Polymarket Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Football • NFL / Total Points )

Total Bets
53
Win Rate
56.6%
30W / 23L
Total P&L
$954.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$18.00
ROI
18.0%

Best Matchups

vs FanDuel
$1,117.00
31 bets (64.5%)
vs LowVig
$508.00
5 bets (100.0%)
vs bet105
$-87.00
3 bets (33.3%)
vs Pinnacle
$-930.00
9 bets (0.0%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-300
3 bets
0.0% win
1-3 hours
$21
4 bets
50.0% win
3-6 hours
$238
6 bets
66.7% win
6-12 hours
$237
6 bets
66.7% win
12-24 hours
$117
7 bets
57.1% win
> 24 hours
$641
27 bets
59.3% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$-300
3 bets
0.0% win
2-4 hours
$129
5 bets
60.0% win
4-8 hours
$354
9 bets
66.7% win
8-24 hours
$130
9 bets
55.6% win
24+ hours
$641
27 bets
59.3% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 4 2W / 2L 50.0% -0.75% +6.50% $26.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 30 17W / 13L 56.7% -0.46% +17.97% $539.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 10 3W / 7L 30.0% -0.24% -38.80% $-388.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% -0.20% -122.00% $-122.00
0% to +0.1% 5 5W / 0L 100.0% +0.00% +107.20% $536.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% +0.18% +133.00% $133.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% +0.22% +113.00% $113.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 1 1W / 0L 100.0% +0.43% +117.00% $117.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
$1k - $2.5k $1,650 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $241.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,867 3 3W / 0L 100.0% $324.00
$5k - $10k $6,033 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $117.00
$10k+ $36,788 8 4W / 4L 50.0% $47.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
FanDuel 31 20W / 11L 64.5% $1,117.00
LowVig 5 5W / 0L 100.0% $508.00
bet105, Pinnacle 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $234.00
bet105 3 1W / 2L 33.3% $-87.00
Pinnacle 9 0W / 9L 0.0% $-930.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
01/25/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Total Points
bet105, Pinnacle Over 47.5 Liq $680 $... +117 58 (27-31) 77h 49m WIN +$117.00
01/25/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Total Points
Pinnacle Under 47.5 Liq $3.5k... -108 58 (27-31) 112h 55m LOSS $-108.00
01/18/26
Houston Texans vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Total Points
bet105 Over 41.5 Liq $937 $... +113 44 (16-28) 2h 13m WIN +$113.00
01/18/26
Houston Texans vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Total Points
bet105, Pinnacle Over 41.5 Liq $2.6k... +117 44 (16-28) 13h 13m WIN +$117.00
01/12/26
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Total Points
bet105 Over 39.5 Liq $17.8k... +117 36 (30-6) 2h 35m LOSS $-100.00
01/12/26
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Total Points
bet105 Over 38.5 Liq $37.6k... +104 36 (30-6) 2h 35m LOSS $-100.00
01/11/26
San Francisco 49ers vs Ph...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Under 44.5 Liq $9.8k... +104 42 (23-19) 117h 36m WIN +$104.00
01/11/26
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonv...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Over 51.5 Liq $159k... +104 51 (27-24) 4m LOSS $-100.00
01/11/26
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonv...
Football • NFL - Total Points
Circa Sports Under 50.5 Liq $1.9k... +108 51 (27-24) 4h 9m LOSS $-100.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Over 46.5 Liq $4.3k... +108 65 (34-31) 64h 39m WIN +$108.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Over 46.5 Liq $1.0k... +108 65 (34-31) 61h 27m WIN +$108.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Over 46.5 Liq $3.4k... +108 65 (34-31) 62h 29m WIN +$108.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Over 46.5 Liq $5.6k... +108 65 (34-31) 60h 28m WIN +$108.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Over 46.5 Liq $24.3k... +117 65 (34-31) 4h 55m WIN +$117.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Over 44.5 Liq $19.0k... -113 65 (34-31) 5h 8m WIN +$100.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - Total Points
LowVig Over 46.5 Liq $3.9k... +108 65 (34-31) 48h 54m WIN +$108.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Over 47.5 Liq $2.3k... +133 65 (34-31) 6h 13m WIN +$133.00
01/10/26
Los Angeles Rams vs Carol...
Football • NFL - Total Points
BookMaker Over 46.5 Liq $9.8k... +104 65 (34-31) 74h 23m WIN +$104.00
01/04/26
Baltimore Ravens vs Pitts...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Over 41.5 Liq $1.7k... +113 50 (24-26) 64h 37m WIN +$113.00
01/04/26
Baltimore Ravens vs Pitts...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Over 41.5 Liq $14.4k... +108 50 (24-26) 47h 3m WIN +$108.00
01/04/26
Baltimore Ravens vs Pitts...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Over 41.5 Liq $2.2k... +113 50 (24-26) 71h 29m WIN +$113.00
01/04/26
Baltimore Ravens vs Pitts...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Over 41.5 Liq $1.9k... +113 50 (24-26) 67h 4m WIN +$113.00
01/04/26
Baltimore Ravens vs Pitts...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Over 41.5 Liq $2.1k... +113 50 (24-26) 69h 43m WIN +$113.00
01/04/26
Baltimore Ravens vs Pitts...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Over 41.5 Liq $14.3k... +108 50 (24-26) 44h 44m WIN +$108.00
01/04/26
Baltimore Ravens vs Pitts...
Football • NFL - Total Points
FanDuel Over 41.5 Liq $5.4k... +108 50 (24-26) 35h 8m WIN +$108.00
01/04/26
Baltimore Ravens vs Pitts...
Football • NFL - Total Points
Circa Sports, FanDuel Over 41.5 Liq $5.6k... +108 50 (24-26) 31h 7m WIN +$108.00
01/04/26
Kansas City Chiefs vs Las...
Football • NFL - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 36.5 Liq $5.0k... +108 26 (12-14) 45h 38m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Kansas City Chiefs vs Las...
Football • NFL - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 36.5 Liq $4.8k... +108 26 (12-14) 44h 28m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Kansas City Chiefs vs Las...
Football • NFL - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 36.5 Liq $10.4k... +108 26 (12-14) 16h 32m LOSS $-100.00
01/04/26
Kansas City Chiefs vs Las...
Football • NFL - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 36.5 Liq $10.2k... +108 26 (12-14) 12h 49m LOSS $-100.00