Polymarket Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Football • NCAAF / Moneyline )

Total Bets
54
Win Rate
68.5%
37W / 17L
Total P&L
$2,027.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$37.54
ROI
37.5%

Best Matchups

vs Circa Sports
$2,500.00
29 bets (93.1%)
vs BookMaker
$373.00
8 bets (75.0%)
vs FanDuel
$-1,096.00
15 bets (13.3%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

1-3 hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
3-6 hours
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
6-12 hours
$-1,109
16 bets
18.8% win
12-24 hours
$250
2 bets
100.0% win
> 24 hours
$2,886
34 bets
91.2% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

2-4 hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
4-8 hours
$100
3 bets
66.7% win
8-24 hours
$-859
16 bets
25.0% win
24+ hours
$2,886
34 bets
91.2% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% -0.71% -100.00% $-100.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 10 10W / 0L 100.0% -0.46% +113.60% $1,136.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 5 0W / 5L 0.0% -0.35% -122.60% $-613.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 4 4W / 0L 100.0% -0.16% +100.00% $400.00
0% to +0.1% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% +0.00% +0.00% $0.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% +0.14% +100.00% $100.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 15 15W / 0L 100.0% +0.21% +100.00% $1,500.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 15 5W / 10L 33.3% +0.32% -33.33% $-500.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% +0.49% +104.00% $104.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
$10k+ $57,000 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $0.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Circa Sports 29 27W / 2L 93.1% $2,500.00
BookMaker 8 6W / 2L 75.0% $373.00
FanDuel 15 2W / 13L 13.3% $-1,096.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
01/19/26
Miami Florida vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Miami Florida Liq $2... +270 21-27 2h 38m LOSS $-100.00
01/09/26
Oregon vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker, Circa Sports Indiana Liq $104k $1... -163 56-22 7h 43m WIN +$100.00
01/09/26
Oregon vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
FanDuel Indiana Liq $291 $10 -163 56-22 49h 47m WIN +$100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports Miami Florida Liq $1... -138 17-13 82h 10m WIN +$100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Miami Florida Liq $1... -156 31-27 73h 54m WIN +$100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Miami Florida Liq $1... -156 31-27 74h 31m WIN +$100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Miami Florida Liq $1... -156 31-27 75h 4m WIN +$100.00
01/02/26
Arizona vs SMU
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel SMU Liq $490 $10 +104 24-19 8h 46m WIN +$104.00
01/02/26
Rice vs Texas State
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports Texas State Liq $316... -400 41-10 14h 11m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Ole Miss vs Georgia
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Georgia Liq $171k $1... -213 34-39 9h 8m LOSS $-213.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Indiana Liq $214 $10 -223 38-3 60h 48m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Indiana Liq $1.6k $1... -223 38-3 44h 18m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Indiana Liq $1.6k $1... -223 38-3 45h 54m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Indiana Liq $1.9k $1... -223 38-3 47h 18m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Indiana Liq $434 $10 -223 38-3 49h 54m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $123 $10 -117 23-0 86h 56m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $115 $10 -117 23-0 77h 40m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $119 $10 -117 23-0 86h 44m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $116 $10 -117 23-0 78h 12m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $125 $10 -117 23-0 77h 29m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $111 $10 -117 23-0 76h 56m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $132 $10 -117 23-0 67h 28m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $140 $10 -117 23-0 67h 19m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $144 $10 -117 23-0 67h 7m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $105 $10 -117 23-0 62h 2m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $11.8k $1... -122 23-0 53h WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $3.4k $10 -122 23-0 9h 48m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $1.2k $10 -122 23-0 5h 29m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $512 $10 -117 23-0 40h 14m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $831 $10 -117 23-0 41h 20m WIN +$100.00