Polymarket Analytics
Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NCAAB / Total Points )
Total Bets
195
Win Rate
44.1%
86W / 109L
Total P&L
$-1,703.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-8.73
ROI
-8.7%
Best Matchups
vs DraftKings
$134.00
3 bets (66.7%)
vs Pinnacle
$125.00
7 bets (57.1%)
vs Kalshi
$18.00
4 bets (50.0%)
vs bet105
$-30.00
14 bets (50.0%)
vs BookMaker
$-179.00
6 bets (33.3%)
Activity Heatmap
Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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More
Profit Heatmap
P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Loss
Profit
Performance by Sport
Click to filter by sport (showing Total Points markets)
Performance by Market
Click to filter by market (showing Basketball • NCAAB only)
Time-to-Game Performance
How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start
< 1 hour
$-439
37 bets
43.2% win
1-3 hours
$-103
49 bets
46.9% win
3-6 hours
$793
42 bets
57.1% win
6-12 hours
$-492
40 bets
42.5% win
12-24 hours
$-1,462
27 bets
22.2% win
Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)
Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start
0-15 min
$37
16 bets
50.0% win
15-30 min
$-170
10 bets
40.0% win
30-60 min
$-306
11 bets
36.4% win
1-2 hours
$-305
30 bets
43.3% win
2-4 hours
$573
30 bets
56.7% win
4-8 hours
$-64
61 bets
47.5% win
8-24 hours
$-1,468
37 bets
29.7% win
Edge/Hold Performance
Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)
| Edge Bucket | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | Avg Edge | ROI | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1% to -0.5% | 22 | 8W / 14L | 36.4% | -0.88% | -27.55% | $-606.00 |
| -0.5% to -0.4% | 43 | 20W / 23L | 46.5% | -0.46% | -3.70% | $-159.00 |
| -0.3% to -0.2% | 8 | 3W / 5L | 37.5% | -0.24% | -23.50% | $-188.00 |
| 0% to +0.1% | 8 | 4W / 4L | 50.0% | +0.00% | +4.00% | $32.00 |
| +0.2% to +0.3% | 37 | 16W / 21L | 43.2% | +0.24% | -11.92% | $-441.00 |
| +0.4% to +0.5% | 16 | 9W / 7L | 56.3% | +0.45% | +18.81% | $301.00 |
| +0.5% to +1% | 61 | 26W / 35L | 42.6% | +0.68% | -10.52% | $-642.00 |
Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier
Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)
| Limit Tier | Avg Limit | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $500 | $214 | 70 | 30W / 40L | 42.9% | $-856.00 |
| $500 - $1k | $673 | 35 | 15W / 20L | 42.9% | $-388.00 |
| $1k - $2.5k | $1,387 | 47 | 21W / 26L | 44.7% | $-293.00 |
| $2.5k - $5k | $3,400 | 9 | 6W / 3L | 66.7% | $341.00 |
| $5k - $10k | $6,050 | 2 | 2W / 0L | 100.0% | $225.00 |
| $10k+ | $14,100 | 2 | 0W / 2L | 0.0% | $-200.00 |
Performance vs Opposing Books
How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook
| Opposing Book | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 2 | 2W / 0L | 100.0% | $226.00 |
| DraftKings | 3 | 2W / 1L | 66.7% | $134.00 |
| Pinnacle | 7 | 4W / 3L | 57.1% | $125.00 |
| Kalshi | 4 | 2W / 2L | 50.0% | $18.00 |
| Circa Sports, FanDuel | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $8.00 |
| bet105 | 14 | 7W / 7L | 50.0% | $-30.00 |
| BookMaker | 6 | 2W / 4L | 33.3% | $-179.00 |
| Circa Sports | 47 | 21W / 26L | 44.7% | $-262.00 |
| LowVig | 54 | 24W / 30L | 44.4% | $-478.00 |
| FanDuel | 52 | 20W / 32L | 38.5% | $-1,051.00 |
Recent Results
Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket
| Date | Event | Vs | Selection | Odds | Score | Time Before | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/13/26 |
Massachusetts vs Akron
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 161.5 Liq $11... | +113 | 191 (92-99) | 4h 37m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Over 148.5 Liq $192... | +113 | 163 (71-92) | 5h 19m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Over 145.5 Liq $594... | +113 | 149 (83-66) | 7h 13m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Over 146.5 Liq $435... | +117 | 149 (83-66) | 6h 30m | WIN | +$117.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Caesars | Over 146.5 Liq $87 $... | +113 | 149 (83-66) | 6h 17m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Southeast Missouri State...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Over 138.5 Liq $1.6k... | +113 | 130 (56-74) | 1h 43m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Kansas City vs Oral Rober...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Under 146.5 Liq $391... | +113 | 129 (60-69) | 9h 58m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Purdue Fort Wayne vs Gree...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Caesars | Under 142.5 Liq $73... | +113 | 124 (63-61) | 7h 34m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Northern Kentucky vs IUPU...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 162.5 Liq $164... | +113 | 165 (84-81) | 8h 52m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Under 154.5 Liq $401... | +113 | 160 (81-79) | 1h 44m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
