanta Hawks Liq $8... +170 60-46 56m WIN +$170.00
01/27/26
Brooklyn Nets vs Phoenix...
Basketball • NBA - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel Brooklyn Nets Liq $7... +212 51-60 Live LOSS $-100.00
01/27/26
Brooklyn Nets vs Phoenix...
Basketball • NBA - 1st Half Moneyline
Pinnacle Phoenix Suns Liq $47... -223 60-51 8h 5m WIN +$100.00
01/26/26
Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta...
Basketball • NBA - 1st Half Moneyline
bet105 Atlanta Hawks Liq $2... -156 60-64 2h 30m LOSS $-156.00
01/21/26
Indiana Pacers vs Boston...
Basketball • NBA - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel Indiana Pacers Liq $... +270 46-66 2h 7m LOSS $-100.00
01/07/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden...
Basketball • NBA - 1st Half Moneyline
LowVig Golden State Warrior... -163 64-53 3h 57m WIN +$100.00
12/29/25
Phoenix Suns vs Washingto...
Basketball • NBA - 1st Half Moneyline
Pinnacle Phoenix Suns Liq $13... -270 61-54 3h WIN +$100.00
12/28/25
Sacramento Kings vs Los A...
Basketball • NBA - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports Los Angeles Lakers L... -317 125-101 2h 18m WIN +$100.00