Polymarket Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Football • NFL / Moneyline )

Total Bets
95
Win Rate
61.1%
58W / 37L
Total P&L
$1,722.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$18.13
ROI
18.1%

Best Matchups

vs FanDuel
$2,256.00
29 bets (89.7%)
vs LowVig
$417.00
4 bets (75.0%)
vs Circa Sports
$-160.00
41 bets (53.7%)
vs BookMaker
$-791.00
15 bets (26.7%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
1-3 hours
$0
2 bets
50.0% win
3-6 hours
$478
4 bets
100.0% win
6-12 hours
$1,217
12 bets
100.0% win
12-24 hours
$-489
9 bets
33.3% win
> 24 hours
$416
67 bets
55.2% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

30-60 min
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
1-2 hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
2-4 hours
$300
3 bets
100.0% win
4-8 hours
$278
2 bets
100.0% win
8-24 hours
$728
21 bets
71.4% win
24+ hours
$416
67 bets
55.2% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 17 10W / 7L 58.8% -0.75% -30.06% $-511.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 12 8W / 4L 66.7% -0.44% +44.25% $531.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 17 14W / 3L 82.4% -0.34% +67.18% $1,142.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 26 15W / 11L 57.7% -0.24% +21.15% $550.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 11 6W / 5L 54.5% -0.17% +33.09% $364.00
0% to +0.1% 4 2W / 2L 50.0% +0.00% +19.50% $78.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 5 0W / 5L 0.0% +0.13% -168.80% $-844.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% +0.21% +212.00% $212.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 2 2W / 0L 100.0% +0.33% +100.00% $200.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $155 1 0W / 1L 0.0% $-100.00
$500 - $1k $996 1 0W / 1L 0.0% $-100.00
$1k - $2.5k $2,200 1 1W / 0L 100.0% $100.00
$2.5k - $5k $4,133 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $100.00
$5k - $10k $7,133 6 5W / 1L 83.3% $295.00
$10k+ $113,833 18 11W / 7L 61.1% $383.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
FanDuel 29 26W / 3L 89.7% $2,256.00
LowVig 4 3W / 1L 75.0% $417.00
Circa Sports 41 22W / 19L 53.7% $-160.00
BookMaker 15 4W / 11L 26.7% $-791.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
01/25/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
bet105 Los Angeles Rams Liq... +133 27-31 66h 42m LOSS $-100.00
01/25/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Los Angeles Rams Liq... +127 27-31 26h 35m LOSS $-100.00
01/25/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Los Angeles Rams Liq... +127 27-31 15h 56m LOSS $-100.00
01/25/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Los Angeles Rams Liq... +127 27-31 23h 43m LOSS $-100.00
01/25/26
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Circa Sports New England Patriots... -223 10-7 93h 17m WIN +$100.00
01/25/26
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Circa Sports New England Patriots... -213 10-7 65h 39m WIN +$100.00
01/25/26
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Circa Sports New England Patriots... -203 10-7 47h 1m WIN +$100.00
01/25/26
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Circa Sports New England Patriots... -223 10-7 94h 31m WIN +$100.00
01/18/26
Houston Texans vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
bet105, Pinnacle Houston Texans Liq $... +138 10-21 1h 38m LOSS $-100.00
01/18/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Chica...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Los Angeles Rams Liq... -186 20-17 3h 18m WIN +$100.00
01/12/26
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Houston Texans Liq $... -150 30-6 129h 23m WIN +$100.00
01/12/26
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
FanDuel Houston Texans Liq $... -150 30-6 122h 33m WIN +$100.00
01/12/26
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
FanDuel Houston Texans Liq $... -150 30-6 116h 31m WIN +$100.00
01/12/26
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
FanDuel Houston Texans Liq $... -150 30-6 113h 37m WIN +$100.00
01/12/26
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
FanDuel Houston Texans Liq $... -150 30-6 115h 22m WIN +$100.00
01/12/26
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
FanDuel Houston Texans Liq $... -150 30-6 120h 34m WIN +$100.00
01/12/26
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
FanDuel Houston Texans Liq $... -150 30-6 118h 19m WIN +$100.00
01/12/26
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
FanDuel Houston Texans Liq $... -150 30-6 121h 46m WIN +$100.00
01/11/26
Los Angeles Chargers vs N...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Circa Sports, LowVig Los Angeles Chargers... +178 3-16 54h 22m LOSS $-100.00
01/11/26
Los Angeles Chargers vs N...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Los Angeles Chargers... +178 3-16 68h 1m LOSS $-100.00
01/11/26
Los Angeles Chargers vs N...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
LowVig Los Angeles Chargers... +178 3-16 35h 28m LOSS $-100.00
01/11/26
Los Angeles Chargers vs N...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Los Angeles Chargers... +178 3-16 69h 24m LOSS $-100.00
01/11/26
San Francisco 49ers vs Ph...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
BookMaker Philadelphia Eagles... -213 19-23 72h 48m LOSS $-213.00
01/11/26
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonv...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports Buffalo Bills Liq $2... +108 10-7 31h 12m WIN +$108.00
01/10/26
Green Bay Packers vs Chic...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
BookMaker Green Bay Packers Li... -117 27-31 23h 11m LOSS $-117.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
FanDuel Los Angeles Rams Liq... -488 34-31 47h 34m WIN +$100.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
FanDuel Los Angeles Rams Liq... -488 34-31 30h 3m WIN +$100.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
LowVig Los Angeles Rams Liq... -456 34-31 53m WIN +$100.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
LowVig Los Angeles Rams Liq... -456 34-31 2h 4m WIN +$100.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
FanDuel Los Angeles Rams Liq... -488 34-31 48h 54m WIN +$100.00