Polymarket Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Football • NFL / 1st Half Moneyline )

Total Bets
11
Win Rate
90.9%
10W / 1L
Total P&L
$908.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$82.55
ROI
82.5%

Best Matchups

vs Circa Sports
$508.00
5 bets (100.0%)
vs FanDuel
$400.00
4 bets (100.0%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

1-3 hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
3-6 hours
$200
2 bets
100.0% win
6-12 hours
$500
5 bets
100.0% win
12-24 hours
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
> 24 hours
$208
2 bets
100.0% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

1-2 hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
2-4 hours
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
4-8 hours
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
8-24 hours
$600
6 bets
100.0% win
24+ hours
$208
2 bets
100.0% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% -0.80% +0.00% $0.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 5 5W / 0L 100.0% -0.42% +101.60% $508.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -0.40% +100.00% $100.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 2 2W / 0L 100.0% -0.26% +100.00% $200.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% +0.33% +100.00% $100.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
$1k - $2.5k $2,200 1 1W / 0L 100.0% $100.00
$2.5k - $5k $4,500 1 0W / 1L 0.0% $-100.00
$5k - $10k $5,500 1 1W / 0L 100.0% $108.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Circa Sports 5 5W / 0L 100.0% $508.00
FanDuel 4 4W / 0L 100.0% $400.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
01/18/26
Houston Texans vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
bet105, Pinnacle Houston Texans Liq $... +138 10-21 1h 38m LOSS $-100.00
01/11/26
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonv...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports Buffalo Bills Liq $2... +108 10-7 31h 12m WIN +$108.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel Los Angeles Rams Liq... -317 17-14 71h 32m WIN +$100.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel Los Angeles Rams Liq... -285 17-14 9h 40m WIN +$100.00
01/04/26
New York Jets vs Buffalo...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports Buffalo Bills Liq $2... -317 35-8 4h 52m WIN +$100.00
01/04/26
Los Angeles Chargers vs D...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports Denver Broncos Liq $... -426 19-3 19h 3m WIN +$100.00
01/04/26
Miami Dolphins vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - 1St Half Moneyline
Circa Sports New England Patriots -355 17-10 10h 15m WIN +$100.00
12/28/25
New England Patriots vs N...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
BookMaker New England Patriots... -376 35-3 8h 38m WIN +$100.00
12/28/25
New England Patriots vs N...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel New England Patriots... -400 35-3 3h 4m WIN +$100.00
12/28/25
New England Patriots vs N...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel New England Patriots... -376 35-3 10h 32m WIN +$100.00
12/28/25
New England Patriots vs N...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports New England Patriots... -376 35-3 10h 32m WIN +$100.00