Polymarket Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Hockey • NHL / Moneyline )

Total Bets
361
Win Rate
54.8%
198W / 163L
Total P&L
$4,822.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$13.36
ROI
13.4%

Best Matchups

vs Circa Sports
$1,974.00
134 bets (50.0%)
vs LowVig
$1,241.00
58 bets (56.9%)
vs BookMaker
$585.00
22 bets (63.6%)
vs Kalshi
$483.00
7 bets (85.7%)
vs LowVig, Pinnacle
$322.00
3 bets (100.0%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-273
8 bets
37.5% win
1-3 hours
$-696
15 bets
26.7% win
3-6 hours
$-461
24 bets
37.5% win
6-12 hours
$1,673
65 bets
60.0% win
12-24 hours
$3,092
179 bets
55.3% win
> 24 hours
$1,487
70 bets
62.9% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$0
2 bets
50.0% win
15-30 min
$-373
3 bets
0.0% win
30-60 min
$100
3 bets
66.7% win
1-2 hours
$-362
8 bets
25.0% win
2-4 hours
$-289
17 bets
41.2% win
4-8 hours
$302
37 bets
51.4% win
8-24 hours
$3,957
221 bets
55.7% win
24+ hours
$1,487
70 bets
62.9% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 121 70W / 51L 57.9% -0.73% +19.10% $2,311.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 65 34W / 31L 52.3% -0.45% +6.03% $392.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 31 16W / 15L 51.6% -0.37% +0.87% $27.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 21 13W / 8L 61.9% -0.24% +38.10% $800.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 18 11W / 7L 61.1% -0.18% +18.39% $331.00
-0.1% to 0% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% -0.08% -257.00% $-257.00
0% to +0.1% 15 8W / 7L 53.3% +0.00% +20.80% $312.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 12 5W / 7L 41.7% +0.16% -24.67% $-296.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 36 17W / 19L 47.2% +0.23% -9.14% $-329.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 14 11W / 3L 78.6% +0.35% +119.36% $1,671.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 11 7W / 4L 63.6% +0.43% +28.82% $317.00
+0.5% to +1% 16 6W / 10L 37.5% +0.72% -28.56% $-457.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $230 16 10W / 6L 62.5% $501.00
$500 - $1k $737 7 5W / 2L 71.4% $277.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,644 18 7W / 11L 38.9% $-499.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,240 117 60W / 57L 51.3% $211.00
$5k - $10k $6,245 66 33W / 33L 50.0% $448.00
$10k+ $18,359 54 23W / 31L 42.6% $-849.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Circa Sports 134 67W / 67L 50.0% $1,974.00
LowVig 58 33W / 25L 56.9% $1,241.00
BookMaker 22 14W / 8L 63.6% $585.00
Kalshi 7 6W / 1L 85.7% $483.00
LowVig, Pinnacle 3 3W / 0L 100.0% $322.00
Circa Sports, Pinnacle 4 3W / 1L 75.0% $217.00
Circa Sports, LowVig 10 5W / 5L 50.0% $188.00
Pinnacle 60 34W / 26L 56.7% $151.00
bet105 6 3W / 3L 50.0% $59.00
BookMaker, Circa Sports, LowVig 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $0.00
Circa Sports, FanDuel 5 2W / 3L 40.0% $-183.00
FanDuel 41 21W / 20L 51.2% $-346.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/05/26
Los Angeles Kings vs Vega...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
FanDuel Vegas Golden Knights... -133 4-1 23h 19m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Ottawa Senators vs Philad...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Fanduel Philadelphia Flyers +122 1-2 19h 54m LOSS $-100.00
02/05/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Bu...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Pittsburgh Penguins +122 5-2 19h 54m WIN +$122.00
02/05/26
Florida Panthers vs Tampa...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
bet105, Circa Sports, LowVig Tampa Bay Lightning... -170 6-1 12h 53m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Florida Panthers vs Tampa...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
FanDuel Florida Panthers Liq... +170 1-6 21h 29m LOSS $-100.00
02/05/26
Florida Panthers vs Tampa...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
LowVig Tampa Bay Lightning... -178 6-1 17h 53m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Bu...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Pittsburgh Penguins... +122 5-2 17h 51m WIN +$122.00
02/05/26
Carolina Hurricanes vs Ne...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Pinnacle Carolina Hurricanes... -203 2-0 15h 19m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Nashville Predators vs Wa...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Nashville Predators... +163 2-4 16h 15m LOSS $-100.00
02/05/26
Carolina Hurricanes vs Ne...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Pinnacle Carolina Hurricanes... -203 2-0 16h 34m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Bu...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Pittsburgh Penguins... +122 5-2 16h 3m WIN +$122.00
02/04/26
Edmonton Oilers vs Calgar...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
LowVig Edmonton Oilers Liq... -117 3-4 18h 41m LOSS $-117.00
02/04/26
San Jose Sharks vs Colora...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
LowVig San Jose Sharks Liq... +257 2-4 1h 22m LOSS $-100.00
02/04/26
San Jose Sharks vs Colora...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports San Jose Sharks Liq... +257 2-4 1h 8m LOSS $-100.00
02/04/26
Minnesota Wild vs Nashvil...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
BookMaker Nashville Predators... +117 5-6 27h 19m LOSS $-100.00
02/04/26
Boston Bruins vs Florida...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
FanDuel Florida Panthers Liq... -122 5-4 19h 16m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
Chicago Blackhawks vs Col...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
BookMaker Columbus Blue Jacket... -138 4-0 28h WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa B...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
FanDuel Tampa Bay Lightning... -203 4-3 24h 9m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa B...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports, LowVig Tampa Bay Lightning... -170 4-3 3h 14m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Columbus Blue Jackets vs...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
LowVig Columbus Blue Jacket... +108 3-0 20h 53m WIN +$108.00
02/03/26
Ottawa Senators vs Caroli...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
FanDuel Carolina Hurricanes... -186 4-3 29h 29m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Washington Capitals vs Ph...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
LowVig Washington Capitals... +122 2-4 11h 58m LOSS $-100.00
02/03/26
Washington Capitals vs Ph...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
FanDuel Philadelphia Flyers... -122 4-2 19h 21m WIN +$100.00
02/02/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ca...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Toronto Maple Leafs... -108 4-2 20h 29m WIN +$100.00
02/02/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ca...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
LowVig Toronto Maple Leafs... -113 4-2 22h 24m WIN +$100.00
02/02/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ca...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Toronto Maple Leafs... -113 4-2 18h 39m WIN +$100.00
02/02/26
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Vancouver Canucks Li... +257 2-6 17h 6m LOSS $-100.00
02/02/26
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Vancouver Canucks Li... +257 2-6 17h 46m LOSS $-100.00
02/02/26
Vancouver Canucks vs Utah...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Vancouver Canucks Li... +245 2-6 5h 26m LOSS $-100.00
02/02/26
San Jose Sharks vs Chicag...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Pinnacle San Jose Sharks Liq... -104 3-6 16h 57m LOSS $-104.00