Polymarket Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Football • NFL / Point Spread )

Total Bets
44
Win Rate
36.4%
16W / 28L
Total P&L
$-1,146.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-26.05
ROI
-26.0%

Best Matchups

vs LowVig
$300.00
13 bets (61.5%)
vs Pinnacle
$238.00
6 bets (66.7%)
vs FanDuel
$-1,600.00
20 bets (10.0%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$38
4 bets
50.0% win
1-3 hours
$0
2 bets
50.0% win
3-6 hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
6-12 hours
$-492
13 bets
30.8% win
12-24 hours
$-792
10 bets
10.0% win
> 24 hours
$200
14 bets
57.1% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$138
3 bets
66.7% win
30-60 min
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
2-4 hours
$0
2 bets
50.0% win
4-8 hours
$-400
6 bets
16.7% win
8-24 hours
$-984
18 bets
22.2% win
24+ hours
$200
14 bets
57.1% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-0.5% to -0.4% 12 4W / 8L 33.3% -0.45% -32.00% $-384.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 2 2W / 0L 100.0% -0.37% +119.00% $238.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 13 1W / 12L 7.7% -0.24% -84.62% $-1,100.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% -0.19% +100.00% $100.00
0% to +0.1% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% +0.00% -100.00% $-100.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% +0.18% -100.00% $-100.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 7 7W / 0L 100.0% +0.23% +100.00% $700.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% +0.36% -100.00% $-100.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 6 1W / 5L 16.7% +0.45% -66.67% $-400.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
LowVig 13 8W / 5L 61.5% $300.00
Pinnacle 6 4W / 2L 66.7% $238.00
Circa Sports 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $216.00
FanDuel 20 2W / 18L 10.0% $-1,600.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
01/25/26
Denver Broncos vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
Circa Sports Denver Broncos +3.5 +108 10-7 10h 25m WIN +$108.00
01/04/26
Los Angeles Chargers vs D...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
Circa Sports Denver Broncos -14.5... +108 19-3 19h 3m WIN +$108.00
01/04/26
Detroit Lions vs Chicago...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
Pinnacle Detroit Lions +2.5 +138 19-16 14m WIN +$138.00
01/04/26
Miami Dolphins vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
Fanduel Miami Dolphins +13.5 +113 10-38 14m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Las Vegas Raiders vs Kans...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
Lowvig Kansas City Chiefs -... +104 14-12 6h 22m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Miami Dolphins vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
Fanduel Miami Dolphins +11.5 +104 10-38 10h 15m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Los Angeles Chargers vs D...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
FanDuel Los Angeles Chargers... +104 3-19 75h 14m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Los Angeles Chargers vs D...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
LowVig Los Angeles Chargers... +104 3-19 67h 14m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Los Angeles Chargers vs D...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
LowVig Los Angeles Chargers... +104 3-19 64h 27m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
New York Jets vs Buffalo...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
Pinnacle New York Jets +7.5 L... +104 8-35 25h 36m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Miami Dolphins vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
FanDuel, LowVig, Pinnacle Miami Dolphins +11.5... +104 10-38 25h 23m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Washington Commanders vs...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
Fanduel Washington Commander... -233 24-17 14m WIN +$100.00
01/04/26
Miami Dolphins vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
FanDuel, LowVig Miami Dolphins +11.5... +104 10-38 19h 17m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Arizona Cardinals vs Los...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
LowVig Los Angeles Rams -7.... -108 37-20 48h 41m WIN +$100.00
01/04/26
Miami Dolphins vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
FanDuel Miami Dolphins +11.5... +104 10-38 15h 55m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Miami Dolphins vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
FanDuel Miami Dolphins +11.5... +104 10-38 12h 49m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Los Angeles Chargers vs D...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
FanDuel Los Angeles Chargers... +138 3-19 37m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Miami Dolphins vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
FanDuel Miami Dolphins +12.5... +113 10-38 5h 35m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Miami Dolphins vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
FanDuel Miami Dolphins +11.5... +104 10-38 16h 38m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Washington Commanders vs...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
LowVig Philadelphia Eagles... +104 17-24 10h 2m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Miami Dolphins vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
FanDuel Miami Dolphins +11.5... +104 10-38 9h 26m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Tennessee Titans vs Jacks...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
FanDuel Tennessee Titans +12... +113 7-41 7h 23m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Dallas Cowboys vs New Yor...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
Pinnacle New York Giants +4.5... -127 34-17 10h 25m WIN +$100.00
01/04/26
Indianapolis Colts vs Hou...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
LowVig Indianapolis Colts +... -108 30-38 41h 24m WIN +$100.00
01/04/26
Tennessee Titans vs Jacks...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
Fanduel Tennessee Titans +12... +113 7-41 6h 50m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Green Bay Packers vs Minn...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
FanDuel Green Bay Packers +8... +133 3-16 8h 15m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Green Bay Packers vs Minn...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
Circa Sports, FanDuel Green Bay Packers +8... +108 3-16 24h 29m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Indianapolis Colts vs Hou...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
LowVig Houston Texans -10.5... +104 38-30 22h 41m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Tennessee Titans vs Jacks...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
FanDuel Tennessee Titans +12... +113 7-41 8h 55m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Tennessee Titans vs Jacks...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
FanDuel Tennessee Titans +12... +113 7-41 12h 30m LOSS $-100.00