USC vs Ohio State
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 150.5 Liq $573... | +108 | 171 (82-89) | 7h 23m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Iowa vs Maryland
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Over 141.5 Liq $368... | +113 | 147 (70-77) | 8h 6m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Fresno State vs Utah Stat...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Over 154.5 Liq $56 $... | +117 | 169 (78-91) | 3h 38m | WIN | +$117.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Colorado State vs Air For...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Fanatics | Under 136.5 Liq $16.... | +117 | 165 (91-74) | 1h 3m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Eastern Illinois vs Weste...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Under 132.5 Liq $398... | +113 | 149 (70-79) | 2h 28m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Eastern Illinois vs Weste...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Under 132.5 Liq $12... | +108 | 149 (70-79) | 3h 48m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Milwaukee vs IUPUI
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Over 159.5 Liq $615... | +113 | 180 (92-88) | 3h 56m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/08/26 |
Maryland vs Minnesota
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Over 139.5 Liq $1.1k... | +113 | 129 (67-62) | 1h 44m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Fresno State vs Nevada
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
crypto.com | Over 145.5 Liq $14 $... | -122 | 128 (59-69) | 48m | LOSS | $-122.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
San Jose State vs Colorad...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 137.5 Liq $807... | +113 | 122 (57-65) | 2h 26m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Clemson vs California
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 136.5 Liq $5.2... | +117 | 132 (77-55) | 2h 9m | WIN | +$117.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Baylor vs Iowa State
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
LowVig | Over 151.5 Liq $414... | +104 | 141 (69-72) | 4h 4m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Butler vs Marquette
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Over 157.5 Liq $416... | +113 | 125 (55-70) | 1h 26m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
George Washington vs Duqu...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Over 159.5 Liq $1.4k... | +113 | 174 (86-88) | 2h 10m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/05/26 |
Eastern Illinois vs Tenne...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
LowVig | Over 145.5 Liq $464... | +104 | 169 (72-97) | 5h 20m | WIN | +$104.00 |
| 02/03/26 |
Pittsburgh vs Virginia
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Under 142.5 Liq $15.... | -104 | 114 (47-67) | 6h 11m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/03/26 |
La Salle vs Loyola Chicag...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
LowVig | Under 138.5 Liq $4.5... | +108 | 132 (61-71) | 3h 20m | WIN | +$108.00 |
| 02/03/26 |
Miami Ohio vs Buffalo
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Over 164.5 Liq $2.4k... | +108 | 144 (73-71) | 6h 26m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/02/26 |
Kansas vs Texas Tech
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Over 154.5 Liq $2.9k... | +100 | 125 (64-61) | 7h 2m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/02/26 |
Incarnate Word vs Texas A...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Under 138.5 Liq $16.... | +108 | 140 (71-69) | 53m | LOSS | $-100.00 |